A Escola das Odds

Elisabetta Cocciaretto v Sinja Kraus

Início: 2026-05-06 18:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

54 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Local)

Previsão 55.58%1.80odd justa
EV +0.039%
Vantagem +0.021%
Kelly +0.048%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
53.05%55.48%55.57%57.14%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.621.701.701.8061.73%58.68%58.82%55.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Sinja Kraus (Visitante)

Previsão 44.42%2.25odd justa
EV -2.27%
Vantagem -1.03%
Kelly -1.89%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.86%44.52%44.43%46.95%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.002.122.142.2050.00%47.19%46.73%45.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (54 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +0.039%E +0.021%K +0.048%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 18:05
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -0.517%E -0.289%K -0.655%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 17:59
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -1.07%E -0.603%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -7.16%E -3.42%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 18:05
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -1.07%E -0.603%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -7.16%E -3.42%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 18:05
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.63%E -0.920%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -11.15%E -5.58%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 18:01
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.74%E -1.57%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 18:05
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.30%E -1.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 18:05
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.30%E -1.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -11.15%E -5.58%K -11.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 18:05
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 18:03
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 18:04
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 18:04
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 18:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.15%E -5.58%K -11.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 18:04
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.15%E -5.58%K -11.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 18:04
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.15%E -5.58%K -11.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.15%E -5.58%K -11.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 18:05
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.41%E -2.56%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.93%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 18:00
ReBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.41%E -2.56%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.93%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 17:59
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.96%E -2.90%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.93%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:03
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.96%E -2.90%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 18:05
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:05
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:05
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:05
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:05
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:05
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:05
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:05
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:05
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:05
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:05
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:05
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:05
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 18:04
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 18:05
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 18:05
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.07%E -3.59%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 18:05
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -6.07%E -3.59%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -5.38%E -2.53%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 18:04
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.07%E -3.59%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 17:59
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 18:05
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 18:05
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.93%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 18:05
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.19%E -4.30%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:04
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.19%E -4.30%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:04
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -7.19%E -4.30%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 18:05
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -7.19%E -4.30%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 18:05
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.19%E -4.30%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 18:04
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 18:05
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 18:05
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 18:05
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -3.60%E -1.66%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 18:05
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 18:05
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-06 18:05
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.97%E -6.15%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-06 18:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-05-06 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-05-06 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-05-06 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-05-06 18:05
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.7%2026-05-06 18:05
Novig1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%4.3%2026-05-06 18:05