L’École des cotes

Elisabetta Cocciaretto v Sinja Kraus

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-06 18:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

54 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Local)

Prévision 55.58%1.80cote équitable
EV +0.039%
Avantage +0.021%
Kelly +0.048%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
53.05%55.48%55.57%57.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.621.701.701.8061.73%58.68%58.82%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sinja Kraus (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.42%2.25cote équitable
EV -2.27%
Avantage -1.03%
Kelly -1.89%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.86%44.52%44.43%46.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.122.142.2050.00%47.19%46.73%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (54 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +0.039%E +0.021%K +0.048%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 18:05
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -0.517%E -0.289%K -0.655%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-06 17:59
LowVig.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -1.07%E -0.603%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -7.16%E -3.42%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 18:05
BetOnline.ag1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -1.07%E -0.603%K -1.38%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -7.16%E -3.42%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 18:05
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.63%E -0.920%K -2.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -11.15%E -5.58%K -11.15%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-06 18:01
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.74%E -1.57%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 18:05
Winamax (DE)1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.30%E -1.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-06 18:05
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.30%E -1.89%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -11.15%E -5.58%K -11.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 18:05
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 18:03
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 18:04
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 18:04
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 18:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.15%E -5.58%K -11.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 18:04
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.15%E -5.58%K -11.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 18:04
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.15%E -5.58%K -11.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 18:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.15%E -5.58%K -11.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-06 18:05
Unibet (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.41%E -2.56%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.93%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 18:00
ReBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.41%E -2.56%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.93%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 17:59
Bet Right1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.96%E -2.90%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.93%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 18:03
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.96%E -2.90%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 18:05
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:05
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:05
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:05
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:05
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:05
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:05
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:05
Grosvenor1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:05
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:05
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:05
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:05
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 18:05
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 18:04
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 18:05
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-06 18:05
Hard Rock Bet1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.07%E -3.59%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-06 18:05
DraftKings1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -6.07%E -3.59%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -5.38%E -2.53%K -4.76%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 18:04
Unibet (FR)1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.07%E -3.59%K -8.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-06 17:59
FanDuel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-06 18:05
PlayUp1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-06 18:05
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.93%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-06 18:05
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.19%E -4.30%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:04
theScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.19%E -4.30%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-06 18:04
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -7.19%E -4.30%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 18:05
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -7.19%E -4.30%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 18:05
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.19%E -4.30%K -10.73%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-06 18:04
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 18:05
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 18:05
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-06 18:05
SportsBet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -3.60%E -1.66%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-06 18:05
PointsBet (AU)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 18:05
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-06 18:05
Betclic (FR)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.97%E -6.15%K -16.07%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-06 18:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-05-06 18:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-05-06 18:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-05-06 18:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50%0.8%2026-05-06 18:05
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09%1.7%2026-05-06 18:05
Novig1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%4.3%2026-05-06 18:05