La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Elisabetta Cocciaretto v Sinja Kraus
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Elisabetta Cocciaretto (Local)
Predicción 55.58%1.80momio equitativo
EV +0.039%
Ventaja +0.021%
Kelly +0.048%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.05%55.48%55.57%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.621.701.701.8061.73%58.68%58.82%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Sinja Kraus (Visitante)
Predicción 44.42%2.25momio equitativo
EV -2.27%
Ventaja -1.03%
Kelly -1.89%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.86%44.52%44.43%46.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.122.142.2050.00%47.19%46.73%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (54 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV +0.039%E +0.021%K +0.048%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -0.517%E -0.289%K -0.655%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-06 17:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -1.07%E -0.603%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -7.16%E -3.42%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.01%EV -1.07%E -0.603%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.99%EV -7.16%E -3.42%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| BetUS | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.63%E -0.920%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -11.15%E -5.58%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-06 18:01 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -2.74%E -1.57%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.30%E -1.89%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -3.30%E -1.89%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -11.15%E -5.58%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 18:03 |
| William Hill | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 18:04 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 18:04 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 18:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.15%E -5.58%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 18:04 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.15%E -5.58%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 18:04 |
| Coral | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.15%E -5.58%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -3.85%E -2.23%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -11.15%E -5.58%K -11.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.41%E -2.56%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.93%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 18:00 |
| ReBet | 1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.41%E -2.56%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.93%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 17:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -4.96%E -2.90%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -4.93%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 18:03 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -4.96%E -2.90%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Unibet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| BetRivers | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Casumo | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| TABtouch | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Grosvenor | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Bally Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| betPARX | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -4.05%E -1.87%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 18:04 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -5.52%E -3.25%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.07%E -3.59%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| DraftKings | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.76%EV -6.07%E -3.59%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 44.24%EV -5.38%E -2.53%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 18:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.81%EV -6.07%E -3.59%K -8.80%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.19%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-06 17:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| PlayUp | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -6.63%E -3.95%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -4.93%E -2.31%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.19%E -4.30%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 18:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.19%E -4.30%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-06 18:04 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -7.19%E -4.30%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -7.19%E -4.30%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -5.82%E -2.75%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.19%E -4.30%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-06 18:04 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.27%E -1.03%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.81%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 43.19%EV -3.60%E -1.66%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.49%E -2.09%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Fliff | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.30%E -5.03%K -12.77%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.93%E -4.36%K -8.51%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.97%E -6.15%K -16.07%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -6.71%E -3.20%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.50% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.50% | 0.8% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Smarkets | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.91% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 45.09% | 1.7% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |
| Novig | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 18:05 |