Language:English
Cristina Bucsa v Qinwen Zheng
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Cristina Bucsa (Local)
Prediction 10.19%9.82fair odd
EV +22.25%
Edge +1.85%
Kelly +2.02%
Growth +0.450%
assuming max odds 12.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.90%10.87%10.31%18.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.008.188.5012.0020.00%12.23%11.76%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Qinwen Zheng (Visit)
Prediction 89.81%1.11fair odd
EV +6.88%
Edge +5.78%
Kelly +36.19%
Growth +2.49%
assuming max odds 1.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.43%89.13%89.69%92.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.021.071.061.1998.04%93.07%94.34%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Cristina Bucsa (Local): 10.19%; Qinwen Zheng (Visit): 89.81%. For Cristina Bucsa (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 9.82. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +22.25%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 5.62I 17.79%NM 17.47%EV -42.74%E -7.61%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.53%EV +6.88%E +5.78%K +36.19%G +2.49% | 1.8% | 2026-05-07 08:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -44.68%E -8.23%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV +4.18%E +3.61%K +26.14%G +1.09% | 4.6% | 2026-05-07 09:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -44.68%E -8.23%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV +4.18%E +3.61%K +26.14%G +1.09% | 4.6% | 2026-05-07 09:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -46.51%E -8.86%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV +3.28%E +2.86%K +21.89%G +0.719% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 09:07 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -38.36%E -6.34%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV +2.39%E +2.09%K +17.04%G +0.407% | 4.2% | 2026-05-07 08:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -40.91%E -7.05%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV +2.39%E +2.09%K +17.04%G +0.407% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -41.42%E -7.20%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV +2.39%E +2.09%K +17.04%G +0.407% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 09:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.04%EV -43.46%E -7.83%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.96%EV +2.39%E +2.09%K +17.04%G +0.407% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 09:09 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -43.97%E -7.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV +2.39%E +2.09%K +17.04%G +0.407% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 09:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -43.97%E -7.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV +2.39%E +2.09%K +17.04%G +0.407% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 09:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -49.06%E -9.81%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV +2.39%E +2.09%K +17.04%G +0.407% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 09:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -49.06%E -9.81%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV +2.39%E +2.09%K +17.04%G +0.407% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 09:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -38.36%E -6.34%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV +1.49%E +1.32%K +11.44%G +0.170% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 09:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -41.42%E -7.20%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV +1.49%E +1.32%K +11.44%G +0.170% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 09:04 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -43.97%E -7.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV +0.590%E +0.526%K +4.91%G +0.029% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 08:58 |
| William Hill🎯 | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -33.78%E -5.20%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -0.308%E -0.278%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 09:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -39.89%E -6.76%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -0.308%E -0.278%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 09:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 11.48I 8.71%NM 8.60%EV +16.96%E +1.48%K +1.62%G +0.274% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.40%EV -3.00%E -2.78%K -37.54%G +0.000% | 1.3% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -13.40%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.00%E -2.78%K -37.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 11.20I 8.93%NM 8.65%EV +14.10%E +1.26%K +1.38%G +0.195% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.35%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-07 09:14 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.40%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 09:14 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.40%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.40%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -18.50%E -2.31%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -18.50%E -2.31%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.88%E +0.188%K +0.209%G +0.004% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.40%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 09:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.40%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -18.50%E -2.31%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -18.50%E -2.31%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -18.50%E -2.31%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -18.50%E -2.31%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -23.59%E -3.15%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.65%EV -26.14%E -3.61%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.35%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-07 09:13 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 11.30I 8.85%NM 8.43%EV +15.12%E +1.34%K +1.47%G +0.222% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.57%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +12.07%E +1.10%K +1.21%G +0.146% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +6.97%E +0.664%K +0.734%G +0.051% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.88%E +0.188%K +0.209%G +0.004% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.88%E +0.188%K +0.209%G +0.004% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.88%E +0.188%K +0.209%G +0.004% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.88%E +0.188%K +0.209%G +0.004% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.88%E +0.188%K +0.209%G +0.004% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -13.40%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -18.50%E -2.31%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +22.25%E +1.85%K +2.02%G +0.450% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -7.49%E -7.28%K -249.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +12.07%E +1.10%K +1.21%G +0.146% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.49%E -7.28%K -249.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -3.22%E -0.339%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -7.49%E -7.28%K -249.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -7.49%E -7.28%K -249.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 9.55I 10.47%NM 9.65%EV -2.71%E -0.283%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.35%EV -8.39%E -8.23%K -419.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -23.59%E -3.15%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 88.03%EV -8.39%E -8.23%K -419.58%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.87% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 93.13% | 0.4% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52% | 0.4% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 0.9% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.04% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.96% | 1.5% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Novig◎ | 9.52I 10.50%NM 9.51% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 90.49% | 10.5% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |