مدرسة الاحتمالات

Cristina Bucsa v Qinwen Zheng

البداية: 2026-05-07 09:16 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Cristina Bucsa (المضيف)

التنبؤ 10.19%9.82السعر العادل
EV +22.25%
الأفضلية +1.85%
Kelly +2.02%
النمو +0.450%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 12.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
7.90%10.87%10.31%18.57%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
5.008.188.5012.0020.00%12.23%11.76%8.33%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Qinwen Zheng (الضيف)

التنبؤ 89.81%1.11السعر العادل
EV +6.88%
الأفضلية +5.78%
Kelly +36.19%
النمو +2.49%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.19

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
81.43%89.13%89.69%92.10%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.021.071.061.1998.04%93.07%94.34%84.03%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
GTbets5.62I 17.79%NM 17.47%EV -42.74%E -7.61%K -9.25%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.53%EV +6.88%E +5.78%K +36.19%G +2.49%1.8%2026-05-07 08:59
LowVig.ag5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -44.68%E -8.23%K -10.09%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV +4.18%E +3.61%K +26.14%G +1.09%4.6%2026-05-07 09:05
BetOnline.ag5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -44.68%E -8.23%K -10.09%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV +4.18%E +3.61%K +26.14%G +1.09%4.6%2026-05-07 09:05
PlayUp5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -46.51%E -8.86%K -10.94%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV +3.28%E +2.86%K +21.89%G +0.719%6.0%2026-05-07 09:07
1xBet6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -38.36%E -6.34%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV +2.39%E +2.09%K +17.04%G +0.407%4.2%2026-05-07 08:59
ReBet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -40.91%E -7.05%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV +2.39%E +2.09%K +17.04%G +0.407%5.0%2026-05-07 08:59
Bet Right5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -41.42%E -7.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV +2.39%E +2.09%K +17.04%G +0.407%5.1%2026-05-07 09:04
Marathon Bet5.55I 18.02%NM 17.04%EV -43.46%E -7.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.96%EV +2.39%E +2.09%K +17.04%G +0.407%5.7%2026-05-07 09:09
Unibet (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -43.97%E -7.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV +2.39%E +2.09%K +17.04%G +0.407%5.9%2026-05-07 09:05
BetUS5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -43.97%E -7.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV +2.39%E +2.09%K +17.04%G +0.407%5.9%2026-05-07 09:05
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -49.06%E -9.81%K -12.27%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV +2.39%E +2.09%K +17.04%G +0.407%7.7%2026-05-07 09:04
Ladbrokes (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -49.06%E -9.81%K -12.27%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV +2.39%E +2.09%K +17.04%G +0.407%7.7%2026-05-07 09:04
SportsBet6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -38.36%E -6.34%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV +1.49%E +1.32%K +11.44%G +0.170%5.0%2026-05-07 09:05
Betr (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -41.42%E -7.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV +1.49%E +1.32%K +11.44%G +0.170%5.9%2026-05-07 09:04
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -43.97%E -7.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV +0.590%E +0.526%K +4.91%G +0.029%7.5%2026-05-07 08:58
William Hill6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -33.78%E -5.20%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -0.308%E -0.278%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 09:05
NetBet (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -39.89%E -6.76%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -0.308%E -0.278%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 09:00
Pinnacle11.48I 8.71%NM 8.60%EV +16.96%E +1.48%K +1.62%G +0.274%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.40%EV -3.00%E -2.78%K -37.54%G +0.000%1.3%2026-05-07 09:15
BoyleSports8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -13.40%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.00%E -2.78%K -37.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-07 09:15
DraftKings11.20I 8.93%NM 8.65%EV +14.10%E +1.26%K +1.38%G +0.195%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.35%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-07 09:14
Unibet (NL)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 09:15
Casumo9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 09:15
Unibet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 09:15
Unibet (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 09:15
Ladbrokes (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 09:15
ATG (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 09:15
Svenska Spel9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 09:15
betPARX9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 09:15
Hard Rock Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 09:15
Betsson8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.40%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 09:14
BetRivers8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.40%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 09:15
TABtouch8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.40%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 09:15
FanDuel8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -18.50%E -2.31%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 09:15
TAB8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -18.50%E -2.31%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 09:15
Coral10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.88%E +0.188%K +0.209%G +0.004%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 09:15
888sport (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 09:15
Bet Victor8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.40%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 09:14
Paddy Power8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.40%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 09:15
Grosvenor8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -18.50%E -2.31%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 09:15
Virgin Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -18.50%E -2.31%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 09:15
LiveScore Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -18.50%E -2.31%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 09:15
Bally Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -18.50%E -2.31%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 09:15
LeoVegas (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -23.59%E -3.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-07 09:15
Betclic (FR)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.65%EV -26.14%E -3.61%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.35%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 09:13
Coolbet11.30I 8.85%NM 8.43%EV +15.12%E +1.34%K +1.47%G +0.222%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.57%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 09:15
theScore Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +12.07%E +1.10%K +1.21%G +0.146%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 09:15
Unibet (UK)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +6.97%E +0.664%K +0.734%G +0.051%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 09:15
NordicBet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.88%E +0.188%K +0.209%G +0.004%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 09:15
Winamax (DE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.88%E +0.188%K +0.209%G +0.004%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 09:15
Caesars10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.88%E +0.188%K +0.209%G +0.004%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 09:15
888sport10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.88%E +0.188%K +0.209%G +0.004%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 09:15
Mr Green (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.88%E +0.188%K +0.209%G +0.004%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 09:15
BetMGM9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 09:15
Tipico (DE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -13.40%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-07 09:15
LeoVegas8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -18.50%E -2.31%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-07 09:15
Betway12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +22.25%E +1.85%K +2.02%G +0.450%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -7.49%E -7.28%K -249.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 09:15
PointsBet (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +12.07%E +1.10%K +1.21%G +0.146%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.49%E -7.28%K -249.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 09:15
Winamax (FR)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -3.22%E -0.339%K -0.378%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -7.49%E -7.28%K -249.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 09:15
Fanatics9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -7.49%E -7.28%K -249.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 09:15
Fliff9.55I 10.47%NM 9.65%EV -2.71%E -0.283%K -0.317%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.35%EV -8.39%E -8.23%K -419.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 09:15
PMU (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -23.59%E -3.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 88.03%EV -8.39%E -8.23%K -419.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-07 09:15
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)14.50I 6.90%NM 6.87%1.07I 93.46%NM 93.13%0.4%2026-05-07 09:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52%0.4%2026-05-07 09:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-05-07 09:15
Smarkets13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40%1.2%2026-05-07 09:15
Matchbook14.00I 7.14%NM 7.04%1.06I 94.34%NM 92.96%1.5%2026-05-07 09:15
Novig9.52I 10.50%NM 9.51%1.00I 100.00%NM 90.49%10.5%2026-05-07 09:15