La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Cristina Bucsa v Qinwen Zheng
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Cristina Bucsa (Local)
Predicción 10.19%9.82momio equitativo
EV +22.25%
Ventaja +1.85%
Kelly +2.02%
Crecimiento +0.450%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.90%10.87%10.31%18.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.008.188.5012.0020.00%12.23%11.76%8.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Qinwen Zheng (Visitante)
Predicción 89.81%1.11momio equitativo
EV +6.88%
Ventaja +5.78%
Kelly +36.19%
Crecimiento +2.49%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.19
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.43%89.13%89.69%92.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.021.071.061.1998.04%93.07%94.34%84.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 5.62I 17.79%NM 17.47%EV -42.74%E -7.61%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.53%EV +6.88%E +5.78%K +36.19%G +2.49% | 1.8% | 2026-05-07 08:59 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -44.68%E -8.23%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV +4.18%E +3.61%K +26.14%G +1.09% | 4.6% | 2026-05-07 09:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -44.68%E -8.23%K -10.09%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV +4.18%E +3.61%K +26.14%G +1.09% | 4.6% | 2026-05-07 09:05 |
| PlayUp | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -46.51%E -8.86%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV +3.28%E +2.86%K +21.89%G +0.719% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 09:07 |
| 1xBet | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -38.36%E -6.34%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV +2.39%E +2.09%K +17.04%G +0.407% | 4.2% | 2026-05-07 08:59 |
| ReBet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -40.91%E -7.05%K -8.52%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV +2.39%E +2.09%K +17.04%G +0.407% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 08:59 |
| Bet Right | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -41.42%E -7.20%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV +2.39%E +2.09%K +17.04%G +0.407% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 09:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.04%EV -43.46%E -7.83%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.96%EV +2.39%E +2.09%K +17.04%G +0.407% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 09:09 |
| Unibet (FR) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -43.97%E -7.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV +2.39%E +2.09%K +17.04%G +0.407% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 09:05 |
| BetUS | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -43.97%E -7.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV +2.39%E +2.09%K +17.04%G +0.407% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 09:05 |
| Neds | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -49.06%E -9.81%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV +2.39%E +2.09%K +17.04%G +0.407% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 09:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -49.06%E -9.81%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV +2.39%E +2.09%K +17.04%G +0.407% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 09:04 |
| SportsBet | 6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -38.36%E -6.34%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV +1.49%E +1.32%K +11.44%G +0.170% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 09:05 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -41.42%E -7.20%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV +1.49%E +1.32%K +11.44%G +0.170% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 09:04 |
| Everygame | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -43.97%E -7.99%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV +0.590%E +0.526%K +4.91%G +0.029% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 08:58 |
| William Hill | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -33.78%E -5.20%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -0.308%E -0.278%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 09:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -39.89%E -6.76%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -0.308%E -0.278%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 09:00 |
| Pinnacle | 11.48I 8.71%NM 8.60%EV +16.96%E +1.48%K +1.62%G +0.274% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.40%EV -3.00%E -2.78%K -37.54%G +0.000% | 1.3% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| BoyleSports | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -13.40%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.00%E -2.78%K -37.54%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| DraftKings | 11.20I 8.93%NM 8.65%EV +14.10%E +1.26%K +1.38%G +0.195% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.35%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-07 09:14 |
| Unibet (NL) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Casumo | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Unibet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| betPARX | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Betsson | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.40%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 09:14 |
| BetRivers | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.40%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| TABtouch | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.40%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| FanDuel | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -18.50%E -2.31%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| TAB | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -18.50%E -2.31%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Coral | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.88%E +0.188%K +0.209%G +0.004% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Bet Victor | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.40%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 09:14 |
| Paddy Power | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.40%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Grosvenor | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -18.50%E -2.31%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -18.50%E -2.31%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -18.50%E -2.31%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Bally Bet | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -18.50%E -2.31%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -23.59%E -3.15%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.65%EV -26.14%E -3.61%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.35%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-07 09:13 |
| Coolbet | 11.30I 8.85%NM 8.43%EV +15.12%E +1.34%K +1.47%G +0.222% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.57%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| theScore Bet | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +12.07%E +1.10%K +1.21%G +0.146% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +6.97%E +0.664%K +0.734%G +0.051% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| NordicBet | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.88%E +0.188%K +0.209%G +0.004% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.88%E +0.188%K +0.209%G +0.004% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Caesars | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.88%E +0.188%K +0.209%G +0.004% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| 888sport | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.88%E +0.188%K +0.209%G +0.004% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.88%E +0.188%K +0.209%G +0.004% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| BetMGM | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -13.40%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| LeoVegas | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -18.50%E -2.31%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Betway | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +22.25%E +1.85%K +2.02%G +0.450% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -7.49%E -7.28%K -249.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +12.07%E +1.10%K +1.21%G +0.146% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.49%E -7.28%K -249.78%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -3.22%E -0.339%K -0.378%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -7.49%E -7.28%K -249.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Fanatics | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -7.49%E -7.28%K -249.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Fliff | 9.55I 10.47%NM 9.65%EV -2.71%E -0.283%K -0.317%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.35%EV -8.39%E -8.23%K -419.58%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -23.59%E -3.15%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 88.03%EV -8.39%E -8.23%K -419.58%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.87% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 93.13% | 0.4% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52% | 0.4% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 0.9% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Smarkets | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40% | 1.2% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Matchbook | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.04% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 92.96% | 1.5% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |
| Novig | 9.52I 10.50%NM 9.51% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 90.49% | 10.5% | 2026-05-07 09:15 |