A Escola das Odds

Cristina Bucsa v Qinwen Zheng

Início: 2026-05-07 09:16 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Cristina Bucsa (Local)

Previsão 10.19%9.82odd justa
EV +22.25%
Vantagem +1.85%
Kelly +2.02%
Crescimento +0.450%

pressupondo odds máximas de 12.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
7.90%10.87%10.31%18.57%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.008.188.5012.0020.00%12.23%11.76%8.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Qinwen Zheng (Visitante)

Previsão 89.81%1.11odd justa
EV +6.88%
Vantagem +5.78%
Kelly +36.19%
Crescimento +2.49%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.19

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
81.43%89.13%89.69%92.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.021.071.061.1998.04%93.07%94.34%84.03%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
GTbets5.62I 17.79%NM 17.47%EV -42.74%E -7.61%K -9.25%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.53%EV +6.88%E +5.78%K +36.19%G +2.49%1.8%2026-05-07 08:59
LowVig.ag5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -44.68%E -8.23%K -10.09%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV +4.18%E +3.61%K +26.14%G +1.09%4.6%2026-05-07 09:05
BetOnline.ag5.43I 18.42%NM 17.60%EV -44.68%E -8.23%K -10.09%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.40%EV +4.18%E +3.61%K +26.14%G +1.09%4.6%2026-05-07 09:05
PlayUp5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -46.51%E -8.86%K -10.94%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV +3.28%E +2.86%K +21.89%G +0.719%6.0%2026-05-07 09:07
1xBet6.05I 16.53%NM 15.86%EV -38.36%E -6.34%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 84.14%EV +2.39%E +2.09%K +17.04%G +0.407%4.2%2026-05-07 08:59
ReBet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -40.91%E -7.05%K -8.52%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV +2.39%E +2.09%K +17.04%G +0.407%5.0%2026-05-07 08:59
Bet Right5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -41.42%E -7.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV +2.39%E +2.09%K +17.04%G +0.407%5.1%2026-05-07 09:04
Marathon Bet5.55I 18.02%NM 17.04%EV -43.46%E -7.83%K -9.55%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.96%EV +2.39%E +2.09%K +17.04%G +0.407%5.7%2026-05-07 09:09
Unibet (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -43.97%E -7.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV +2.39%E +2.09%K +17.04%G +0.407%5.9%2026-05-07 09:05
BetUS5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -43.97%E -7.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV +2.39%E +2.09%K +17.04%G +0.407%5.9%2026-05-07 09:05
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -49.06%E -9.81%K -12.27%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV +2.39%E +2.09%K +17.04%G +0.407%7.7%2026-05-07 09:04
Ladbrokes (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -49.06%E -9.81%K -12.27%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV +2.39%E +2.09%K +17.04%G +0.407%7.7%2026-05-07 09:04
SportsBet6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV -38.36%E -6.34%K -7.60%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV +1.49%E +1.32%K +11.44%G +0.170%5.0%2026-05-07 09:05
Betr (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -41.42%E -7.20%K -8.72%G +0.000%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV +1.49%E +1.32%K +11.44%G +0.170%5.9%2026-05-07 09:04
Everygame5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -43.97%E -7.99%K -9.77%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV +0.590%E +0.526%K +4.91%G +0.029%7.5%2026-05-07 08:58
William Hill6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -33.78%E -5.20%K -6.14%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -0.308%E -0.278%K -2.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 09:05
NetBet (FR)5.90I 16.95%NM 15.83%EV -39.89%E -6.76%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 84.17%EV -0.308%E -0.278%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 09:00
Pinnacle11.48I 8.71%NM 8.60%EV +16.96%E +1.48%K +1.62%G +0.274%1.08I 92.59%NM 91.40%EV -3.00%E -2.78%K -37.54%G +0.000%1.3%2026-05-07 09:15
BoyleSports8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV -13.40%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -3.00%E -2.78%K -37.54%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-07 09:15
DraftKings11.20I 8.93%NM 8.65%EV +14.10%E +1.26%K +1.38%G +0.195%1.06I 94.34%NM 91.35%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-07 09:14
Unibet (NL)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 09:15
Casumo9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 09:15
Unibet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 09:15
Unibet (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 09:15
Ladbrokes (UK)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 09:15
ATG (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 09:15
Svenska Spel9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 09:15
betPARX9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 09:15
Hard Rock Bet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 09:15
Betsson8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.40%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 09:14
BetRivers8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.40%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 09:15
TABtouch8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.40%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-07 09:15
FanDuel8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -18.50%E -2.31%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 09:15
TAB8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -18.50%E -2.31%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.80%E -4.53%K -79.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 09:15
Coral10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +1.88%E +0.188%K +0.209%G +0.004%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 09:15
888sport (SE)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-07 09:15
Bet Victor8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.40%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 09:14
Paddy Power8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -13.40%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 09:15
Grosvenor8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -18.50%E -2.31%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 09:15
Virgin Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -18.50%E -2.31%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 09:15
LiveScore Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -18.50%E -2.31%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 09:15
Bally Bet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -18.50%E -2.31%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 09:15
LeoVegas (SE)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -23.59%E -3.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.72%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-07 09:15
Betclic (FR)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.65%EV -26.14%E -3.61%K -4.18%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 87.35%EV -5.70%E -5.43%K -113.94%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-07 09:13
Coolbet11.30I 8.85%NM 8.43%EV +15.12%E +1.34%K +1.47%G +0.222%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.57%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 09:15
theScore Bet11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +12.07%E +1.10%K +1.21%G +0.146%1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 09:15
Unibet (UK)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +6.97%E +0.664%K +0.734%G +0.051%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-07 09:15
NordicBet10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.88%E +0.188%K +0.209%G +0.004%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 09:15
Winamax (DE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.88%E +0.188%K +0.209%G +0.004%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 09:15
Caesars10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.88%E +0.188%K +0.209%G +0.004%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 09:15
888sport10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.88%E +0.188%K +0.209%G +0.004%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 09:15
Mr Green (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +1.88%E +0.188%K +0.209%G +0.004%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 09:15
BetMGM9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-07 09:15
Tipico (DE)8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV -13.40%E -1.58%K -1.79%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-07 09:15
LeoVegas8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV -18.50%E -2.31%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -6.60%E -6.34%K -164.88%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-07 09:15
Betway12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +22.25%E +1.85%K +2.02%G +0.450%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -7.49%E -7.28%K -249.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-07 09:15
PointsBet (AU)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +12.07%E +1.10%K +1.21%G +0.146%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -7.49%E -7.28%K -249.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-07 09:15
Winamax (FR)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.78%EV -3.22%E -0.339%K -0.378%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.22%EV -7.49%E -7.28%K -249.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 09:15
Fanatics9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -8.31%E -0.923%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.73%EV -7.49%E -7.28%K -249.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-07 09:15
Fliff9.55I 10.47%NM 9.65%EV -2.71%E -0.283%K -0.317%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 90.35%EV -8.39%E -8.23%K -419.58%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-07 09:15
PMU (FR)7.50I 13.33%NM 11.97%EV -23.59%E -3.15%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 88.03%EV -8.39%E -8.23%K -419.58%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-07 09:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)14.50I 6.90%NM 6.87%1.07I 93.46%NM 93.13%0.4%2026-05-07 09:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.48%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.52%0.4%2026-05-07 09:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%0.9%2026-05-07 09:15
Smarkets13.00I 7.69%NM 7.60%1.07I 93.46%NM 92.40%1.2%2026-05-07 09:15
Matchbook14.00I 7.14%NM 7.04%1.06I 94.34%NM 92.96%1.5%2026-05-07 09:15
Novig9.52I 10.50%NM 9.51%1.00I 100.00%NM 90.49%10.5%2026-05-07 09:15