StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aryna Sabalenka v Barbora Krejcikova

Matchstart: 2026-05-07 19:17 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

60 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aryna Sabalenka (Hemma)

Prognos 84.73%1.18rättvist odds
EV -2.56%
Fördel -2.23%
Kelly -17.10%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.15

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
81.30%85.42%83.92%92.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.021.091.101.1598.04%91.52%90.91%86.96%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Barbora Krejcikova (Borta)

Prognos 15.27%6.55rättvist odds
EV +83.29%
Fördel +6.94%
Kelly +7.57%
Tillväxt +6.31%

med antagandet om högsta odds 12.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
7.90%14.58%16.08%18.70%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
5.007.256.0012.0020.00%13.79%16.67%8.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Aryna Sabalenka (Hemma): 84.73%; Barbora Krejcikova (Borta): 15.27%. För Barbora Krejcikova (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 6.55. 27 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 12.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +83.29%.

Spelbolagsodds (60 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
William Hill🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -12.73%E -12.36%K -424.40%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +83.29%E +6.94%K +7.57%G +6.31%5.4%2026-05-07 19:06
Pinnacle🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 91.58%EV -9.34%E -8.73%K -133.47%G +0.000%11.64I 8.59%NM 8.42%EV +77.79%E +6.68%K +7.31%G +5.69%2.0%2026-05-07 19:05
SportsBet🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -11.88%E -11.43%K -297.12%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +75.65%E +6.58%K +7.20%G +5.45%4.8%2026-05-07 18:55
1xBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -11.04%E -10.51%K -220.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +68.01%E +6.18%K +6.80%G +4.63%4.3%2026-05-07 18:55
NetBet (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -13.58%E -13.31%K -678.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +68.01%E +6.18%K +6.80%G +4.63%7.1%2026-05-07 18:55
LowVig.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.65%EV -10.19%E -9.61%K -169.84%G +0.000%10.28I 9.73%NM 9.35%EV +57.01%E +5.55%K +6.14%G +3.50%4.1%2026-05-07 18:55
BetOnline.ag🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.65%EV -10.19%E -9.61%K -169.84%G +0.000%10.28I 9.73%NM 9.35%EV +57.01%E +5.55%K +6.14%G +3.50%4.1%2026-05-07 19:00
Bet Right🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -11.04%E -10.51%K -220.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +52.74%E +5.27%K +5.86%G +3.09%5.2%2026-05-07 18:55
PlayUp🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -11.88%E -11.43%K -297.12%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +52.74%E +5.27%K +5.86%G +3.09%6.2%2026-05-07 19:08
ReBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.32%EV -11.04%E -10.51%K -220.75%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.68%EV +49.68%E +5.07%K +5.65%G +2.80%5.4%2026-05-07 18:55
GTbets🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.22%EV -10.19%E -9.61%K -169.84%G +0.000%9.78I 10.22%NM 9.78%EV +49.38%E +5.05%K +5.62%G +2.78%4.6%2026-05-07 18:55
Neds🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -12.73%E -12.36%K -424.40%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV +48.92%E +5.02%K +5.59%G +2.73%7.3%2026-05-07 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -12.73%E -12.36%K -424.40%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV +48.92%E +5.02%K +5.59%G +2.73%7.3%2026-05-07 18:55
Unibet (FR)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -11.04%E -10.51%K -220.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +45.10%E +4.75%K +5.31%G +2.39%5.8%2026-05-07 18:54
Betr (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -11.04%E -10.51%K -220.75%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV +41.28%E +4.46%K +5.00%G +2.07%6.0%2026-05-07 18:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -10.19%E -9.61%K -169.84%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV +34.41%E +3.91%K +4.41%G +1.52%5.7%2026-05-07 18:59
Everygame🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -11.88%E -11.43%K -297.12%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV +29.83%E +3.51%K +3.98%G +1.19%7.9%2026-05-07 18:55
DraftKings🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.39%EV -7.65%E -7.02%K -84.98%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.61%EV +26.77%E +3.23%K +3.67%G +0.982%3.8%2026-05-07 19:14
TAB🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -10.19%E -9.61%K -169.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +22.19%E +2.77%K +3.17%G +0.703%6.8%2026-05-07 18:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -11.88%E -11.43%K -297.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +22.19%E +2.77%K +3.17%G +0.703%8.7%2026-05-07 19:10
Coral🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -8.50%E -7.87%K -106.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +14.55%E +1.94%K +2.24%G +0.326%5.9%2026-05-07 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -8.50%E -7.87%K -106.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +14.55%E +1.94%K +2.24%G +0.326%5.9%2026-05-07 19:15
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.80%E -6.18%K -68.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.92%E +0.988%K +1.15%G +0.080%5.2%2026-05-07 19:15
BetMGM🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.50%E -7.87%K -106.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +6.92%E +0.988%K +1.15%G +0.080%6.9%2026-05-07 19:15
888sport🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.50%E -7.87%K -106.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +6.92%E +0.988%K +1.15%G +0.080%6.9%2026-05-07 19:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.50%E -7.87%K -106.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +6.92%E +0.988%K +1.15%G +0.080%6.9%2026-05-07 19:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.50%E -7.87%K -106.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +6.92%E +0.988%K +1.15%G +0.080%6.9%2026-05-07 19:15
Unibet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.95%E -5.36%K -54.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -0.721%E -0.111%K -0.131%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 19:15
Casumo🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.26%E -3.77%K -32.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.36%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 19:15
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.26%E -3.77%K -32.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.36%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 19:15
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.26%E -3.77%K -32.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.36%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 19:15
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.26%E -3.77%K -32.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.36%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 19:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.26%E -3.77%K -32.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.36%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 19:15
Svenska Spel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.26%E -3.77%K -32.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.36%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 19:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.26%E -3.77%K -32.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.36%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 19:15
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.11%E -4.56%K -42.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.36%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 19:15
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.95%E -5.36%K -54.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.36%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 19:15
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.80%E -6.18%K -68.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -8.36%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 19:15
Winamax (DE)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.65%E -7.02%K -84.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -8.36%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 19:15
Coolbet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.41%E -2.99%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.41%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 19:15
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.41%E -2.99%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -12.18%E -2.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 19:15
TABtouch🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.26%E -3.77%K -32.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -12.18%E -2.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 19:15
Betsson🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.11%E -4.56%K -42.56%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -12.94%E -2.27%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 19:15
NordicBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.11%E -4.56%K -42.56%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -12.94%E -2.27%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 19:15
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.26%E -3.77%K -32.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -14.47%E -2.58%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 19:15
Grosvenor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.11%E -4.56%K -42.56%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -14.47%E -2.58%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 19:15
Virgin Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.11%E -4.56%K -42.56%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -14.47%E -2.58%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 19:15
LiveScore Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.11%E -4.56%K -42.56%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -14.47%E -2.58%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 19:15
Bally Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.11%E -4.56%K -42.56%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -14.47%E -2.58%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 19:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.26%E -3.77%K -32.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -15.99%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 19:15
Tipico (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.11%E -4.56%K -42.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.99%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 19:15
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.11%E -4.56%K -42.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.99%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 19:15
LeoVegas🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -5.95%E -5.36%K -54.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -15.99%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -5.95%E -5.36%K -54.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -15.99%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 19:15
Fliff🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -5.95%E -5.36%K -54.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -15.99%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 19:15
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -5.11%E -4.56%K -42.56%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -17.52%E -3.24%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 19:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 82.81%EV -7.65%E -7.02%K -84.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -19.81%E -3.77%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-07 19:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 82.54%EV -6.80%E -6.18%K -68.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -20.58%E -3.96%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-07 19:15
Bet Victor🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -2.56%E -2.23%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -23.63%E -4.73%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 19:15
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -3.41%E -2.99%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -23.63%E -4.73%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 19:15
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-05-07 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-05-07 19:15
Matchbook1.14I 87.72%NM 86.00%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00%2.0%2026-05-07 19:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 88.17%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.83%3.1%2026-05-07 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 88.17%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.83%3.1%2026-05-07 19:15
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 85.86%6.62I 15.11%NM 14.14%6.8%2026-05-07 19:15