A Escola das Odds

Aryna Sabalenka v Barbora Krejcikova

Início: 2026-05-07 19:17 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Previsão 84.73%1.18odd justa
EV -2.56%
Vantagem -2.23%
Kelly -17.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
81.30%85.42%83.92%92.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.021.091.101.1598.04%91.52%90.91%86.96%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Barbora Krejcikova (Visitante)

Previsão 15.27%6.55odd justa
EV +83.29%
Vantagem +6.94%
Kelly +7.57%
Crescimento +6.31%

pressupondo odds máximas de 12.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
7.90%14.58%16.08%18.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.007.256.0012.0020.00%13.79%16.67%8.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
William Hill1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -12.73%E -12.36%K -424.40%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +83.29%E +6.94%K +7.57%G +6.31%5.4%2026-05-07 19:06
Pinnacle1.07I 93.46%NM 91.58%EV -9.34%E -8.73%K -133.47%G +0.000%11.64I 8.59%NM 8.42%EV +77.79%E +6.68%K +7.31%G +5.69%2.0%2026-05-07 19:05
SportsBet1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -11.88%E -11.43%K -297.12%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +75.65%E +6.58%K +7.20%G +5.45%4.8%2026-05-07 18:55
1xBet1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -11.04%E -10.51%K -220.75%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +68.01%E +6.18%K +6.80%G +4.63%4.3%2026-05-07 18:55
NetBet (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -13.58%E -13.31%K -678.96%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +68.01%E +6.18%K +6.80%G +4.63%7.1%2026-05-07 18:55
LowVig.ag1.06I 94.34%NM 90.65%EV -10.19%E -9.61%K -169.84%G +0.000%10.28I 9.73%NM 9.35%EV +57.01%E +5.55%K +6.14%G +3.50%4.1%2026-05-07 18:55
BetOnline.ag1.06I 94.34%NM 90.65%EV -10.19%E -9.61%K -169.84%G +0.000%10.28I 9.73%NM 9.35%EV +57.01%E +5.55%K +6.14%G +3.50%4.1%2026-05-07 19:00
Bet Right1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -11.04%E -10.51%K -220.75%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +52.74%E +5.27%K +5.86%G +3.09%5.2%2026-05-07 18:55
PlayUp1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -11.88%E -11.43%K -297.12%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +52.74%E +5.27%K +5.86%G +3.09%6.2%2026-05-07 19:08
ReBet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.32%EV -11.04%E -10.51%K -220.75%G +0.000%9.80I 10.20%NM 9.68%EV +49.68%E +5.07%K +5.65%G +2.80%5.4%2026-05-07 18:55
GTbets1.06I 94.34%NM 90.22%EV -10.19%E -9.61%K -169.84%G +0.000%9.78I 10.22%NM 9.78%EV +49.38%E +5.05%K +5.62%G +2.78%4.6%2026-05-07 18:55
Neds1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -12.73%E -12.36%K -424.40%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV +48.92%E +5.02%K +5.59%G +2.73%7.3%2026-05-07 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -12.73%E -12.36%K -424.40%G +0.000%9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV +48.92%E +5.02%K +5.59%G +2.73%7.3%2026-05-07 18:55
Unibet (FR)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -11.04%E -10.51%K -220.75%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +45.10%E +4.75%K +5.31%G +2.39%5.8%2026-05-07 18:54
Betr (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -11.04%E -10.51%K -220.75%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV +41.28%E +4.46%K +5.00%G +2.07%6.0%2026-05-07 18:55
Marathon Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -10.19%E -9.61%K -169.84%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV +34.41%E +3.91%K +4.41%G +1.52%5.7%2026-05-07 18:59
Everygame1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -11.88%E -11.43%K -297.12%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV +29.83%E +3.51%K +3.98%G +1.19%7.9%2026-05-07 18:55
DraftKings1.09I 91.74%NM 88.39%EV -7.65%E -7.02%K -84.98%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.61%EV +26.77%E +3.23%K +3.67%G +0.982%3.8%2026-05-07 19:14
TAB1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -10.19%E -9.61%K -169.84%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +22.19%E +2.77%K +3.17%G +0.703%6.8%2026-05-07 18:54
Betclic (FR)1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -11.88%E -11.43%K -297.12%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +22.19%E +2.77%K +3.17%G +0.703%8.7%2026-05-07 19:10
Coral1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -8.50%E -7.87%K -106.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +14.55%E +1.94%K +2.24%G +0.326%5.9%2026-05-07 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -8.50%E -7.87%K -106.20%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +14.55%E +1.94%K +2.24%G +0.326%5.9%2026-05-07 19:15
Betway1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.80%E -6.18%K -68.01%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.92%E +0.988%K +1.15%G +0.080%5.2%2026-05-07 19:15
BetMGM1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.50%E -7.87%K -106.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +6.92%E +0.988%K +1.15%G +0.080%6.9%2026-05-07 19:15
888sport1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.50%E -7.87%K -106.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +6.92%E +0.988%K +1.15%G +0.080%6.9%2026-05-07 19:15
888sport (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.50%E -7.87%K -106.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +6.92%E +0.988%K +1.15%G +0.080%6.9%2026-05-07 19:15
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.50%E -7.87%K -106.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +6.92%E +0.988%K +1.15%G +0.080%6.9%2026-05-07 19:15
Unibet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.95%E -5.36%K -54.13%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -0.721%E -0.111%K -0.131%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-07 19:15
Casumo1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.26%E -3.77%K -32.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.36%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 19:15
Unibet (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.26%E -3.77%K -32.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.36%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 19:15
Unibet (NL)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.26%E -3.77%K -32.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.36%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 19:15
betPARX1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.26%E -3.77%K -32.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.36%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 19:15
ATG (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.26%E -3.77%K -32.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.36%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 19:15
Svenska Spel1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.26%E -3.77%K -32.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.36%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 19:15
Hard Rock Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.26%E -3.77%K -32.76%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.36%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-07 19:15
FanDuel1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.11%E -4.56%K -42.56%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.36%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-07 19:15
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.95%E -5.36%K -54.13%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.36%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 19:15
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.80%E -6.18%K -68.01%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -8.36%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-07 19:15
Winamax (DE)1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.65%E -7.02%K -84.98%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -8.36%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-07 19:15
Coolbet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.41%E -2.99%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.41%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-07 19:15
Unibet (UK)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.41%E -2.99%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -12.18%E -2.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-07 19:15
TABtouch1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.26%E -3.77%K -32.76%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -12.18%E -2.12%K -2.56%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-07 19:15
Betsson1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.11%E -4.56%K -42.56%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -12.94%E -2.27%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 19:15
NordicBet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.11%E -4.56%K -42.56%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -12.94%E -2.27%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-07 19:15
BetRivers1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.26%E -3.77%K -32.76%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -14.47%E -2.58%K -3.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-07 19:15
Grosvenor1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.11%E -4.56%K -42.56%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -14.47%E -2.58%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 19:15
Virgin Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.11%E -4.56%K -42.56%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -14.47%E -2.58%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 19:15
LiveScore Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.11%E -4.56%K -42.56%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -14.47%E -2.58%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 19:15
Bally Bet1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.11%E -4.56%K -42.56%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -14.47%E -2.58%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-07 19:15
PointsBet (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.26%E -3.77%K -32.76%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -15.99%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-07 19:15
Tipico (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.11%E -4.56%K -42.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.99%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 19:15
Caesars1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.11%E -4.56%K -42.56%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.99%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-07 19:15
LeoVegas1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -5.95%E -5.36%K -54.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -15.99%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 19:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -5.95%E -5.36%K -54.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -15.99%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 19:15
Fliff1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -5.95%E -5.36%K -54.13%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -15.99%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-07 19:15
Fanatics1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -5.11%E -4.56%K -42.56%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -17.52%E -3.24%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-07 19:15
PMU (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 82.81%EV -7.65%E -7.02%K -84.98%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -19.81%E -3.77%K -4.66%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-07 19:15
Winamax (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 82.54%EV -6.80%E -6.18%K -68.01%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -20.58%E -3.96%K -4.90%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-07 19:15
Bet Victor1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -2.56%E -2.23%K -17.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -23.63%E -4.73%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-07 19:15
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -3.41%E -2.99%K -24.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -23.63%E -4.73%K -5.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-07 19:15
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Smarkets1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%0.7%2026-05-07 19:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-05-07 19:15
Matchbook1.14I 87.72%NM 86.00%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00%2.0%2026-05-07 19:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 88.17%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.83%3.1%2026-05-07 19:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 88.17%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.83%3.1%2026-05-07 19:15
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 85.86%6.62I 15.11%NM 14.14%6.8%2026-05-07 19:15