La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Aryna Sabalenka v Barbora Krejcikova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Predicción 84.73%1.18momio equitativo
EV -2.56%
Ventaja -2.23%
Kelly -17.10%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.15
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
81.30%85.42%83.92%92.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.021.091.101.1598.04%91.52%90.91%86.96%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Barbora Krejcikova (Visitante)
Predicción 15.27%6.55momio equitativo
EV +83.29%
Ventaja +6.94%
Kelly +7.57%
Crecimiento +6.31%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 12.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
7.90%14.58%16.08%18.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.007.256.0012.0020.00%13.79%16.67%8.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -12.73%E -12.36%K -424.40%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV +83.29%E +6.94%K +7.57%G +6.31% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 19:06 |
| Pinnacle | 1.07I 93.46%NM 91.58%EV -9.34%E -8.73%K -133.47%G +0.000% | 11.64I 8.59%NM 8.42%EV +77.79%E +6.68%K +7.31%G +5.69% | 2.0% | 2026-05-07 19:05 |
| SportsBet | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.71%EV -11.88%E -11.43%K -297.12%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.29%EV +75.65%E +6.58%K +7.20%G +5.45% | 4.8% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| 1xBet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -11.04%E -10.51%K -220.75%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV +68.01%E +6.18%K +6.80%G +4.63% | 4.3% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -13.58%E -13.31%K -678.96%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +68.01%E +6.18%K +6.80%G +4.63% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.65%EV -10.19%E -9.61%K -169.84%G +0.000% | 10.28I 9.73%NM 9.35%EV +57.01%E +5.55%K +6.14%G +3.50% | 4.1% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.65%EV -10.19%E -9.61%K -169.84%G +0.000% | 10.28I 9.73%NM 9.35%EV +57.01%E +5.55%K +6.14%G +3.50% | 4.1% | 2026-05-07 19:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -11.04%E -10.51%K -220.75%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV +52.74%E +5.27%K +5.86%G +3.09% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| PlayUp | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -11.88%E -11.43%K -297.12%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV +52.74%E +5.27%K +5.86%G +3.09% | 6.2% | 2026-05-07 19:08 |
| ReBet | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.32%EV -11.04%E -10.51%K -220.75%G +0.000% | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.68%EV +49.68%E +5.07%K +5.65%G +2.80% | 5.4% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| GTbets | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.22%EV -10.19%E -9.61%K -169.84%G +0.000% | 9.78I 10.22%NM 9.78%EV +49.38%E +5.05%K +5.62%G +2.78% | 4.6% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| Neds | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -12.73%E -12.36%K -424.40%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV +48.92%E +5.02%K +5.59%G +2.73% | 7.3% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.45%EV -12.73%E -12.36%K -424.40%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.55%EV +48.92%E +5.02%K +5.59%G +2.73% | 7.3% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -11.04%E -10.51%K -220.75%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV +45.10%E +4.75%K +5.31%G +2.39% | 5.8% | 2026-05-07 18:54 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.81%EV -11.04%E -10.51%K -220.75%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.19%EV +41.28%E +4.46%K +5.00%G +2.07% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.25%EV -10.19%E -9.61%K -169.84%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 10.75%EV +34.41%E +3.91%K +4.41%G +1.52% | 5.7% | 2026-05-07 18:59 |
| Everygame | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.10%EV -11.88%E -11.43%K -297.12%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.90%EV +29.83%E +3.51%K +3.98%G +1.19% | 7.9% | 2026-05-07 18:55 |
| DraftKings | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.39%EV -7.65%E -7.02%K -84.98%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.61%EV +26.77%E +3.23%K +3.67%G +0.982% | 3.8% | 2026-05-07 19:14 |
| TAB | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -10.19%E -9.61%K -169.84%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV +22.19%E +2.77%K +3.17%G +0.703% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 18:54 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.50%EV -11.88%E -11.43%K -297.12%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.50%EV +22.19%E +2.77%K +3.17%G +0.703% | 8.7% | 2026-05-07 19:10 |
| Coral | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -8.50%E -7.87%K -106.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +14.55%E +1.94%K +2.24%G +0.326% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -8.50%E -7.87%K -106.20%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +14.55%E +1.94%K +2.24%G +0.326% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Betway | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.80%E -6.18%K -68.01%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +6.92%E +0.988%K +1.15%G +0.080% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.50%E -7.87%K -106.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +6.92%E +0.988%K +1.15%G +0.080% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| 888sport | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.50%E -7.87%K -106.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +6.92%E +0.988%K +1.15%G +0.080% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.50%E -7.87%K -106.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +6.92%E +0.988%K +1.15%G +0.080% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -8.50%E -7.87%K -106.20%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +6.92%E +0.988%K +1.15%G +0.080% | 6.9% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Unibet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.95%E -5.36%K -54.13%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -0.721%E -0.111%K -0.131%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Casumo | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.26%E -3.77%K -32.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.36%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.26%E -3.77%K -32.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.36%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.26%E -3.77%K -32.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.36%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| betPARX | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.26%E -3.77%K -32.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.36%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.26%E -3.77%K -32.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.36%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.26%E -3.77%K -32.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.36%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -4.26%E -3.77%K -32.76%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -8.36%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -5.11%E -4.56%K -42.56%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -8.36%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| theScore Bet | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.95%E -5.36%K -54.13%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -8.36%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Paddy Power | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.80%E -6.18%K -68.01%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -8.36%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 84.63%EV -7.65%E -7.02%K -84.98%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.37%EV -8.36%E -1.39%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Coolbet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -3.41%E -2.99%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV -11.41%E -1.97%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -3.41%E -2.99%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -12.18%E -2.12%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -4.26%E -3.77%K -32.76%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -12.18%E -2.12%K -2.56%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Betsson | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.11%E -4.56%K -42.56%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -12.94%E -2.27%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.58%EV -5.11%E -4.56%K -42.56%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.42%EV -12.94%E -2.27%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.21%EV -4.26%E -3.77%K -32.76%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.79%EV -14.47%E -2.58%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.11%E -4.56%K -42.56%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -14.47%E -2.58%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.11%E -4.56%K -42.56%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -14.47%E -2.58%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.11%E -4.56%K -42.56%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -14.47%E -2.58%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Bally Bet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.33%EV -5.11%E -4.56%K -42.56%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.67%EV -14.47%E -2.58%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -4.26%E -3.77%K -32.76%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -15.99%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.11%E -4.56%K -42.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.99%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Caesars | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -5.11%E -4.56%K -42.56%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -15.99%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -5.95%E -5.36%K -54.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -15.99%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -5.95%E -5.36%K -54.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -15.99%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Fliff | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.21%EV -5.95%E -5.36%K -54.13%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.79%EV -15.99%E -2.91%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -5.11%E -4.56%K -42.56%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -17.52%E -3.24%K -3.98%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.09I 91.74%NM 82.81%EV -7.65%E -7.02%K -84.98%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -19.81%E -3.77%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 82.54%EV -6.80%E -6.18%K -68.01%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.46%EV -20.58%E -3.96%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Bet Victor | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -2.56%E -2.23%K -17.10%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -23.63%E -4.73%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -3.41%E -2.99%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -23.63%E -4.73%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.89% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11% | 0.7% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02% | 1.5% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.00% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.00% | 2.0% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.17% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.83% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.10I 90.91%NM 88.17% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.83% | 3.1% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |
| Novig | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.86% | 6.62I 15.11%NM 14.14% | 6.8% | 2026-05-07 19:15 |