Language:English
Alexandra Eala v Magdalena Frech
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Alexandra Eala (Local)
Prediction 53.23%1.88fair odd
EV +1.68%
Edge +0.878%
Kelly +1.84%
Growth +0.031%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.05%53.82%53.02%60.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.541.721.731.9164.94%58.06%57.80%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Magdalena Frech (Visit)
Prediction 46.77%2.14fair odd
EV +12.24%
Edge +5.10%
Kelly +8.74%
Growth +1.07%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.85%46.18%46.98%50.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.802.082.052.4055.56%48.08%48.78%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexandra Eala (Local): 53.23%; Magdalena Frech (Visit): 46.77%. For Magdalena Frech (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. 23 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.40, corresponding to a positive expected value of +12.24%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -15.36%E -9.66%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +12.24%E +5.10%K +8.74%G +1.07% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -13.76%E -8.49%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +7.56%E +3.29%K +5.82%G +0.440% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -13.76%E -8.49%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +7.56%E +3.29%K +5.82%G +0.440% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -15.89%E -10.06%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV +7.56%E +3.29%K +5.82%G +0.440% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -16.42%E -10.46%K -28.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +7.56%E +3.29%K +5.82%G +0.440% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -16.42%E -10.46%K -28.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +7.56%E +3.29%K +5.82%G +0.440% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -16.42%E -10.46%K -28.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +7.56%E +3.29%K +5.82%G +0.440% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -11.10%E -6.65%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +5.22%E +2.32%K +4.18%G +0.218% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 09:13 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -16.42%E -10.46%K -28.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV +5.22%E +2.32%K +4.18%G +0.218% | 8.1% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -12.16%E -7.37%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV +3.82%E +1.72%K +3.13%G +0.120% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -14.29%E -8.88%K -23.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +2.88%E +1.31%K +2.40%G +0.069% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -14.29%E -8.88%K -23.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +2.88%E +1.31%K +2.40%G +0.069% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -10.57%E -6.29%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +1.95%E +0.894%K +1.65%G +0.032% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -10.57%E -6.29%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +1.95%E +0.894%K +1.65%G +0.032% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -10.57%E -6.29%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +1.95%E +0.894%K +1.65%G +0.032% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -10.57%E -6.29%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +1.95%E +0.894%K +1.65%G +0.032% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.49%EV -18.02%E -11.70%K -33.37%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.51%EV +1.48%E +0.683%K +1.27%G +0.019% | 11.0% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -11.10%E -6.65%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +0.546%E +0.254%K +0.475%G +0.003% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -11.10%E -6.65%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +0.546%E +0.254%K +0.475%G +0.003% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -15.36%E -9.66%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV +0.546%E +0.254%K +0.475%G +0.003% | 9.4% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -11.63%E -7.01%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV +0.078%E +0.037%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -11.63%E -7.01%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV +0.078%E +0.037%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -11.63%E -7.01%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV +0.078%E +0.037%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.84%E -3.91%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.79%E -0.853%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.90%E -4.57%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.79%E -0.853%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.90%E -4.57%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.79%E -0.853%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.50%E -5.59%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -1.79%E -0.853%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -13.23%E -8.12%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -1.79%E -0.853%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -8.97%E -5.25%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.90%E -4.57%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 09:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -8.97%E -5.25%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-06 09:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -1.52%E -0.820%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -4.60%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -10.57%E -6.29%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -4.60%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.11%E -1.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.53%E -2.74%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 08:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.53%E -2.74%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 09:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.71%E -2.63%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.53%E -2.74%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 08:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -2.58%E -1.41%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -6.00%E -2.99%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 08:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.11%E -1.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 08:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.65%E -2.01%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 08:59 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 09:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.24%E -2.95%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 09:04 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.24%E -2.95%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 09:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.84%E -3.91%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 09:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.50%E -5.59%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.78%E -3.26%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.40%E -3.74%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.78%E -3.26%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.40%E -3.74%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.52%E -0.820%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.34%E -4.25%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 09:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 09:03 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 09:03 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.84%E -3.91%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.84%E -3.91%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-06 08:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -1.52%E -0.820%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -9.74%E -5.05%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +1.68%E +0.878%K +1.84%G +0.031% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -10.68%E -5.59%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +1.68%E +0.878%K +1.84%G +0.031% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -10.68%E -5.59%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.58%E -1.41%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.68%E -5.59%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -2.58%E -1.41%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -12.55%E -6.71%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-06 09:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -6.31%E -3.58%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -13.02%E -7.00%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -0.452%E -0.242%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -15.82%E -8.79%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-06 09:10 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00% | 3.3% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26% | 3.5% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| Novig◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64% | 9.1% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |