L’École des cotes

Alexandra Eala v Magdalena Frech

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-06 10:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Alexandra Eala (Local)

Prévision 53.23%1.88cote équitable
EV +1.68%
Avantage +0.878%
Kelly +1.84%
Croissance +0.031%

avec la cote maximale 1.91

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.05%53.82%53.02%60.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.541.721.731.9164.94%58.06%57.80%52.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Magdalena Frech (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.77%2.14cote équitable
EV +12.24%
Avantage +5.10%
Kelly +8.74%
Croissance +1.07%

avec la cote maximale 2.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.85%46.18%46.98%50.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.802.082.052.4055.56%48.08%48.78%41.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -15.36%E -9.66%K -26.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +12.24%E +5.10%K +8.74%G +1.07%4.6%2026-05-06 09:15
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -13.76%E -8.49%K -22.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +7.56%E +3.29%K +5.82%G +0.440%5.2%2026-05-06 09:15
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -13.76%E -8.49%K -22.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +7.56%E +3.29%K +5.82%G +0.440%5.2%2026-05-06 09:15
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -15.89%E -10.06%K -27.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV +7.56%E +3.29%K +5.82%G +0.440%6.8%2026-05-06 09:14
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -16.42%E -10.46%K -28.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +7.56%E +3.29%K +5.82%G +0.440%7.2%2026-05-06 09:15
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -16.42%E -10.46%K -28.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +7.56%E +3.29%K +5.82%G +0.440%7.2%2026-05-06 09:14
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -16.42%E -10.46%K -28.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +7.56%E +3.29%K +5.82%G +0.440%7.2%2026-05-06 09:14
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -11.10%E -6.65%K -16.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +5.22%E +2.32%K +4.18%G +0.218%4.3%2026-05-06 09:13
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -16.42%E -10.46%K -28.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV +5.22%E +2.32%K +4.18%G +0.218%8.1%2026-05-06 09:14
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -12.16%E -7.37%K -18.71%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV +3.82%E +1.72%K +3.13%G +0.120%5.7%2026-05-06 09:14
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -14.29%E -8.88%K -23.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +2.88%E +1.31%K +2.40%G +0.069%7.6%2026-05-06 09:14
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -14.29%E -8.88%K -23.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +2.88%E +1.31%K +2.40%G +0.069%7.6%2026-05-06 09:15
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -10.57%E -6.29%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +1.95%E +0.894%K +1.65%G +0.032%5.4%2026-05-06 09:15
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -10.57%E -6.29%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +1.95%E +0.894%K +1.65%G +0.032%5.4%2026-05-06 09:15
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -10.57%E -6.29%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +1.95%E +0.894%K +1.65%G +0.032%5.4%2026-05-06 09:15
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -10.57%E -6.29%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +1.95%E +0.894%K +1.65%G +0.032%5.4%2026-05-06 09:14
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.49%EV -18.02%E -11.70%K -33.37%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.51%EV +1.48%E +0.683%K +1.27%G +0.019%11.0%2026-05-06 09:15
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -11.10%E -6.65%K -16.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +0.546%E +0.254%K +0.475%G +0.003%6.4%2026-05-06 09:15
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -11.10%E -6.65%K -16.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +0.546%E +0.254%K +0.475%G +0.003%6.4%2026-05-06 09:14
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -15.36%E -9.66%K -26.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV +0.546%E +0.254%K +0.475%G +0.003%9.4%2026-05-06 09:14
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -11.63%E -7.01%K -17.62%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV +0.078%E +0.037%K +0.069%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 09:14
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -11.63%E -7.01%K -17.62%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV +0.078%E +0.037%K +0.069%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 09:15
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -11.63%E -7.01%K -17.62%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV +0.078%E +0.037%K +0.069%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 09:15
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.84%E -3.91%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.79%E -0.853%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 09:14
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.90%E -4.57%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.79%E -0.853%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 09:15
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.90%E -4.57%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.79%E -0.853%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 09:14
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.50%E -5.59%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -1.79%E -0.853%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 09:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -13.23%E -8.12%K -21.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -1.79%E -0.853%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-06 09:14
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -8.97%E -5.25%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 09:14
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 09:05
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.90%E -4.57%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 09:10
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -8.97%E -5.25%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 09:10
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -1.52%E -0.820%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -4.60%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-06 09:05
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -10.57%E -6.29%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -4.60%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 09:14
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.11%E -1.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.53%E -2.74%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 08:59
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.53%E -2.74%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 09:04
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.71%E -2.63%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.53%E -2.74%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 08:59
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -2.58%E -1.41%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -6.00%E -2.99%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 08:59
ReBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.11%E -1.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 08:59
Unibet (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.65%E -2.01%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 08:59
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 09:04
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.24%E -2.95%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 09:04
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.24%E -2.95%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 09:04
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.84%E -3.91%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.50%E -5.59%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-06 09:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.78%E -3.26%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.40%E -3.74%K -7.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 09:05
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.78%E -3.26%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.40%E -3.74%K -7.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 09:05
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.52%E -0.820%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.34%E -4.25%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 09:15
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 09:10
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 09:03
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 09:03
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.84%E -3.91%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-06 09:14
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.84%E -3.91%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-06 08:59
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -1.52%E -0.820%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -9.74%E -5.05%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 09:05
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +1.68%E +0.878%K +1.84%G +0.031%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -10.68%E -5.59%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 09:05
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +1.68%E +0.878%K +1.84%G +0.031%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -10.68%E -5.59%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 09:05
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.58%E -1.41%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.68%E -5.59%K -11.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 09:15
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -2.58%E -1.41%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -12.55%E -6.71%K -14.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 09:10
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -6.31%E -3.58%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -13.02%E -7.00%K -15.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-06 09:15
Betclic (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -0.452%E -0.242%K -0.519%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -15.82%E -8.79%K -19.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-06 09:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-05-06 09:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-05-06 09:15
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%3.3%2026-05-06 09:15
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%3.5%2026-05-06 09:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%5.0%2026-05-06 09:14
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%9.1%2026-05-06 09:15