La scuola delle quote

Alexandra Eala v Magdalena Frech

Inizio: 2026-05-06 10:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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60 bookmaker (21 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Alexandra Eala (Casa)

Previsione 53.23%1.88quota equa
EV +1.68%
Vantaggio +0.878%
Kelly +1.84%
Crescita +0.031%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.05%53.82%53.02%60.15%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.541.721.731.9164.94%58.06%57.80%52.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Magdalena Frech (Trasferta)

Previsione 46.77%2.14quota equa
EV +12.24%
Vantaggio +5.10%
Kelly +8.74%
Crescita +1.07%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.85%46.18%46.98%50.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.802.082.052.4055.56%48.08%48.78%41.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (60 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -15.36%E -9.66%K -26.03%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +12.24%E +5.10%K +8.74%G +1.07%4.6%2026-05-06 09:15
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -13.76%E -8.49%K -22.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +7.56%E +3.29%K +5.82%G +0.440%5.2%2026-05-06 09:15
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -13.76%E -8.49%K -22.19%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +7.56%E +3.29%K +5.82%G +0.440%5.2%2026-05-06 09:15
TAB1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -15.89%E -10.06%K -27.40%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV +7.56%E +3.29%K +5.82%G +0.440%6.8%2026-05-06 09:14
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -16.42%E -10.46%K -28.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +7.56%E +3.29%K +5.82%G +0.440%7.2%2026-05-06 09:15
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -16.42%E -10.46%K -28.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +7.56%E +3.29%K +5.82%G +0.440%7.2%2026-05-06 09:14
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -16.42%E -10.46%K -28.81%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +7.56%E +3.29%K +5.82%G +0.440%7.2%2026-05-06 09:14
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -11.10%E -6.65%K -16.57%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +5.22%E +2.32%K +4.18%G +0.218%4.3%2026-05-06 09:13
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -16.42%E -10.46%K -28.81%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV +5.22%E +2.32%K +4.18%G +0.218%8.1%2026-05-06 09:14
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -12.16%E -7.37%K -18.71%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV +3.82%E +1.72%K +3.13%G +0.120%5.7%2026-05-06 09:14
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -14.29%E -8.88%K -23.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +2.88%E +1.31%K +2.40%G +0.069%7.6%2026-05-06 09:14
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -14.29%E -8.88%K -23.43%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +2.88%E +1.31%K +2.40%G +0.069%7.6%2026-05-06 09:15
Unibet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -10.57%E -6.29%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +1.95%E +0.894%K +1.65%G +0.032%5.4%2026-05-06 09:15
Casumo1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -10.57%E -6.29%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +1.95%E +0.894%K +1.65%G +0.032%5.4%2026-05-06 09:15
Unibet (SE)1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -10.57%E -6.29%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +1.95%E +0.894%K +1.65%G +0.032%5.4%2026-05-06 09:15
Svenska Spel1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -10.57%E -6.29%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +1.95%E +0.894%K +1.65%G +0.032%5.4%2026-05-06 09:14
PMU (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 58.49%EV -18.02%E -11.70%K -33.37%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 41.51%EV +1.48%E +0.683%K +1.27%G +0.019%11.0%2026-05-06 09:15
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -11.10%E -6.65%K -16.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +0.546%E +0.254%K +0.475%G +0.003%6.4%2026-05-06 09:15
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -11.10%E -6.65%K -16.57%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +0.546%E +0.254%K +0.475%G +0.003%6.4%2026-05-06 09:14
Fliff1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -15.36%E -9.66%K -26.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV +0.546%E +0.254%K +0.475%G +0.003%9.4%2026-05-06 09:14
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -11.63%E -7.01%K -17.62%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV +0.078%E +0.037%K +0.069%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 09:14
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -11.63%E -7.01%K -17.62%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV +0.078%E +0.037%K +0.069%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 09:15
Grosvenor1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -11.63%E -7.01%K -17.62%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV +0.078%E +0.037%K +0.069%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 09:15
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.84%E -3.91%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.79%E -0.853%K -1.63%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-06 09:14
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.90%E -4.57%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.79%E -0.853%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 09:15
Unibet (NL)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.90%E -4.57%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.79%E -0.853%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 09:14
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.50%E -5.59%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -1.79%E -0.853%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 09:14
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -13.23%E -8.12%K -21.00%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -1.79%E -0.853%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-06 09:14
Bally Bet1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -8.97%E -5.25%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 09:14
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-06 09:05
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.90%E -4.57%K -10.83%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-06 09:10
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -8.97%E -5.25%K -12.63%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-06 09:10
Pinnacle1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -1.52%E -0.820%K -1.78%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -4.60%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-06 09:05
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -10.57%E -6.29%K -15.54%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -4.60%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-06 09:14
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.11%E -1.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.53%E -2.74%K -5.42%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-06 08:59
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.53%E -2.74%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 09:04
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.71%E -2.63%K -5.96%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.53%E -2.74%K -5.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-06 08:59
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -2.58%E -1.41%K -3.11%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -6.00%E -2.99%K -5.94%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-06 08:59
ReBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.11%E -1.71%K -3.80%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-06 08:59
Unibet (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.65%E -2.01%K -4.50%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-06 08:59
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-06 09:04
Betr (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.24%E -2.95%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 09:04
Unibet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.24%E -2.95%K -6.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-06 09:04
Tipico (DE)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.84%E -3.91%K -9.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-06 09:10
Winamax (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.50%E -5.59%K -13.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-06 09:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.78%E -3.26%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.40%E -3.74%K -7.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 09:05
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.78%E -3.26%K -7.50%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.40%E -3.74%K -7.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 09:05
Coolbet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.52%E -0.820%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.34%E -4.25%K -8.69%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-06 09:15
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 09:10
BetUS1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 09:03
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-06 09:03
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.84%E -3.91%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-06 09:14
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.84%E -3.91%K -9.12%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-06 08:59
PlayUp1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -1.52%E -0.820%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -9.74%E -5.05%K -10.48%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-06 09:05
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +1.68%E +0.878%K +1.84%G +0.031%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -10.68%E -5.59%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 09:05
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +1.68%E +0.878%K +1.84%G +0.031%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -10.68%E -5.59%K -11.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-06 09:05
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.58%E -1.41%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.68%E -5.59%K -11.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-06 09:15
Fanatics1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -2.58%E -1.41%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -12.55%E -6.71%K -14.42%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-06 09:10
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -6.31%E -3.58%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -13.02%E -7.00%K -15.13%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-06 09:15
Betclic (FR)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -0.452%E -0.242%K -0.519%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -15.82%E -8.79%K -19.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-06 09:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-05-06 09:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-05-06 09:15
Smarkets1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00%2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00%3.3%2026-05-06 09:15
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26%3.5%2026-05-06 09:14
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%5.0%2026-05-06 09:14
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64%9.1%2026-05-06 09:15