La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Alexandra Eala v Magdalena Frech
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Alexandra Eala (Local)
Predicción 53.23%1.88momio equitativo
EV +1.68%
Ventaja +0.878%
Kelly +1.84%
Crecimiento +0.031%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
49.05%53.82%53.02%60.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.541.721.731.9164.94%58.06%57.80%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Magdalena Frech (Visitante)
Predicción 46.77%2.14momio equitativo
EV +12.24%
Ventaja +5.10%
Kelly +8.74%
Crecimiento +1.07%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.85%46.18%46.98%50.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.802.082.052.4055.56%48.08%48.78%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -15.36%E -9.66%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV +12.24%E +5.10%K +8.74%G +1.07% | 4.6% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| betPARX | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -13.76%E -8.49%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +7.56%E +3.29%K +5.82%G +0.440% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -13.76%E -8.49%K -22.19%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +7.56%E +3.29%K +5.82%G +0.440% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| TAB | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -15.89%E -10.06%K -27.40%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV +7.56%E +3.29%K +5.82%G +0.440% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| BoyleSports | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -16.42%E -10.46%K -28.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +7.56%E +3.29%K +5.82%G +0.440% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -16.42%E -10.46%K -28.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +7.56%E +3.29%K +5.82%G +0.440% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -16.42%E -10.46%K -28.81%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV +7.56%E +3.29%K +5.82%G +0.440% | 7.2% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -11.10%E -6.65%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV +5.22%E +2.32%K +4.18%G +0.218% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 09:13 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -16.42%E -10.46%K -28.81%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV +5.22%E +2.32%K +4.18%G +0.218% | 8.1% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.36%EV -12.16%E -7.37%K -18.71%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.64%EV +3.82%E +1.72%K +3.13%G +0.120% | 5.7% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -14.29%E -8.88%K -23.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +2.88%E +1.31%K +2.40%G +0.069% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -14.29%E -8.88%K -23.43%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV +2.88%E +1.31%K +2.40%G +0.069% | 7.6% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| Unibet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -10.57%E -6.29%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +1.95%E +0.894%K +1.65%G +0.032% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| Casumo | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -10.57%E -6.29%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +1.95%E +0.894%K +1.65%G +0.032% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -10.57%E -6.29%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +1.95%E +0.894%K +1.65%G +0.032% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -10.57%E -6.29%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV +1.95%E +0.894%K +1.65%G +0.032% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.49%EV -18.02%E -11.70%K -33.37%G +0.000% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 41.51%EV +1.48%E +0.683%K +1.27%G +0.019% | 11.0% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| BetRivers | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -11.10%E -6.65%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +0.546%E +0.254%K +0.475%G +0.003% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -11.10%E -6.65%K -16.57%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV +0.546%E +0.254%K +0.475%G +0.003% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| Fliff | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.49%EV -15.36%E -9.66%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.51%EV +0.546%E +0.254%K +0.475%G +0.003% | 9.4% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -11.63%E -7.01%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV +0.078%E +0.037%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -11.63%E -7.01%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV +0.078%E +0.037%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -11.63%E -7.01%K -17.62%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV +0.078%E +0.037%K +0.069%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.84%E -3.91%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -1.79%E -0.853%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.90%E -4.57%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.79%E -0.853%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.90%E -4.57%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.79%E -0.853%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.50%E -5.59%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -1.79%E -0.853%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -13.23%E -8.12%K -21.00%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -1.79%E -0.853%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| Bally Bet | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.64%EV -8.97%E -5.25%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 45.36%EV -3.66%E -1.78%K -3.46%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -7.90%E -4.57%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-06 09:10 |
| BetMGM | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -8.97%E -5.25%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -4.13%E -2.01%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-06 09:10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85I 54.05%NM 52.44%EV -1.52%E -0.820%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.56%EV -4.60%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.84%EV -10.57%E -6.29%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.16%EV -4.60%E -2.25%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| 1xBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.11%E -1.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.53%E -2.74%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-06 08:59 |
| Bet Right | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -5.53%E -2.74%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 09:04 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -4.71%E -2.63%K -5.96%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -5.53%E -2.74%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-06 08:59 |
| GTbets | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.34%EV -2.58%E -1.41%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 47.66%EV -6.00%E -2.99%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-06 08:59 |
| ReBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.11%E -1.71%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-06 08:59 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -3.65%E -2.01%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-06 08:59 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-06 09:04 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.24%E -2.95%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 09:04 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -5.24%E -2.95%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-06 09:04 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.84%E -3.91%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-06 09:10 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -9.50%E -5.59%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -6.47%E -3.23%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.78%E -3.26%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.40%E -3.74%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| Neds | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.78%E -3.26%K -7.50%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -7.40%E -3.74%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -1.52%E -0.820%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -8.34%E -4.25%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 09:10 |
| BetUS | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 09:03 |
| Caesars | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.18%E -2.32%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-06 09:03 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.84%E -3.91%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.84%E -3.91%K -9.12%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.81%E -4.52%K -9.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-06 08:59 |
| PlayUp | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -1.52%E -0.820%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -9.74%E -5.05%K -10.48%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +1.68%E +0.878%K +1.84%G +0.031% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -10.68%E -5.59%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +1.68%E +0.878%K +1.84%G +0.031% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -10.68%E -5.59%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-06 09:05 |
| theScore Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -2.58%E -1.41%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.68%E -5.59%K -11.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -2.58%E -1.41%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -12.55%E -6.71%K -14.42%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-06 09:10 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.38%EV -6.31%E -3.58%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -13.02%E -7.00%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -0.452%E -0.242%K -0.519%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -15.82%E -8.79%K -19.78%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-06 09:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 0.5% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| Smarkets | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.00% | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.00% | 3.3% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |
| Matchbook | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.74% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 39.26% | 3.5% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08% | 5.0% | 2026-05-06 09:14 |
| Novig | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.36% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.64% | 9.1% | 2026-05-06 09:15 |