Language:English
Zeynep Sonmez v Anna Kalinskaya
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zeynep Sonmez (Local)
Prediction 29.83%3.35fair odd
EV +34.24%
Edge +7.61%
Kelly +9.78%
Growth +3.35%
assuming max odds 4.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.77%29.91%29.82%34.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.653.163.154.5037.74%31.68%31.75%22.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Anna Kalinskaya (Visit)
Prediction 70.17%1.43fair odd
EV +1.75%
Edge +1.20%
Kelly +3.88%
Growth +0.068%
assuming max odds 1.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.31%70.09%70.18%79.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.351.351.4584.75%74.25%74.07%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zeynep Sonmez (Local): 29.83%; Anna Kalinskaya (Visit): 70.17%. For Zeynep Sonmez (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.35. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +34.24%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +34.24%E +7.61%K +9.78%G +3.35% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -17.20%E -14.58%K -95.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 21:04 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +7.39%E +2.05%K +2.84%G +0.210% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -8.08%E -6.17%K -26.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +4.41%E +1.26%K +1.76%G +0.078% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -10.18%E -7.96%K -36.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +4.41%E +1.26%K +1.76%G +0.078% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -10.18%E -7.96%K -36.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.21%EV +0.530%E +0.157%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.79%EV -11.59%E -9.20%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 21:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.067%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.067%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.067%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV -1.56%E -0.472%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%EV -3.17%E -2.29%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.56%E -0.472%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -1.56%E -0.472%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.78%E -6.75%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -1.56%E -0.472%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -9.48%E -7.35%K -32.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.38%E -5.59%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.38%E -5.59%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.38%E -5.59%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.38%E -5.59%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.38%E -5.59%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.38%E -5.59%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -8.78%E -6.75%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.78%E -6.75%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.78%E -6.75%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -4.84%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -5.14%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.27%E -3.90%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.87%E -2.82%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 20:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -6.33%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.17%E -2.29%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -6.33%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.17%E -2.29%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 20:51 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%EV -6.93%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%EV -5.27%E -3.90%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.17%E -2.29%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.87%E -2.82%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.87%E -2.82%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 20:51 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.27%E -3.90%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.97%E -4.46%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 20:46 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -8.12%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -3.17%E -2.29%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 21:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.47%EV -8.12%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -5.27%E -3.90%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 21:02 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -9.02%E -2.96%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.02%E -2.96%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -7.38%E -5.59%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.17%E -2.29%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 21:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 20:51 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.27%E -3.90%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 20:51 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.27%E -3.90%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.49%E -4.65%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.76%E -1.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -14.98%E -5.26%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV +0.342%E +0.239%K +0.795%G +0.003% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -16.47%E -5.88%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.76%E -1.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -16.47%E -5.88%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.76%E -1.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -17.97%E -6.53%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -1.76%E -1.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -17.97%E -6.53%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -1.76%E -1.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 21:06 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -17.97%E -6.53%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -1.76%E -1.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV -18.56%E -6.80%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV +1.75%E +1.20%K +3.88%G +0.068% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -20.95%E -7.90%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -1.76%E -1.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-03-06 21:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 1.2% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 1.4% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Novig◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.14% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |