La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Zeynep Sonmez v Anna Kalinskaya
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Zeynep Sonmez (Local)
Predicción 29.83%3.35momio equitativo
EV +34.24%
Ventaja +7.61%
Kelly +9.78%
Crecimiento +3.35%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.77%29.91%29.82%34.69%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.653.163.154.5037.74%31.68%31.75%22.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Anna Kalinskaya (Visitante)
Predicción 70.17%1.43momio equitativo
EV +1.75%
Ventaja +1.20%
Kelly +3.88%
Crecimiento +0.068%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.31%70.09%70.18%79.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.181.351.351.4584.75%74.25%74.07%68.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +34.24%E +7.61%K +9.78%G +3.35% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -17.20%E -14.58%K -95.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 21:04 |
| Bovada | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +7.39%E +2.05%K +2.84%G +0.210% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -8.08%E -6.17%K -26.06%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +4.41%E +1.26%K +1.76%G +0.078% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -10.18%E -7.96%K -36.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Coral | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +4.41%E +1.26%K +1.76%G +0.078% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -10.18%E -7.96%K -36.37%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Betclic (FR) | 3.37I 29.67%NM 27.21%EV +0.530%E +0.157%K +0.224%G +0.001% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.79%EV -11.59%E -9.20%K -44.56%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 21:04 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.067%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.067%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.067%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Pinnacle | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV -1.56%E -0.472%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%EV -3.17%E -2.29%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Betway | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.56%E -0.472%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -1.56%E -0.472%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.78%E -6.75%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Fanatics | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -1.56%E -0.472%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -9.48%E -7.35%K -32.70%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| 888sport | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Betsson | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.38%E -5.59%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| NordicBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.38%E -5.59%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.38%E -5.59%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.38%E -5.59%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Grosvenor | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.38%E -5.59%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Bally Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.38%E -5.59%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| BoyleSports | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -8.78%E -6.75%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| FanDuel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| theScore Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.78%E -6.75%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| LeoVegas | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.78%E -6.75%K -29.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| 1xBet | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -4.84%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| Marathon Bet | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -5.14%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.27%E -3.90%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 20:55 |
| BetUS | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.87%E -2.82%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 20:59 |
| Casumo | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Unibet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| betPARX | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -6.33%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.17%E -2.29%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -6.33%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.17%E -2.29%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 20:51 |
| Unibet (FR) | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%EV -6.93%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%EV -5.27%E -3.90%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| BetRivers | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.17%E -2.29%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Bet Right | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.87%E -2.82%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.87%E -2.82%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 20:51 |
| Everygame | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| TABtouch | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.27%E -3.90%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.97%E -4.46%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| NetBet (FR) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 20:46 |
| GTbets | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -8.12%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -3.17%E -2.29%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-06 21:00 |
| SportsBet | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.47%EV -8.12%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -5.27%E -3.90%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-06 21:02 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -9.02%E -2.96%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Fliff | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.02%E -2.96%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -7.38%E -5.59%K -23.05%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| PlayUp | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.17%E -2.29%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 21:00 |
| Caesars | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 20:51 |
| Neds | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.27%E -3.90%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 20:51 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.27%E -3.90%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| William Hill | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.49%E -4.65%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.76%E -1.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 20:50 |
| Coolbet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -14.98%E -5.26%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV +0.342%E +0.239%K +0.795%G +0.003% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -16.47%E -5.88%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.76%E -1.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| TAB | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -16.47%E -5.88%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.76%E -1.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Paddy Power | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -17.97%E -6.53%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -1.76%E -1.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -17.97%E -6.53%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -1.76%E -1.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 21:06 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -17.97%E -6.53%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -1.76%E -1.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| DraftKings | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV -18.56%E -6.80%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV +1.75%E +1.20%K +3.88%G +0.068% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -20.95%E -7.90%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -1.76%E -1.26%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 0.7% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Smarkets | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-03-06 21:06 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15% | 1.2% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Matchbook | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 1.4% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |
| Novig | 2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.14% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 21:05 |