A Escola das Odds

Zeynep Sonmez v Anna Kalinskaya

Início: 2026-03-06 21:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Zeynep Sonmez (Local)

Previsão 29.83%3.35odd justa
EV +34.24%
Vantagem +7.61%
Kelly +9.78%
Crescimento +3.35%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.77%29.91%29.82%34.69%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.653.163.154.5037.74%31.68%31.75%22.22%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Anna Kalinskaya (Visitante)

Previsão 70.17%1.43odd justa
EV +1.75%
Vantagem +1.20%
Kelly +3.88%
Crescimento +0.068%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.31%70.09%70.18%79.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.181.351.351.4584.75%74.25%74.07%68.97%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +34.24%E +7.61%K +9.78%G +3.35%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -17.20%E -14.58%K -95.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 21:04
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +7.39%E +2.05%K +2.84%G +0.210%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -8.08%E -6.17%K -26.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +4.41%E +1.26%K +1.76%G +0.078%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -10.18%E -7.96%K -36.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 21:05
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +4.41%E +1.26%K +1.76%G +0.078%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -10.18%E -7.96%K -36.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 21:05
Betclic (FR)3.37I 29.67%NM 27.21%EV +0.530%E +0.157%K +0.224%G +0.001%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.79%EV -11.59%E -9.20%K -44.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 21:04
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.067%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 21:05
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.067%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 21:05
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.067%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 21:05
Pinnacle3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV -1.56%E -0.472%K -0.677%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%EV -3.17%E -2.29%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-06 20:55
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.56%E -0.472%K -0.677%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 21:05
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -1.56%E -0.472%K -0.677%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.78%E -6.75%K -29.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 21:05
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -1.56%E -0.472%K -0.677%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -9.48%E -7.35%K -32.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 21:05
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 21:05
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 21:05
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.38%E -5.59%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 21:05
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.38%E -5.59%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 21:05
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.38%E -5.59%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 21:05
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.38%E -5.59%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 21:05
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.38%E -5.59%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 21:05
Bally Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.38%E -5.59%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 21:05
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -8.78%E -6.75%K -29.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 21:05
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 21:05
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 21:05
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 21:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.78%E -6.75%K -29.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 21:05
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.78%E -6.75%K -29.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 21:05
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -4.84%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 20:55
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -5.14%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.27%E -3.90%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 20:55
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.87%E -2.82%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 20:59
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 21:05
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 21:05
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 21:05
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 21:05
LowVig.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -6.33%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.17%E -2.29%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 20:50
BetOnline.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -6.33%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.17%E -2.29%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 20:51
Unibet (FR)3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%EV -6.93%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%EV -5.27%E -3.90%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 20:50
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.17%E -2.29%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 20:50
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.87%E -2.82%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 20:50
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.87%E -2.82%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 20:50
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 20:51
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 20:50
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.27%E -3.90%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 21:05
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.97%E -4.46%K -17.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 21:05
NetBet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 20:46
GTbets3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -8.12%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -3.17%E -2.29%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 21:00
SportsBet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.47%EV -8.12%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -5.27%E -3.90%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 21:02
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -9.02%E -2.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 20:50
Fliff3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.02%E -2.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -7.38%E -5.59%K -23.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 21:05
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.17%E -2.29%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 21:00
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 20:51
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.27%E -3.90%K -15.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 20:51
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.27%E -3.90%K -15.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 20:50
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.49%E -4.65%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.76%E -1.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 20:50
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -14.98%E -5.26%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV +0.342%E +0.239%K +0.795%G +0.003%5.0%2026-03-06 21:05
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -16.47%E -5.88%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.76%E -1.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 21:05
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -16.47%E -5.88%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.76%E -1.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 21:05
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -17.97%E -6.53%K -10.27%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -1.76%E -1.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 21:05
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -17.97%E -6.53%K -10.27%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -1.76%E -1.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 21:06
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -17.97%E -6.53%K -10.27%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -1.76%E -1.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 21:05
DraftKings2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV -18.56%E -6.80%K -10.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV +1.75%E +1.20%K +3.88%G +0.068%5.6%2026-03-06 21:05
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -20.95%E -7.90%K -12.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -1.76%E -1.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-06 21:05
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-03-06 21:05
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-03-06 21:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-03-06 21:06
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%1.2%2026-03-06 21:05
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%1.4%2026-03-06 21:05
Novig2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.14%6.4%2026-03-06 21:05