L’École des cotes

Zeynep Sonmez v Anna Kalinskaya

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-06 21:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Zeynep Sonmez (Local)

Prévision 29.83%3.35cote équitable
EV +34.24%
Avantage +7.61%
Kelly +9.78%
Croissance +3.35%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.77%29.91%29.82%34.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.653.163.154.5037.74%31.68%31.75%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Anna Kalinskaya (Visiteur)

Prévision 70.17%1.43cote équitable
EV +1.75%
Avantage +1.20%
Kelly +3.88%
Croissance +0.068%

avec la cote maximale 1.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.31%70.09%70.18%79.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.181.351.351.4584.75%74.25%74.07%68.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +34.24%E +7.61%K +9.78%G +3.35%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -17.20%E -14.58%K -95.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 21:04
Bovada3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +7.39%E +2.05%K +2.84%G +0.210%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -8.08%E -6.17%K -26.06%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-06 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +4.41%E +1.26%K +1.76%G +0.078%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -10.18%E -7.96%K -36.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 21:05
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV +4.41%E +1.26%K +1.76%G +0.078%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -10.18%E -7.96%K -36.37%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 21:05
Betclic (FR)3.37I 29.67%NM 27.21%EV +0.530%E +0.157%K +0.224%G +0.001%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.79%EV -11.59%E -9.20%K -44.56%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 21:04
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.067%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 21:05
Unibet (NL)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.067%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 21:05
ATG (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.067%E -0.020%K -0.028%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 21:05
Pinnacle3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%EV -1.56%E -0.472%K -0.677%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%EV -3.17%E -2.29%K -8.33%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-06 20:55
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -1.56%E -0.472%K -0.677%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 21:05
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -1.56%E -0.472%K -0.677%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.78%E -6.75%K -29.27%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 21:05
Fanatics3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -1.56%E -0.472%K -0.677%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -9.48%E -7.35%K -32.70%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 21:05
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 21:05
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 21:05
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.38%E -5.59%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 21:05
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.38%E -5.59%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 21:05
LiveScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.38%E -5.59%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 21:05
Virgin Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.38%E -5.59%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 21:05
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.38%E -5.59%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 21:05
Bally Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -7.38%E -5.59%K -23.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 21:05
BoyleSports3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -3.05%E -0.938%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -8.78%E -6.75%K -29.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 21:05
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 21:05
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 21:05
theScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 21:05
LeoVegas (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.78%E -6.75%K -29.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 21:05
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.78%E -6.75%K -29.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-06 21:05
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -4.84%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 20:55
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.80%EV -5.14%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.20%EV -5.27%E -3.90%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 20:55
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.87%E -2.82%K -10.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 20:59
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 21:05
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 21:05
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 21:05
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 21:05
LowVig.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -6.33%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.17%E -2.29%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 20:50
BetOnline.ag3.14I 31.85%NM 30.53%EV -6.33%E -2.02%K -2.96%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.47%EV -3.17%E -2.29%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-06 20:51
Unibet (FR)3.12I 32.05%NM 30.20%EV -6.93%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.80%EV -5.27%E -3.90%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-06 20:50
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.17%E -2.29%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 20:50
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.87%E -2.82%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 20:50
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -3.87%E -2.82%K -10.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 20:50
Codere (IT)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 20:51
Everygame3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 20:50
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.27%E -3.90%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 21:05
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -5.97%E -4.46%K -17.57%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 21:05
NetBet (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.52%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.68%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 20:46
GTbets3.08I 32.47%NM 30.94%EV -8.12%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.06%EV -3.17%E -2.29%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 21:00
SportsBet3.08I 32.47%NM 30.47%EV -8.12%E -2.64%K -3.90%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -5.27%E -3.90%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-06 21:02
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -9.02%E -2.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 20:50
Fliff3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.02%E -2.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -7.38%E -5.59%K -23.05%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-06 21:05
PlayUp3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.17%E -2.29%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 21:00
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 20:51
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.27%E -3.90%K -15.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 20:51
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -5.27%E -3.90%K -15.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 20:50
William Hill2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -13.49%E -4.65%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -1.76%E -1.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 20:50
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -14.98%E -5.26%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV +0.342%E +0.239%K +0.795%G +0.003%5.0%2026-03-06 21:05
Tipico (DE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -16.47%E -5.88%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.76%E -1.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 21:05
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -16.47%E -5.88%K -9.15%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -1.76%E -1.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 21:05
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -17.97%E -6.53%K -10.27%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -1.76%E -1.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 21:05
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -17.97%E -6.53%K -10.27%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -1.76%E -1.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 21:06
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -17.97%E -6.53%K -10.27%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -1.76%E -1.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-06 21:05
DraftKings2.73I 36.63%NM 34.69%EV -18.56%E -6.80%K -10.73%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.31%EV +1.75%E +1.20%K +3.88%G +0.068%5.6%2026-03-06 21:05
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -20.95%E -7.90%K -12.70%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -1.76%E -1.26%K -4.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-06 21:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92%0.7%2026-03-06 21:05
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-03-06 21:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-03-06 21:06
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.85%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.15%1.2%2026-03-06 21:05
Matchbook3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%1.4%2026-03-06 21:05
Novig2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.14%6.4%2026-03-06 21:05