Language:English
Xinyu Wang v Ajla Tomljanovic
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Xinyu Wang (Local)
Prediction 42.41%2.36fair odd
EV +13.24%
Edge +4.96%
Kelly +7.93%
Growth +1.05%
assuming max odds 2.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.35%42.43%40.87%49.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.872.202.182.6753.48%45.50%45.87%37.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ajla Tomljanovic (Visit)
Prediction 57.59%1.74fair odd
EV +8.26%
Edge +4.40%
Kelly +9.39%
Growth +0.776%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.54%57.57%59.13%64.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.661.641.8869.44%60.16%60.98%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Xinyu Wang (Local): 42.41%; Ajla Tomljanovic (Visit): 57.59%. For Xinyu Wang (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.36. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.67, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.24%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.35%EV +13.24%E +4.96%K +7.93%G +1.05% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.65%EV -15.92%E -10.91%K -34.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +11.12%E +4.24%K +6.86%G +0.763% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -17.07%E -11.86%K -38.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +11.12%E +4.24%K +6.86%G +0.763% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -17.07%E -11.86%K -38.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +10.27%E +3.95%K +6.42%G +0.660% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -13.62%E -9.08%K -27.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV +8.15%E +3.20%K +5.26%G +0.429% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -15.35%E -10.44%K -32.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV +6.03%E +2.41%K +4.02%G +0.243% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -15.35%E -10.44%K -32.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +3.91%E +1.60%K +2.70%G +0.105% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -13.62%E -9.08%K -27.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV +3.91%E +1.60%K +2.70%G +0.105% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -15.92%E -10.91%K -34.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +1.79%E +0.746%K +1.28%G +0.023% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +1.79%E +0.746%K +1.28%G +0.023% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -10.74%E -6.93%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +0.942%E +0.396%K +0.682%G +0.006% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -11.89%E -7.77%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +0.942%E +0.396%K +0.682%G +0.006% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -11.89%E -7.77%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.331%E -0.141%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.331%E -0.141%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.331%E -0.141%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 21:46 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -0.331%E -0.141%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -0.331%E -0.141%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -1.60%E -0.691%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.45%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.44%E -5.31%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.45%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.44%E -5.31%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -2.45%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -9.01%E -5.70%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -2.45%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -9.01%E -5.70%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -2.45%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.57%E -2.03%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.57%E -2.03%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.57%E -2.03%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.27%EV -5.84%E -2.63%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.73%EV -10.16%E -6.52%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.69%E -3.04%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.68%E -1.58%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.54%E -3.46%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.25%E -1.94%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.54%E -3.46%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.25%E -1.94%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.54%E -3.46%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.25%E -1.94%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.54%E -3.46%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.25%E -1.94%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -8.81%E -4.10%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -1.53%E -0.892%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -9.24%E -4.32%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -4.40%E -2.65%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -10.09%E -4.76%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -5.56%E -3.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.93%E -5.21%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.83%E -2.29%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -10.93%E -5.21%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -6.13%E -3.76%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -10.93%E -5.21%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -13.05%E -6.37%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +0.778%E +0.445%K +1.04%G +0.008% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 21:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -14.33%E -7.09%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV +4.23%E +2.34%K +5.23%G +0.221% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 21:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -14.33%E -7.09%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV +3.66%E +2.03%K +4.57%G +0.167% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 21:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV -14.75%E -7.34%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV +8.26%E +4.40%K +9.39%G +0.776% | 2.9% | 2026-03-06 21:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -15.18%E -7.59%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +5.39%E +2.94%K +6.49%G +0.349% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 21:38 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -15.18%E -7.59%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +5.39%E +2.94%K +6.49%G +0.349% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 21:36 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -15.18%E -7.59%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV +4.23%E +2.34%K +5.23%G +0.221% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 21:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -15.18%E -7.59%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +3.66%E +2.03%K +4.57%G +0.167% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 21:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -15.18%E -7.59%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV +0.778%E +0.445%K +1.04%G +0.008% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 21:44 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -16.02%E -8.09%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV +5.39%E +2.94%K +6.49%G +0.349% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 21:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -16.02%E -8.09%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV +4.81%E +2.64%K +5.86%G +0.282% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 21:30 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -16.02%E -8.09%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV +3.66%E +2.03%K +4.57%G +0.167% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 21:21 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -16.02%E -8.09%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV +3.66%E +2.03%K +4.57%G +0.167% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 21:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -16.45%E -8.35%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV +4.23%E +2.34%K +5.23%G +0.221% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 21:31 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -16.45%E -8.35%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV +2.51%E +1.41%K +3.21%G +0.080% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 21:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -16.87%E -8.61%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV +5.96%E +3.24%K +7.10%G +0.423% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 21:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -17.30%E -8.87%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV +5.39%E +2.94%K +6.49%G +0.349% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -18.57%E -9.67%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV +3.66%E +2.03%K +4.57%G +0.167% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 21:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -18.57%E -9.67%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV +3.66%E +2.03%K +4.57%G +0.167% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 21:30 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -18.99%E -9.94%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +5.39%E +2.94%K +6.49%G +0.349% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 21:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -20.69%E -11.06%K -23.78%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV +5.39%E +2.94%K +6.49%G +0.349% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 21:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-03-06 21:46 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70% | 1.3% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 1.4% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64% | 2.4% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Novig◎ | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.73% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |