A Escola das Odds

Xinyu Wang v Ajla Tomljanovic

Início: 2026-03-06 21:50 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

59 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Xinyu Wang (Local)

Previsão 42.41%2.36odd justa
EV +13.24%
Vantagem +4.96%
Kelly +7.93%
Crescimento +1.05%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
35.35%42.43%40.87%49.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.872.202.182.6753.48%45.50%45.87%37.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ajla Tomljanovic (Visitante)

Previsão 57.59%1.74odd justa
EV +8.26%
Vantagem +4.40%
Kelly +9.39%
Crescimento +0.776%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.88

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.54%57.57%59.13%64.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.441.661.641.8869.44%60.16%60.98%53.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (59 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings2.67I 37.45%NM 35.35%EV +13.24%E +4.96%K +7.93%G +1.05%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.65%EV -15.92%E -10.91%K -34.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 21:45
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +11.12%E +4.24%K +6.86%G +0.763%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -17.07%E -11.86%K -38.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 21:45
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +11.12%E +4.24%K +6.86%G +0.763%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -17.07%E -11.86%K -38.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 21:45
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +10.27%E +3.95%K +6.42%G +0.660%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -13.62%E -9.08%K -27.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 21:45
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV +8.15%E +3.20%K +5.26%G +0.429%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -15.35%E -10.44%K -32.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 21:45
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV +6.03%E +2.41%K +4.02%G +0.243%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -15.35%E -10.44%K -32.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 21:45
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +3.91%E +1.60%K +2.70%G +0.105%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -13.62%E -9.08%K -27.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 21:45
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV +3.91%E +1.60%K +2.70%G +0.105%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -15.92%E -10.91%K -34.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-06 21:45
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +1.79%E +0.746%K +1.28%G +0.023%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 21:45
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +1.79%E +0.746%K +1.28%G +0.023%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -10.74%E -6.93%K -19.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 21:45
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +0.942%E +0.396%K +0.682%G +0.006%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -11.89%E -7.77%K -22.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 21:45
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +0.942%E +0.396%K +0.682%G +0.006%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -11.89%E -7.77%K -22.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 21:45
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.331%E -0.141%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 21:45
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.331%E -0.141%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 21:45
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.331%E -0.141%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 21:46
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -0.331%E -0.141%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 21:45
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -0.331%E -0.141%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 21:45
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -1.60%E -0.691%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 21:45
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.45%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.44%E -5.31%K -14.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 21:45
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.45%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.44%E -5.31%K -14.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 21:45
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -2.45%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -9.01%E -5.70%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 21:45
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -2.45%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -9.01%E -5.70%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 21:45
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -2.45%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 21:45
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.57%E -2.03%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.57%E -2.03%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 21:45
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.57%E -2.03%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 21:45
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 41.27%EV -5.84%E -2.63%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.73%EV -10.16%E -6.52%K -18.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-06 21:45
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.69%E -3.04%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.68%E -1.58%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 21:45
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.54%E -3.46%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.25%E -1.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 21:45
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.54%E -3.46%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.25%E -1.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 21:45
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.54%E -3.46%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.25%E -1.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 21:45
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.54%E -3.46%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.25%E -1.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 21:45
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -8.81%E -4.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -1.53%E -0.892%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 21:45
Bally Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -9.24%E -4.32%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -4.40%E -2.65%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 21:45
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -10.09%E -4.76%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -5.56%E -3.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 21:45
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.93%E -5.21%K -9.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.83%E -2.29%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -10.93%E -5.21%K -9.94%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -6.13%E -3.76%K -9.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 21:45
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -10.93%E -5.21%K -9.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-06 21:45
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -13.05%E -6.37%K -12.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +0.778%E +0.445%K +1.04%G +0.008%5.9%2026-03-06 21:30
GTbets2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -14.33%E -7.09%K -14.05%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV +4.23%E +2.34%K +5.23%G +0.221%4.8%2026-03-06 21:35
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -14.33%E -7.09%K -14.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV +3.66%E +2.03%K +4.57%G +0.167%5.1%2026-03-06 21:30
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV -14.75%E -7.34%K -14.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV +8.26%E +4.40%K +9.39%G +0.776%2.9%2026-03-06 21:30
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -15.18%E -7.59%K -15.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +5.39%E +2.94%K +6.49%G +0.349%4.6%2026-03-06 21:38
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -15.18%E -7.59%K -15.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +5.39%E +2.94%K +6.49%G +0.349%4.6%2026-03-06 21:36
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -15.18%E -7.59%K -15.18%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV +4.23%E +2.34%K +5.23%G +0.221%5.2%2026-03-06 21:29
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -15.18%E -7.59%K -15.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +3.66%E +2.03%K +4.57%G +0.167%5.6%2026-03-06 21:29
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -15.18%E -7.59%K -15.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV +0.778%E +0.445%K +1.04%G +0.008%7.1%2026-03-06 21:44
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -16.02%E -8.09%K -16.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV +5.39%E +2.94%K +6.49%G +0.349%5.1%2026-03-06 21:30
SportsBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -16.02%E -8.09%K -16.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV +4.81%E +2.64%K +5.86%G +0.282%5.5%2026-03-06 21:30
Codere (IT)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -16.02%E -8.09%K -16.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV +3.66%E +2.03%K +4.57%G +0.167%6.1%2026-03-06 21:21
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -16.02%E -8.09%K -16.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV +3.66%E +2.03%K +4.57%G +0.167%6.1%2026-03-06 21:35
Betr (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -16.45%E -8.35%K -16.96%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV +4.23%E +2.34%K +5.23%G +0.221%6.0%2026-03-06 21:31
NetBet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -16.45%E -8.35%K -16.96%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV +2.51%E +1.41%K +3.21%G +0.080%6.9%2026-03-06 21:30
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -16.87%E -8.61%K -17.57%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV +5.96%E +3.24%K +7.10%G +0.423%5.4%2026-03-06 21:30
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -17.30%E -8.87%K -18.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV +5.39%E +2.94%K +6.49%G +0.349%5.9%2026-03-06 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -18.57%E -9.67%K -20.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV +3.66%E +2.03%K +4.57%G +0.167%7.6%2026-03-06 21:30
Neds1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -18.57%E -9.67%K -20.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV +3.66%E +2.03%K +4.57%G +0.167%7.6%2026-03-06 21:30
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -18.99%E -9.94%K -20.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +5.39%E +2.94%K +6.49%G +0.349%7.0%2026-03-06 21:30
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -20.69%E -11.06%K -23.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV +5.39%E +2.94%K +6.49%G +0.349%8.1%2026-03-06 21:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-03-06 21:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-03-06 21:46
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%1.3%2026-03-06 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%1.4%2026-03-06 21:45
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%2.4%2026-03-06 21:45
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 40.73%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%8.2%2026-03-06 21:45