L’École des cotes

Xinyu Wang v Ajla Tomljanovic

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-06 21:50 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Xinyu Wang (Local)

Prévision 42.41%2.36cote équitable
EV +13.24%
Avantage +4.96%
Kelly +7.93%
Croissance +1.05%

avec la cote maximale 2.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.35%42.43%40.87%49.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.872.202.182.6753.48%45.50%45.87%37.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ajla Tomljanovic (Visiteur)

Prévision 57.59%1.74cote équitable
EV +8.26%
Avantage +4.40%
Kelly +9.39%
Croissance +0.776%

avec la cote maximale 1.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
50.54%57.57%59.13%64.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.441.661.641.8869.44%60.16%60.98%53.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings2.67I 37.45%NM 35.35%EV +13.24%E +4.96%K +7.93%G +1.05%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.65%EV -15.92%E -10.91%K -34.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 21:45
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +11.12%E +4.24%K +6.86%G +0.763%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -17.07%E -11.86%K -38.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 21:45
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +11.12%E +4.24%K +6.86%G +0.763%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -17.07%E -11.86%K -38.80%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 21:45
Coolbet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +10.27%E +3.95%K +6.42%G +0.660%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -13.62%E -9.08%K -27.24%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 21:45
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV +8.15%E +3.20%K +5.26%G +0.429%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -15.35%E -10.44%K -32.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 21:45
Winamax (DE)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV +6.03%E +2.41%K +4.02%G +0.243%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -15.35%E -10.44%K -32.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-06 21:45
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +3.91%E +1.60%K +2.70%G +0.105%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -13.62%E -9.08%K -27.24%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 21:45
Winamax (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV +3.91%E +1.60%K +2.70%G +0.105%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -15.92%E -10.91%K -34.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-06 21:45
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +1.79%E +0.746%K +1.28%G +0.023%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 21:45
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +1.79%E +0.746%K +1.28%G +0.023%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -10.74%E -6.93%K -19.53%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 21:45
Paddy Power2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +0.942%E +0.396%K +0.682%G +0.006%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -11.89%E -7.77%K -22.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 21:45
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +0.942%E +0.396%K +0.682%G +0.006%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -11.89%E -7.77%K -22.44%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-06 21:45
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.331%E -0.141%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 21:45
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.331%E -0.141%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 21:45
Svenska Spel2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.331%E -0.141%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.10%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 21:46
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -0.331%E -0.141%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 21:45
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -0.331%E -0.141%K -0.245%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 21:45
TABtouch2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -1.60%E -0.691%K -1.21%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 21:45
Caesars2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.45%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.44%E -5.31%K -14.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 21:45
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.45%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.44%E -5.31%K -14.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 21:45
LiveScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -2.45%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -9.01%E -5.70%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 21:45
Virgin Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -2.45%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -9.01%E -5.70%K -15.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 21:45
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -2.45%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 21:45
TAB2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.57%E -2.03%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 21:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.57%E -2.03%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 21:45
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.57%E -2.03%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.10%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 21:45
Betclic (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 41.27%EV -5.84%E -2.63%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 58.73%EV -10.16%E -6.52%K -18.15%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-06 21:45
Hard Rock Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.69%E -3.04%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.68%E -1.58%K -3.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-06 21:45
Unibet (NL)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.54%E -3.46%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.25%E -1.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 21:45
Casumo2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.54%E -3.46%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.25%E -1.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 21:45
betPARX2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.54%E -3.46%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.25%E -1.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 21:45
ATG (SE)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.54%E -3.46%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.25%E -1.94%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 21:45
Bovada2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -8.81%E -4.10%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -1.53%E -0.892%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-06 21:45
Bally Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -9.24%E -4.32%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -4.40%E -2.65%K -6.67%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 21:45
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -10.09%E -4.76%K -9.00%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -5.56%E -3.39%K -8.68%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 21:45
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.93%E -5.21%K -9.94%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.83%E -2.29%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 21:45
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -10.93%E -5.21%K -9.94%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -6.13%E -3.76%K -9.73%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-06 21:45
Fliff2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -10.93%E -5.21%K -9.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-06 21:45
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -13.05%E -6.37%K -12.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +0.778%E +0.445%K +1.04%G +0.008%5.9%2026-03-06 21:30
GTbets2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -14.33%E -7.09%K -14.05%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV +4.23%E +2.34%K +5.23%G +0.221%4.8%2026-03-06 21:35
BetRivers2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -14.33%E -7.09%K -14.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV +3.66%E +2.03%K +4.57%G +0.167%5.1%2026-03-06 21:30
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV -14.75%E -7.34%K -14.60%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV +8.26%E +4.40%K +9.39%G +0.776%2.9%2026-03-06 21:30
BetOnline.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -15.18%E -7.59%K -15.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +5.39%E +2.94%K +6.49%G +0.349%4.6%2026-03-06 21:38
LowVig.ag2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -15.18%E -7.59%K -15.18%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +5.39%E +2.94%K +6.49%G +0.349%4.6%2026-03-06 21:36
Unibet (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -15.18%E -7.59%K -15.18%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV +4.23%E +2.34%K +5.23%G +0.221%5.2%2026-03-06 21:29
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -15.18%E -7.59%K -15.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +3.66%E +2.03%K +4.57%G +0.167%5.6%2026-03-06 21:29
Bet Victor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -15.18%E -7.59%K -15.18%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV +0.778%E +0.445%K +1.04%G +0.008%7.1%2026-03-06 21:44
Bet Right1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -16.02%E -8.09%K -16.35%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV +5.39%E +2.94%K +6.49%G +0.349%5.1%2026-03-06 21:30
SportsBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -16.02%E -8.09%K -16.35%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV +4.81%E +2.64%K +5.86%G +0.282%5.5%2026-03-06 21:30
Codere (IT)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -16.02%E -8.09%K -16.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV +3.66%E +2.03%K +4.57%G +0.167%6.1%2026-03-06 21:21
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -16.02%E -8.09%K -16.35%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV +3.66%E +2.03%K +4.57%G +0.167%6.1%2026-03-06 21:35
Betr (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -16.45%E -8.35%K -16.96%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV +4.23%E +2.34%K +5.23%G +0.221%6.0%2026-03-06 21:31
NetBet (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -16.45%E -8.35%K -16.96%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV +2.51%E +1.41%K +3.21%G +0.080%6.9%2026-03-06 21:30
1xBet1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -16.87%E -8.61%K -17.57%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV +5.96%E +3.24%K +7.10%G +0.423%5.4%2026-03-06 21:30
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -17.30%E -8.87%K -18.21%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV +5.39%E +2.94%K +6.49%G +0.349%5.9%2026-03-06 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -18.57%E -9.67%K -20.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV +3.66%E +2.03%K +4.57%G +0.167%7.6%2026-03-06 21:30
Neds1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -18.57%E -9.67%K -20.18%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV +3.66%E +2.03%K +4.57%G +0.167%7.6%2026-03-06 21:30
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -18.99%E -9.94%K -20.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +5.39%E +2.94%K +6.49%G +0.349%7.0%2026-03-06 21:30
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -20.69%E -11.06%K -23.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV +5.39%E +2.94%K +6.49%G +0.349%8.1%2026-03-06 21:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-03-06 21:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-03-06 21:46
Matchbook2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70%1.3%2026-03-06 21:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03%1.4%2026-03-06 21:45
Smarkets2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64%2.4%2026-03-06 21:45
Novig2.27I 44.05%NM 40.73%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%8.2%2026-03-06 21:45