La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Xinyu Wang v Ajla Tomljanovic
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Xinyu Wang (Local)
Predicción 42.41%2.36momio equitativo
EV +13.24%
Ventaja +4.96%
Kelly +7.93%
Crecimiento +1.05%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.67
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.35%42.43%40.87%49.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.872.202.182.6753.48%45.50%45.87%37.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Ajla Tomljanovic (Visitante)
Predicción 57.59%1.74momio equitativo
EV +8.26%
Ventaja +4.40%
Kelly +9.39%
Crecimiento +0.776%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.88
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.54%57.57%59.13%64.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.661.641.8869.44%60.16%60.98%53.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.35%EV +13.24%E +4.96%K +7.93%G +1.05% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.65%EV -15.92%E -10.91%K -34.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +11.12%E +4.24%K +6.86%G +0.763% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -17.07%E -11.86%K -38.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +11.12%E +4.24%K +6.86%G +0.763% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -17.07%E -11.86%K -38.80%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Coolbet | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +10.27%E +3.95%K +6.42%G +0.660% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -13.62%E -9.08%K -27.24%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV +8.15%E +3.20%K +5.26%G +0.429% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -15.35%E -10.44%K -32.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV +6.03%E +2.41%K +4.02%G +0.243% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -15.35%E -10.44%K -32.65%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV +3.91%E +1.60%K +2.70%G +0.105% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -13.62%E -9.08%K -27.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.34%EV +3.91%E +1.60%K +2.70%G +0.105% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 62.66%EV -15.92%E -10.91%K -34.61%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| FanDuel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV +1.79%E +0.746%K +1.28%G +0.023% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Betway | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +1.79%E +0.746%K +1.28%G +0.023% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -10.74%E -6.93%K -19.53%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +0.942%E +0.396%K +0.682%G +0.006% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -11.89%E -7.77%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| 888sport | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +0.942%E +0.396%K +0.682%G +0.006% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -11.89%E -7.77%K -22.44%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.331%E -0.141%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Unibet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.331%E -0.141%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -0.331%E -0.141%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 21:46 |
| NordicBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -0.331%E -0.141%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Betsson | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -0.331%E -0.141%K -0.245%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| TABtouch | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -1.60%E -0.691%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Caesars | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.45%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.44%E -5.31%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| theScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -2.45%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -8.44%E -5.31%K -14.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -2.45%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -9.01%E -5.70%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -2.45%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -9.01%E -5.70%K -15.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -2.45%E -1.07%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -9.59%E -6.11%K -16.82%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| TAB | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.57%E -2.03%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.57%E -2.03%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -4.57%E -2.03%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -7.86%E -4.91%K -13.10%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.27%EV -5.84%E -2.63%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.73%EV -10.16%E -6.52%K -18.15%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -6.69%E -3.04%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -2.68%E -1.58%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.54%E -3.46%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.25%E -1.94%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Casumo | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.54%E -3.46%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.25%E -1.94%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| betPARX | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.54%E -3.46%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.25%E -1.94%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -7.54%E -3.46%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -3.25%E -1.94%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Bovada | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -8.81%E -4.10%K -7.66%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -1.53%E -0.892%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Bally Bet | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.68%EV -9.24%E -4.32%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.32%EV -4.40%E -2.65%K -6.67%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| LeoVegas | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.62%EV -10.09%E -4.76%K -9.00%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.38%EV -5.56%E -3.39%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| BoyleSports | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.93%E -5.21%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -3.83%E -2.29%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.70%EV -10.93%E -5.21%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.30%EV -6.13%E -3.76%K -9.73%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Fliff | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.55%EV -10.93%E -5.21%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -6.71%E -4.14%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -13.05%E -6.37%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV +0.778%E +0.445%K +1.04%G +0.008% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 21:30 |
| GTbets | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -14.33%E -7.09%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV +4.23%E +2.34%K +5.23%G +0.221% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 21:35 |
| BetRivers | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -14.33%E -7.09%K -14.05%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV +3.66%E +2.03%K +4.57%G +0.167% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 21:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.33%EV -14.75%E -7.34%K -14.60%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 51.67%EV +8.26%E +4.40%K +9.39%G +0.776% | 2.9% | 2026-03-06 21:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -15.18%E -7.59%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +5.39%E +2.94%K +6.49%G +0.349% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 21:38 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -15.18%E -7.59%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV +5.39%E +2.94%K +6.49%G +0.349% | 4.6% | 2026-03-06 21:36 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -15.18%E -7.59%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV +4.23%E +2.34%K +5.23%G +0.221% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 21:29 |
| William Hill | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -15.18%E -7.59%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV +3.66%E +2.03%K +4.57%G +0.167% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 21:29 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -15.18%E -7.59%K -15.18%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV +0.778%E +0.445%K +1.04%G +0.008% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 21:44 |
| Bet Right | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -16.02%E -8.09%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV +5.39%E +2.94%K +6.49%G +0.349% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 21:30 |
| SportsBet | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -16.02%E -8.09%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV +4.81%E +2.64%K +5.86%G +0.282% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 21:30 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -16.02%E -8.09%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV +3.66%E +2.03%K +4.57%G +0.167% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 21:21 |
| PlayUp | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -16.02%E -8.09%K -16.35%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV +3.66%E +2.03%K +4.57%G +0.167% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 21:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -16.45%E -8.35%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV +4.23%E +2.34%K +5.23%G +0.221% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 21:31 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -16.45%E -8.35%K -16.96%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV +2.51%E +1.41%K +3.21%G +0.080% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 21:30 |
| 1xBet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -16.87%E -8.61%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV +5.96%E +3.24%K +7.10%G +0.423% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 21:30 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -17.30%E -8.87%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV +5.39%E +2.94%K +6.49%G +0.349% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -18.57%E -9.67%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV +3.66%E +2.03%K +4.57%G +0.167% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 21:30 |
| Neds | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -18.57%E -9.67%K -20.18%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV +3.66%E +2.03%K +4.57%G +0.167% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 21:30 |
| BetUS | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -18.99%E -9.94%K -20.87%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV +5.39%E +2.94%K +6.49%G +0.349% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 21:30 |
| Fanatics | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -20.69%E -11.06%K -23.78%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV +5.39%E +2.94%K +6.49%G +0.349% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 21:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-03-06 21:46 |
| Matchbook | 2.72I 36.76%NM 36.30% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 63.70% | 1.3% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 46.97% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.03% | 1.4% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Smarkets | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.36% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.64% | 2.4% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |
| Novig | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.73% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27% | 8.2% | 2026-03-06 21:45 |