Language:English
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva v Naomi Osaka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (Local)
Prediction 21.31%4.69fair odd
EV +15.51%
Edge +2.86%
Kelly +3.51%
Growth +0.544%
assuming max odds 5.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.63%21.19%21.24%23.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.004.444.505.4225.00%22.53%22.22%18.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Naomi Osaka (Visit)
Prediction 78.69%1.27fair odd
EV -3.21%
Edge -2.61%
Kelly -13.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.63%78.81%78.76%82.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.201.211.2386.21%83.14%82.64%81.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (Local): 21.31%; Naomi Osaka (Visit): 78.69%. For Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.69. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.42, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.51%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.42I 18.45%NM 17.63%EV +15.51%E +2.86%K +3.51%G +0.544% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.37%EV -8.72%E -7.52%K -54.51%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +2.30%E +0.479%K +0.604%G +0.014% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.36%E -5.35%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +2.30%E +0.479%K +0.604%G +0.014% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -7.93%E -6.78%K -46.68%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-05 17:34 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +1.23%E +0.259%K +0.328%G +0.004% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 01:58 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV +0.166%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -4.00%E -3.28%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 01:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -0.900%E -0.194%K -0.247%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 06:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -1.97%E -0.427%K -0.546%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.93%E -6.78%K -46.68%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 07:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.58I 21.83%NM 20.76%EV -2.39%E -0.522%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.24%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.57I 21.88%NM 21.21%EV -2.60%E -0.570%K -0.730%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.79%EV -3.21%E -2.61%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-03-07 01:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -3.24%E -0.715%K -0.916%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-07 01:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 01:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 06:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 15:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 21:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 19:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.15%E -6.06%K -39.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.93%E -6.78%K -46.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.93%E -6.78%K -46.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.93%E -6.78%K -46.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.93%E -6.78%K -46.68%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -5.16%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-07 01:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.23%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 21:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.23%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-07 01:24 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -6.23%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.36%E -5.35%K -33.48%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 01:49 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -7.29%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 01:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.29%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -7.72%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.36%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 01:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.36%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 01:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.36%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.36%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.36%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.36%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 02:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.36%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -9.00%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.21%E -2.61%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -9.00%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.21%E -2.61%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 21:09 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.42%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.00%E -3.28%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 01:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.42%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.00%E -3.28%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 14:31 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.49%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.00%E -3.28%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 14:31 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.49%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.00%E -3.28%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 22:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.49%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.49%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 18:56 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -12.62%E -3.08%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -12.62%E -3.08%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 18:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.75%E -3.69%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.00%E -3.28%K -18.18%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 21:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.75%E -3.69%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-06 07:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 01:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99% | 1.0% | 2026-03-07 02:05 |
| Novig◎ | 4.63I 21.60%NM 21.26% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.74% | 1.6% | 2026-03-07 02:04 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26% | 2.2% | 2026-03-07 01:49 |