L’École des cotes

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva v Naomi Osaka

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 02:10 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (23 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (Local)

Prévision 21.31%4.69cote équitable
EV +15.51%
Avantage +2.86%
Kelly +3.51%
Croissance +0.544%

avec la cote maximale 5.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
17.63%21.19%21.24%23.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.444.505.4225.00%22.53%22.22%18.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Naomi Osaka (Visiteur)

Prévision 78.69%1.27cote équitable
EV -3.21%
Avantage -2.61%
Kelly -13.97%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
76.63%78.81%78.76%82.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.161.201.211.2386.21%83.14%82.64%81.30%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
DraftKings5.42I 18.45%NM 17.63%EV +15.51%E +2.86%K +3.51%G +0.544%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.37%EV -8.72%E -7.52%K -54.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 02:04
Coolbet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +2.30%E +0.479%K +0.604%G +0.014%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.36%E -5.35%K -33.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:04
Caesars4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +2.30%E +0.479%K +0.604%G +0.014%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -7.93%E -6.78%K -46.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 17:34
Bovada4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +1.23%E +0.259%K +0.328%G +0.004%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 01:58
Winamax (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV +0.166%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -4.00%E -3.28%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 01:25
FanDuel4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -0.900%E -0.194%K -0.247%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 06:20
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -1.97%E -0.427%K -0.546%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.93%E -6.78%K -46.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 07:39
GTbets4.58I 21.83%NM 20.76%EV -2.39%E -0.522%K -0.668%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.24%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 02:04
Pinnacle4.57I 21.88%NM 21.21%EV -2.60%E -0.570%K -0.730%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.79%EV -3.21%E -2.61%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 01:50
1xBet4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -3.24%E -0.715%K -0.916%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 01:54
Bet Right4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:04
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:05
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:05
TABtouch4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:04
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:04
BetRivers4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 01:25
LeoVegas (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:05
Casumo4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:04
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:04
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:04
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:05
Bally Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:05
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:04
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:04
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:04
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 06:20
Winamax (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 15:45
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 21:35
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 19:00
BetUS4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 02:00
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.15%E -6.06%K -39.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 02:04
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.93%E -6.78%K -46.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 02:05
Tipico (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.93%E -6.78%K -46.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 02:04
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.93%E -6.78%K -46.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 02:04
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.93%E -6.78%K -46.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 02:05
theScore Bet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -5.16%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 01:50
Fanatics4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.23%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 21:25
Unibet (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.23%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 01:24
Betclic (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -6.23%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.36%E -5.35%K -33.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 01:49
Unibet (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -7.29%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 01:54
Fliff4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.29%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 02:00
BetMGM4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -7.72%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 18:55
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.36%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 01:29
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.36%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 01:19
NordicBet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.36%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 02:04
Betsson4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.36%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 02:04
LiveScore Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.36%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 02:00
Virgin Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.36%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 02:00
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.36%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 02:05
LowVig.ag4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -9.00%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.21%E -2.61%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 21:10
BetOnline.ag4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -9.00%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.21%E -2.61%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 21:09
Marathon Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.42%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.00%E -3.28%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 01:55
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.42%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.00%E -3.28%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 14:31
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.49%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.00%E -3.28%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 14:31
Everygame4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.49%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.00%E -3.28%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.49%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 18:55
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.49%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 18:56
Neds4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -12.62%E -3.08%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -12.62%E -3.08%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 18:55
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.75%E -3.69%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.00%E -3.28%K -18.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 21:10
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.75%E -3.69%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 07:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-03-07 01:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-03-07 01:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-03-07 01:25
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-03-07 02:05
Novig4.63I 21.60%NM 21.26%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.74%1.6%2026-03-07 02:04
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%2.2%2026-03-07 01:49