A Escola das Odds

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva v Naomi Osaka

Início: 2026-03-07 02:10 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (23 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (Local)

Previsão 21.31%4.69odd justa
EV +15.51%
Vantagem +2.86%
Kelly +3.51%
Crescimento +0.544%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
17.63%21.19%21.24%23.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
4.004.444.505.4225.00%22.53%22.22%18.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Naomi Osaka (Visitante)

Previsão 78.69%1.27odd justa
EV -3.21%
Vantagem -2.61%
Kelly -13.97%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.23

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
76.63%78.81%78.76%82.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.161.201.211.2386.21%83.14%82.64%81.30%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
DraftKings5.42I 18.45%NM 17.63%EV +15.51%E +2.86%K +3.51%G +0.544%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.37%EV -8.72%E -7.52%K -54.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 02:04
Coolbet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +2.30%E +0.479%K +0.604%G +0.014%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.36%E -5.35%K -33.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:04
Caesars4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +2.30%E +0.479%K +0.604%G +0.014%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -7.93%E -6.78%K -46.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 17:34
Bovada4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +1.23%E +0.259%K +0.328%G +0.004%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 01:58
Winamax (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV +0.166%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -4.00%E -3.28%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 01:25
FanDuel4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -0.900%E -0.194%K -0.247%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 06:20
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -1.97%E -0.427%K -0.546%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.93%E -6.78%K -46.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 07:39
GTbets4.58I 21.83%NM 20.76%EV -2.39%E -0.522%K -0.668%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.24%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 02:04
Pinnacle4.57I 21.88%NM 21.21%EV -2.60%E -0.570%K -0.730%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.79%EV -3.21%E -2.61%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 01:50
1xBet4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -3.24%E -0.715%K -0.916%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 01:54
Bet Right4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:04
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:05
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:05
TABtouch4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:04
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:04
BetRivers4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 01:25
LeoVegas (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:05
Casumo4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:04
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:04
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:04
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:05
Bally Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:05
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:04
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:04
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:04
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 06:20
Winamax (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 15:45
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 21:35
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 19:00
BetUS4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 02:00
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.15%E -6.06%K -39.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 02:04
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.93%E -6.78%K -46.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 02:05
Tipico (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.93%E -6.78%K -46.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 02:04
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.93%E -6.78%K -46.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 02:04
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.93%E -6.78%K -46.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 02:05
theScore Bet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -5.16%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 01:50
Fanatics4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.23%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 21:25
Unibet (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.23%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 01:24
Betclic (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -6.23%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.36%E -5.35%K -33.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 01:49
Unibet (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -7.29%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 01:54
Fliff4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.29%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 02:00
BetMGM4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -7.72%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 18:55
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.36%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 01:29
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.36%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 01:19
NordicBet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.36%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 02:04
Betsson4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.36%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 02:04
LiveScore Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.36%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 02:00
Virgin Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.36%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 02:00
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.36%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 02:05
LowVig.ag4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -9.00%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.21%E -2.61%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 21:10
BetOnline.ag4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -9.00%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.21%E -2.61%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 21:09
Marathon Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.42%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.00%E -3.28%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 01:55
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.42%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.00%E -3.28%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 14:31
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.49%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.00%E -3.28%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 14:31
Everygame4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.49%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.00%E -3.28%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.49%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 18:55
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.49%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 18:56
Neds4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -12.62%E -3.08%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -12.62%E -3.08%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 18:55
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.75%E -3.69%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.00%E -3.28%K -18.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 21:10
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.75%E -3.69%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 07:29
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-03-07 01:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-03-07 01:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-03-07 01:25
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-03-07 02:05
Novig4.63I 21.60%NM 21.26%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.74%1.6%2026-03-07 02:04
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%2.2%2026-03-07 01:49