La escuela de los momios

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva v Naomi Osaka

Inicio: 2026-03-07 02:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (23 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva (Local)

Predicción 21.31%4.69momio equitativo
EV +15.51%
Ventaja +2.86%
Kelly +3.51%
Crecimiento +0.544%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.42

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.63%21.19%21.24%23.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.444.505.4225.00%22.53%22.22%18.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Naomi Osaka (Visitante)

Predicción 78.69%1.27momio equitativo
EV -3.21%
Ventaja -2.61%
Kelly -13.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.23

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.63%78.81%78.76%82.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.161.201.211.2386.21%83.14%82.64%81.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
DraftKings5.42I 18.45%NM 17.63%EV +15.51%E +2.86%K +3.51%G +0.544%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.37%EV -8.72%E -7.52%K -54.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 02:04
Coolbet4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV +2.30%E +0.479%K +0.604%G +0.014%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -6.36%E -5.35%K -33.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:04
Caesars4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +2.30%E +0.479%K +0.604%G +0.014%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -7.93%E -6.78%K -46.68%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-05 17:34
Bovada4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV +1.23%E +0.259%K +0.328%G +0.004%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 01:58
Winamax (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 20.61%EV +0.166%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.39%EV -4.00%E -3.28%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 01:25
FanDuel4.65I 21.51%NM 20.51%EV -0.900%E -0.194%K -0.247%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.49%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 06:20
SportsBet4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -1.97%E -0.427%K -0.546%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -7.93%E -6.78%K -46.68%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 07:39
GTbets4.58I 21.83%NM 20.76%EV -2.39%E -0.522%K -0.668%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.24%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 02:04
Pinnacle4.57I 21.88%NM 21.21%EV -2.60%E -0.570%K -0.730%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.79%EV -3.21%E -2.61%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 01:50
1xBet4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -3.24%E -0.715%K -0.916%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 01:54
Bet Right4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:04
Grosvenor4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:05
Unibet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:05
TABtouch4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:04
LeoVegas4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:04
BetRivers4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 01:25
LeoVegas (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:05
Casumo4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:04
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:04
betPARX4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:04
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:05
Bally Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:05
Unibet (NL)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:04
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:04
Hard Rock Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-07 02:04
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 06:20
Winamax (FR)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 15:45
William Hill4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 21:35
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-06 19:00
BetUS4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 02:00
PointsBet (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.15%E -6.06%K -39.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 02:04
888sport4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.93%E -6.78%K -46.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 02:05
Tipico (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.93%E -6.78%K -46.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 02:04
Mr Green (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.93%E -6.78%K -46.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 02:04
888sport (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -4.10%E -0.910%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.93%E -6.78%K -46.68%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 02:05
theScore Bet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -5.16%E -1.16%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 01:50
Fanatics4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.23%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 21:25
Unibet (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -6.23%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 01:24
Betclic (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -6.23%E -1.42%K -1.83%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.71%EV -6.36%E -5.35%K -33.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 01:49
Unibet (FR)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -7.29%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 01:54
Fliff4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -7.29%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 02:00
BetMGM4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -7.72%E -1.78%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-06 18:55
Codere (IT)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.36%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 01:29
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -8.36%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -4.79%E -3.96%K -22.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 01:19
NordicBet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.36%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 02:04
Betsson4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.36%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 02:04
LiveScore Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.36%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 02:00
Virgin Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.36%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 02:00
NetBet (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -8.36%E -1.94%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-07 02:05
LowVig.ag4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -9.00%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.21%E -2.61%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 21:10
BetOnline.ag4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -9.00%E -2.11%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -3.21%E -2.61%K -13.97%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 21:09
Marathon Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.42%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.00%E -3.28%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 01:55
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -9.42%E -2.22%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.00%E -3.28%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 14:31
PlayUp4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.49%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.00%E -3.28%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 14:31
Everygame4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -10.49%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.00%E -3.28%K -18.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-06 22:30
Ladbrokes (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.49%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 18:55
Coral4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -10.49%E -2.50%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-06 18:56
Neds4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -12.62%E -3.08%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -12.62%E -3.08%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 18:55
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -14.75%E -3.69%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.00%E -3.28%K -18.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 21:10
Bet Victor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -14.75%E -3.69%K -4.92%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.57%E -4.65%K -27.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-06 07:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-03-07 01:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-03-07 01:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-03-07 01:25
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 22.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.99%1.0%2026-03-07 02:05
Novig4.63I 21.60%NM 21.26%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.74%1.6%2026-03-07 02:04
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%2.2%2026-03-07 01:49