Language:English
Storm Hunter v Magdalena Frech
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Storm Hunter (Local)
Prediction 18.82%5.31fair odd
EV +20.06%
Edge +3.14%
Kelly +3.73%
Growth +0.748%
assuming max odds 6.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.05%20.37%18.72%34.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.754.524.886.3836.36%22.14%20.51%15.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Magdalena Frech (Visit)
Prediction 81.18%1.23fair odd
EV +16.90%
Edge +11.74%
Kelly +38.41%
Growth +6.49%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.63%79.63%81.28%84.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.101.221.161.4490.91%82.18%86.21%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Storm Hunter (Local): 18.82%; Magdalena Frech (Visit): 81.18%. For Storm Hunter (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.31. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.38, corresponding to a positive expected value of +20.06%.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -48.25%E -17.55%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +16.90%E +11.74%K +38.41%G +6.49% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -47.31%E -16.90%K -26.28%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +15.28%E +10.76%K +36.38%G +5.56% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 00:41 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.99%EV -40.91%E -13.03%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.01%EV +14.47%E +10.26%K +35.29%G +5.10% | 2.8% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -44.49%E -15.08%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV +14.47%E +10.26%K +35.29%G +5.10% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:37 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -42.98%E -14.19%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV +13.66%E +9.75%K +34.14%G +4.66% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -42.98%E -14.19%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV +13.66%E +9.75%K +34.14%G +4.66% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -43.55%E -14.52%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +13.66%E +9.75%K +34.14%G +4.66% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -47.31%E -16.90%K -26.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +13.66%E +9.75%K +34.14%G +4.66% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -47.31%E -16.90%K -26.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +13.66%E +9.75%K +34.14%G +4.66% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -43.55%E -14.52%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV +12.84%E +9.24%K +32.93%G +4.23% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -44.49%E -15.08%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV +12.84%E +9.24%K +32.93%G +4.23% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 00:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -43.55%E -14.52%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV +11.22%E +8.19%K +30.32%G +3.40% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 00:37 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -45.05%E -15.43%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV +11.22%E +8.19%K +30.32%G +3.40% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -45.05%E -15.43%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV +11.22%E +8.19%K +30.32%G +3.40% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -20.97%E -4.99%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -0.146%E -0.119%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 00:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -20.02%E -4.71%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -0.958%E -0.785%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 00:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -10.62%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.58%E -2.15%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 00:48 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -10.62%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.39%E -2.85%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -10.62%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.39%E -2.85%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -8.73%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.20%E -3.56%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -15.32%E -3.40%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.20%E -3.56%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 00:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -15.32%E -3.40%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.20%E -3.56%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -15.32%E -3.40%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.20%E -3.56%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -15.32%E -3.40%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.20%E -3.56%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -24.73%E -6.18%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -4.20%E -3.56%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -9.67%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.02%E -4.29%K -29.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -9.67%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.02%E -4.29%K -29.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -0.266%E -0.050%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.83%E -5.02%K -36.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.21%E -0.230%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.83%E -5.02%K -36.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.21%E -0.230%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.83%E -5.02%K -36.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.21%E -0.230%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.83%E -5.02%K -36.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.21%E -0.230%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.83%E -5.02%K -36.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.21%E -0.230%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.83%E -5.02%K -36.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.91%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.83%E -5.02%K -36.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.21%E -0.230%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.64%E -5.77%K -44.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.91%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.64%E -5.77%K -44.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.91%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.64%E -5.77%K -44.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.91%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.64%E -5.77%K -44.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +8.20%E +1.43%K +1.73%G +0.142% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +3.50%E +0.636%K +0.777%G +0.027% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +3.50%E +0.636%K +0.777%G +0.027% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +1.62%E +0.299%K +0.367%G +0.006% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -1.21%E -0.230%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.91%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.91%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.91%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.91%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -7.79%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 00:47 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -7.79%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -7.79%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -9.67%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 6.38I 15.67%NM 15.05%EV +20.06%E +3.14%K +3.73%G +0.748% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.95%EV -8.26%E -7.31%K -63.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +3.50%E +0.636%K +0.777%G +0.027% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -8.26%E -7.31%K -63.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV +7.26%E +1.27%K +1.54%G +0.112% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.70%EV -9.89%E -8.91%K -89.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV +1.62%E +0.299%K +0.367%G +0.006% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.95%EV -9.89%E -8.91%K -89.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV +12.91%E +2.15%K +2.58%G +0.333% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -10.70%E -9.73%K -107.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35% | 1.2% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.00% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.00% | 1.2% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 1.3% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09% | 1.5% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Novig◎ | 5.52I 18.12%NM 16.99% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.01% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |