La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Storm Hunter v Magdalena Frech
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Storm Hunter (Local)
Predicción 18.82%5.31momio equitativo
EV +20.06%
Ventaja +3.14%
Kelly +3.73%
Crecimiento +0.748%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.38
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.05%20.37%18.72%34.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.754.524.886.3836.36%22.14%20.51%15.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Magdalena Frech (Visitante)
Predicción 81.18%1.23momio equitativo
EV +16.90%
Ventaja +11.74%
Kelly +38.41%
Crecimiento +6.49%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.63%79.63%81.28%84.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.101.221.161.4490.91%82.18%86.21%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -48.25%E -17.55%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +16.90%E +11.74%K +38.41%G +6.49% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| PlayUp | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -47.31%E -16.90%K -26.28%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +15.28%E +10.76%K +36.38%G +5.56% | 6.1% | 2026-03-06 00:41 |
| Pinnacle | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.99%EV -40.91%E -13.03%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.01%EV +14.47%E +10.26%K +35.29%G +5.10% | 2.8% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| GTbets | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -44.49%E -15.08%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV +14.47%E +10.26%K +35.29%G +5.10% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:37 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -42.98%E -14.19%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV +13.66%E +9.75%K +34.14%G +4.66% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -42.98%E -14.19%K -21.17%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV +13.66%E +9.75%K +34.14%G +4.66% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| BetUS | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -43.55%E -14.52%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +13.66%E +9.75%K +34.14%G +4.66% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| Neds | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -47.31%E -16.90%K -26.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +13.66%E +9.75%K +34.14%G +4.66% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -47.31%E -16.90%K -26.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +13.66%E +9.75%K +34.14%G +4.66% | 7.1% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| Bet Right | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -43.55%E -14.52%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV +12.84%E +9.24%K +32.93%G +4.23% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -44.49%E -15.08%K -22.81%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV +12.84%E +9.24%K +32.93%G +4.23% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 00:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -43.55%E -14.52%K -21.77%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV +11.22%E +8.19%K +30.32%G +3.40% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 00:37 |
| SportsBet | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -45.05%E -15.43%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV +11.22%E +8.19%K +30.32%G +3.40% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -45.05%E -15.43%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV +11.22%E +8.19%K +30.32%G +3.40% | 7.2% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| FanDuel | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -20.97%E -4.99%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -0.146%E -0.119%K -0.634%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 00:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -20.02%E -4.71%K -6.16%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -0.958%E -0.785%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-06 00:49 |
| Bovada | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -10.62%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.58%E -2.15%K -12.91%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-06 00:48 |
| Unibet | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -10.62%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.39%E -2.85%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -10.62%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.39%E -2.85%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Betsson | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -8.73%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.20%E -3.56%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Bet Victor | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -15.32%E -3.40%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.20%E -3.56%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 00:49 |
| Coral | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -15.32%E -3.40%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.20%E -3.56%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| theScore Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -15.32%E -3.40%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.20%E -3.56%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Bally Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -15.32%E -3.40%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.20%E -3.56%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| TAB | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -24.73%E -6.18%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -4.20%E -3.56%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| BoyleSports | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -9.67%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.02%E -4.29%K -29.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Caesars | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -9.67%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.02%E -4.29%K -29.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Coolbet | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -0.266%E -0.050%K -0.062%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.83%E -5.02%K -36.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Casumo | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.21%E -0.230%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.83%E -5.02%K -36.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.21%E -0.230%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.83%E -5.02%K -36.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.21%E -0.230%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.83%E -5.02%K -36.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.21%E -0.230%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.83%E -5.02%K -36.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| betPARX | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.21%E -0.230%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.83%E -5.02%K -36.43%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| TABtouch | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.91%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.83%E -5.02%K -36.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Betway | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.21%E -0.230%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.64%E -5.77%K -44.27%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.91%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.64%E -5.77%K -44.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.91%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.64%E -5.77%K -44.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Grosvenor | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.91%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.64%E -5.77%K -44.27%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +8.20%E +1.43%K +1.73%G +0.142% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| NordicBet | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +3.50%E +0.636%K +0.777%G +0.027% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +3.50%E +0.636%K +0.777%G +0.027% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +1.62%E +0.299%K +0.367%G +0.006% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| BetMGM | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -1.21%E -0.230%K -0.284%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.91%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.91%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.91%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.91%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Fanatics | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -7.79%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 00:47 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -7.79%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| LeoVegas | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -7.79%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Fliff | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -9.67%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| DraftKings | 6.38I 15.67%NM 15.05%EV +20.06%E +3.14%K +3.73%G +0.748% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.95%EV -8.26%E -7.31%K -63.57%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +3.50%E +0.636%K +0.777%G +0.027% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -8.26%E -7.31%K -63.57%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV +7.26%E +1.27%K +1.54%G +0.112% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.70%EV -9.89%E -8.91%K -89.89%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV +1.62%E +0.299%K +0.367%G +0.006% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.95%EV -9.89%E -8.91%K -89.89%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV +12.91%E +2.15%K +2.58%G +0.333% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -10.70%E -9.73%K -107.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35% | 1.2% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.00% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 81.00% | 1.2% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 1.3% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09% | 1.5% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Matchbook | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21% | 4.5% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Novig | 5.52I 18.12%NM 16.99% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.01% | 6.6% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |