مدرسة الاحتمالات

Storm Hunter v Magdalena Frech

البداية: 2026-03-06 01:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

56 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Storm Hunter (المضيف)

التنبؤ 18.82%5.31السعر العادل
EV +20.06%
الأفضلية +3.14%
Kelly +3.73%
النمو +0.748%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 6.38

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
15.05%20.37%18.72%34.37%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.754.524.886.3836.36%22.14%20.51%15.67%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Magdalena Frech (الضيف)

التنبؤ 81.18%1.23السعر العادل
EV +16.90%
الأفضلية +11.74%
Kelly +38.41%
النمو +6.49%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.44

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
65.63%79.63%81.28%84.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.101.221.161.4490.91%82.18%86.21%69.44%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (56 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -48.25%E -17.55%K -27.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +16.90%E +11.74%K +38.41%G +6.49%5.8%2026-03-06 00:20
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -47.31%E -16.90%K -26.28%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +15.28%E +10.76%K +36.38%G +5.56%6.1%2026-03-06 00:41
Pinnacle3.14I 31.85%NM 30.99%EV -40.91%E -13.03%K -19.12%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.01%EV +14.47%E +10.26%K +35.29%G +5.10%2.8%2026-03-06 00:20
GTbets2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -44.49%E -15.08%K -22.81%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV +14.47%E +10.26%K +35.29%G +5.10%4.8%2026-03-06 00:37
BetOnline.ag3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -42.98%E -14.19%K -21.17%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV +13.66%E +9.75%K +34.14%G +4.66%4.4%2026-03-06 00:20
LowVig.ag3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -42.98%E -14.19%K -21.17%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV +13.66%E +9.75%K +34.14%G +4.66%4.4%2026-03-06 00:20
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -43.55%E -14.52%K -21.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +13.66%E +9.75%K +34.14%G +4.66%4.8%2026-03-06 00:20
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -47.31%E -16.90%K -26.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +13.66%E +9.75%K +34.14%G +4.66%7.1%2026-03-06 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -47.31%E -16.90%K -26.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +13.66%E +9.75%K +34.14%G +4.66%7.1%2026-03-06 00:20
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -43.55%E -14.52%K -21.77%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV +12.84%E +9.24%K +32.93%G +4.23%5.3%2026-03-06 00:20
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -44.49%E -15.08%K -22.81%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV +12.84%E +9.24%K +32.93%G +4.23%5.8%2026-03-06 00:29
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -43.55%E -14.52%K -21.77%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV +11.22%E +8.19%K +30.32%G +3.40%6.3%2026-03-06 00:37
SportsBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -45.05%E -15.43%K -23.46%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV +11.22%E +8.19%K +30.32%G +3.40%7.2%2026-03-06 00:20
NetBet (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -45.05%E -15.43%K -23.46%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV +11.22%E +8.19%K +30.32%G +3.40%7.2%2026-03-06 00:20
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -20.97%E -4.99%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -0.146%E -0.119%K -0.634%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 00:49
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -20.02%E -4.71%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -0.958%E -0.785%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 00:49
Bovada4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -10.62%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.58%E -2.15%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 00:48
Unibet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -10.62%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.39%E -2.85%K -17.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 00:50
ATG (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -10.62%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.39%E -2.85%K -17.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 00:50
Betsson4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -8.73%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.20%E -3.56%K -23.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 00:50
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -15.32%E -3.40%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.20%E -3.56%K -23.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 00:49
Coral4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -15.32%E -3.40%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.20%E -3.56%K -23.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 00:50
theScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -15.32%E -3.40%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.20%E -3.56%K -23.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 00:50
Bally Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -15.32%E -3.40%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.20%E -3.56%K -23.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 00:50
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -24.73%E -6.18%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -4.20%E -3.56%K -23.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-06 00:50
BoyleSports4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -9.67%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.02%E -4.29%K -29.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 00:50
Caesars4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -9.67%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.02%E -4.29%K -29.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 00:50
Coolbet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -0.266%E -0.050%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.83%E -5.02%K -36.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 00:50
Casumo5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.21%E -0.230%K -0.284%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.83%E -5.02%K -36.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:50
Unibet (NL)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.21%E -0.230%K -0.284%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.83%E -5.02%K -36.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:50
Unibet (SE)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.21%E -0.230%K -0.284%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.83%E -5.02%K -36.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:50
Svenska Spel5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.21%E -0.230%K -0.284%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.83%E -5.02%K -36.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:50
betPARX5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.21%E -0.230%K -0.284%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.83%E -5.02%K -36.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:50
TABtouch5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.91%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.83%E -5.02%K -36.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 00:50
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.21%E -0.230%K -0.284%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.64%E -5.77%K -44.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 00:50
LiveScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.91%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.64%E -5.77%K -44.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 00:50
Virgin Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.91%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.64%E -5.77%K -44.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 00:50
Grosvenor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.91%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.64%E -5.77%K -44.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 00:50
Unibet (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +8.20%E +1.43%K +1.73%G +0.142%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 00:50
NordicBet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +3.50%E +0.636%K +0.777%G +0.027%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 00:50
Ladbrokes (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +3.50%E +0.636%K +0.777%G +0.027%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 00:50
Winamax (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +1.62%E +0.299%K +0.367%G +0.006%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 00:50
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -1.21%E -0.230%K -0.284%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 00:50
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.91%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 00:50
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.91%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 00:50
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.91%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 00:50
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.91%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 00:50
Fanatics4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -7.79%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 00:47
LeoVegas (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -7.79%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 00:50
LeoVegas4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -7.79%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 00:50
Fliff4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -9.67%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 00:50
DraftKings6.38I 15.67%NM 15.05%EV +20.06%E +3.14%K +3.73%G +0.748%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.95%EV -8.26%E -7.31%K -63.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 00:50
PointsBet (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +3.50%E +0.636%K +0.777%G +0.027%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -8.26%E -7.31%K -63.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 00:50
Winamax (DE)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV +7.26%E +1.27%K +1.54%G +0.112%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.70%EV -9.89%E -8.91%K -89.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 00:50
Betclic (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV +1.62%E +0.299%K +0.367%G +0.006%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.95%EV -9.89%E -8.91%K -89.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 00:50
Tipico (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV +12.91%E +2.15%K +2.58%G +0.333%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -10.70%E -9.73%K -107.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 00:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35%1.2%2026-03-06 00:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.00%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.00%1.2%2026-03-06 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%1.3%2026-03-06 00:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09%1.5%2026-03-06 00:50
Matchbook5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%4.5%2026-03-06 00:50
Novig5.52I 18.12%NM 16.99%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.01%6.6%2026-03-06 00:50