L’École des cotes

Storm Hunter v Magdalena Frech

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-06 01:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Storm Hunter (Local)

Prévision 18.82%5.31cote équitable
EV +20.06%
Avantage +3.14%
Kelly +3.73%
Croissance +0.748%

avec la cote maximale 6.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.05%20.37%18.72%34.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.754.524.886.3836.36%22.14%20.51%15.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Magdalena Frech (Visiteur)

Prévision 81.18%1.23cote équitable
EV +16.90%
Avantage +11.74%
Kelly +38.41%
Croissance +6.49%

avec la cote maximale 1.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.63%79.63%81.28%84.95%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.101.221.161.4490.91%82.18%86.21%69.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -48.25%E -17.55%K -27.57%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +16.90%E +11.74%K +38.41%G +6.49%5.8%2026-03-06 00:20
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -47.31%E -16.90%K -26.28%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +15.28%E +10.76%K +36.38%G +5.56%6.1%2026-03-06 00:41
Pinnacle3.14I 31.85%NM 30.99%EV -40.91%E -13.03%K -19.12%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.01%EV +14.47%E +10.26%K +35.29%G +5.10%2.8%2026-03-06 00:20
GTbets2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -44.49%E -15.08%K -22.81%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV +14.47%E +10.26%K +35.29%G +5.10%4.8%2026-03-06 00:37
BetOnline.ag3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -42.98%E -14.19%K -21.17%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV +13.66%E +9.75%K +34.14%G +4.66%4.4%2026-03-06 00:20
LowVig.ag3.03I 33.00%NM 31.60%EV -42.98%E -14.19%K -21.17%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.40%EV +13.66%E +9.75%K +34.14%G +4.66%4.4%2026-03-06 00:20
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -43.55%E -14.52%K -21.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +13.66%E +9.75%K +34.14%G +4.66%4.8%2026-03-06 00:20
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -47.31%E -16.90%K -26.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +13.66%E +9.75%K +34.14%G +4.66%7.1%2026-03-06 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -47.31%E -16.90%K -26.28%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +13.66%E +9.75%K +34.14%G +4.66%7.1%2026-03-06 00:20
Bet Right3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -43.55%E -14.52%K -21.77%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV +12.84%E +9.24%K +32.93%G +4.23%5.3%2026-03-06 00:20
Unibet (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -44.49%E -15.08%K -22.81%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV +12.84%E +9.24%K +32.93%G +4.23%5.8%2026-03-06 00:29
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -43.55%E -14.52%K -21.77%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV +11.22%E +8.19%K +30.32%G +3.40%6.3%2026-03-06 00:37
SportsBet2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -45.05%E -15.43%K -23.46%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV +11.22%E +8.19%K +30.32%G +3.40%7.2%2026-03-06 00:20
NetBet (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 31.93%EV -45.05%E -15.43%K -23.46%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.07%EV +11.22%E +8.19%K +30.32%G +3.40%7.2%2026-03-06 00:20
FanDuel4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -20.97%E -4.99%K -6.55%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -0.146%E -0.119%K -0.634%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 00:49
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -20.02%E -4.71%K -6.16%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -0.958%E -0.785%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 00:49
Bovada4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -10.62%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -2.58%E -2.15%K -12.91%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-06 00:48
Unibet4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -10.62%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.39%E -2.85%K -17.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 00:50
ATG (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 20.03%EV -10.62%E -2.23%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.97%EV -3.39%E -2.85%K -17.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 00:50
Betsson4.85I 20.62%NM 19.57%EV -8.73%E -1.80%K -2.27%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.43%EV -4.20%E -3.56%K -23.36%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-06 00:50
Bet Victor4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -15.32%E -3.40%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.20%E -3.56%K -23.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 00:49
Coral4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -15.32%E -3.40%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.20%E -3.56%K -23.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 00:50
theScore Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -15.32%E -3.40%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.20%E -3.56%K -23.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 00:50
Bally Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -15.32%E -3.40%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -4.20%E -3.56%K -23.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 00:50
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -24.73%E -6.18%K -8.24%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -4.20%E -3.56%K -23.36%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-06 00:50
BoyleSports4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -9.67%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.02%E -4.29%K -29.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 00:50
Caesars4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -9.67%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.02%E -4.29%K -29.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-06 00:50
Coolbet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -0.266%E -0.050%K -0.062%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -5.83%E -5.02%K -36.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 00:50
Casumo5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.21%E -0.230%K -0.284%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.83%E -5.02%K -36.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:50
Unibet (NL)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.21%E -0.230%K -0.284%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.83%E -5.02%K -36.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:50
Unibet (SE)5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.21%E -0.230%K -0.284%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.83%E -5.02%K -36.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:50
Svenska Spel5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.21%E -0.230%K -0.284%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.83%E -5.02%K -36.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:50
betPARX5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -1.21%E -0.230%K -0.284%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.83%E -5.02%K -36.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 00:50
TABtouch5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -5.91%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -5.83%E -5.02%K -36.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 00:50
Betway5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -1.21%E -0.230%K -0.284%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -6.64%E -5.77%K -44.27%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 00:50
LiveScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.91%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.64%E -5.77%K -44.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 00:50
Virgin Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.91%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.64%E -5.77%K -44.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 00:50
Grosvenor5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -5.91%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -6.64%E -5.77%K -44.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-06 00:50
Unibet (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +8.20%E +1.43%K +1.73%G +0.142%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-06 00:50
NordicBet5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +3.50%E +0.636%K +0.777%G +0.027%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 00:50
Ladbrokes (UK)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +3.50%E +0.636%K +0.777%G +0.027%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-06 00:50
Winamax (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV +1.62%E +0.299%K +0.367%G +0.006%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-06 00:50
BetMGM5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -1.21%E -0.230%K -0.284%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-06 00:50
888sport5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.91%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 00:50
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.91%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 00:50
Mr Green (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.91%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 00:50
888sport (SE)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -5.91%E -1.18%K -1.48%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 00:50
Fanatics4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -7.79%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 00:47
LeoVegas (SE)4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -7.79%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 00:50
LeoVegas4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -7.79%E -1.59%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-06 00:50
Fliff4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -9.67%E -2.02%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.81%EV -7.45%E -6.54%K -53.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 00:50
DraftKings6.38I 15.67%NM 15.05%EV +20.06%E +3.14%K +3.73%G +0.748%1.13I 88.50%NM 84.95%EV -8.26%E -7.31%K -63.57%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-06 00:50
PointsBet (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV +3.50%E +0.636%K +0.777%G +0.027%1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -8.26%E -7.31%K -63.57%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-06 00:50
Winamax (DE)5.70I 17.54%NM 16.30%EV +7.26%E +1.27%K +1.54%G +0.112%1.11I 90.09%NM 83.70%EV -9.89%E -8.91%K -89.89%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 00:50
Betclic (FR)5.40I 18.52%NM 17.05%EV +1.62%E +0.299%K +0.367%G +0.006%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.95%EV -9.89%E -8.91%K -89.89%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-06 00:50
Tipico (DE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV +12.91%E +2.15%K +2.58%G +0.333%1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -10.70%E -9.73%K -107.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 00:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35%1.2%2026-03-06 00:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.00%1.22I 81.97%NM 81.00%1.2%2026-03-06 00:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%1.3%2026-03-06 00:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.91%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.09%1.5%2026-03-06 00:50
Matchbook5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%4.5%2026-03-06 00:50
Novig5.52I 18.12%NM 16.99%1.13I 88.50%NM 83.01%6.6%2026-03-06 00:50