StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Maria Sakkari v Iga Swiatek

Matchstart: 2026-03-09 23:49 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

57 spelbolag (22 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Maria Sakkari (Hemma)

Prognos 21.69%4.61rättvist odds
EV +4.13%
Fördel +0.860%
Kelly +1.09%
Tillväxt +0.045%

med antagandet om högsta odds 4.80

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
19.60%21.92%21.86%30.02%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.104.314.304.8032.26%23.18%23.26%20.83%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Iga Swiatek (Borta)

Prognos 78.31%1.28rättvist odds
EV +4.15%
Fördel +3.12%
Kelly +12.57%
Tillväxt +0.522%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.33

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
69.98%78.08%78.14%80.40%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.171.221.221.3385.47%82.25%81.97%75.19%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Maria Sakkari (Hemma): 21.69%; Iga Swiatek (Borta): 78.31%. För Iga Swiatek (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 1.28. 1 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 1.33, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +4.15%.

Spelbolagsodds (57 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Bet Victor🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -32.75%E -10.57%K -15.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV +4.15%E +3.12%K +12.57%G +0.522%7.4%2026-03-09 23:44
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -2.90%E -2.34%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 23:30
Unibet (FR)🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.06%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.90%E -2.34%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 23:38
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.90%E -2.34%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 23:44
Pinnacle🎯4.78I 20.92%NM 20.47%EV +3.69%E +0.772%K +0.977%G +0.036%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.53%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-09 23:44
Winamax (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-09 23:30
Unibet (NL)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 23:29
Unibet (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 23:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 23:30
TABtouch🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 23:29
BetRivers🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 23:30
Grosvenor🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 23:29
Casumo🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 23:29
LeoVegas🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 23:30
Unibet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 23:30
Svenska Spel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 23:29
betPARX🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 23:29
ATG (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 23:30
Bally Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 23:30
GTbets🎯4.24I 23.58%NM 22.49%EV -8.02%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.51%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 23:42
FanDuel🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 23:44
BetOnline.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 23:35
LowVig.ag🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 23:34
Betclic (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 23:24
Unibet (UK)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 23:29
Winamax (FR)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 23:29
Betsson🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 23:34
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 23:29
Codere (IT)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.89%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 23:30
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.89%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 23:30
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 23:45
DraftKings🎯4.52I 22.12%NM 21.12%EV -1.95%E -0.431%K -0.554%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.88%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 23:45
Bet Right🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 23:30
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 23:44
Betr (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -24.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 23:40
theScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -24.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 23:29
LiveScore Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -11.06%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -24.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 23:30
Virgin Bet🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -11.06%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -24.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 23:30
Fanatics🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.213%E -0.046%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 23:44
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 23:44
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 23:34
BetUS🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 23:29
NordicBet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -3.47%E -0.779%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 23:44
888sport🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.07%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 23:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.07%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 23:30
Coral🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.07%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 23:29
888sport (SE)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.07%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 23:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.07%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 23:45
SportsBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-09 23:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-09 23:44
BetMGM🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-09 23:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.81%E -5.73%K -35.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 23:29
Neds🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.81%E -5.73%K -35.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 23:30
Tipico (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.60%E -6.44%K -42.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 23:45
NetBet (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -4.55%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.60%E -6.44%K -42.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 23:39
Caesars🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +4.13%E +0.860%K +1.09%G +0.045%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -8.38%E -7.16%K -49.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 23:44
Fliff🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -5.64%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -8.38%E -7.16%K -49.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-09 23:44
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-03-09 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-03-09 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-03-09 23:44
Matchbook5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%1.3%2026-03-09 23:45
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%3.5%2026-03-09 23:45
Novig4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%4.9%2026-03-09 23:45