A Escola das Odds

Maria Sakkari v Iga Swiatek

Início: 2026-03-09 23:49 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Maria Sakkari (Local)

Previsão 21.69%4.61odd justa
EV +4.13%
Vantagem +0.860%
Kelly +1.09%
Crescimento +0.045%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
19.60%21.92%21.86%30.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.104.314.304.8032.26%23.18%23.26%20.83%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Iga Swiatek (Visitante)

Previsão 78.31%1.28odd justa
EV +4.15%
Vantagem +3.12%
Kelly +12.57%
Crescimento +0.522%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.33

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
69.98%78.08%78.14%80.40%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.171.221.221.3385.47%82.25%81.97%75.19%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -32.75%E -10.57%K -15.60%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV +4.15%E +3.12%K +12.57%G +0.522%7.4%2026-03-09 23:44
Hard Rock Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -2.90%E -2.34%K -12.08%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 23:30
Unibet (FR)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.06%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.90%E -2.34%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-09 23:38
PlayUp4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.90%E -2.34%K -12.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 23:44
Pinnacle4.78I 20.92%NM 20.47%EV +3.69%E +0.772%K +0.977%G +0.036%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.53%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-09 23:44
Winamax (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-09 23:30
Unibet (NL)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 23:29
Unibet (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 23:29
LeoVegas (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 23:30
TABtouch4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 23:29
BetRivers4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 23:30
Grosvenor4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 23:29
Casumo4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 23:29
LeoVegas4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 23:30
Unibet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 23:30
Svenska Spel4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 23:29
betPARX4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 23:29
ATG (SE)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 23:30
Bally Bet4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-09 23:30
GTbets4.24I 23.58%NM 22.49%EV -8.02%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.51%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 23:42
FanDuel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 23:44
BetOnline.ag4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 23:35
LowVig.ag4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-09 23:34
Betclic (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 23:24
Unibet (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 23:29
Winamax (FR)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-09 23:29
Betsson4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 23:34
Betway4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-09 23:29
Codere (IT)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.89%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 23:30
William Hill4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.89%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 23:30
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 23:45
DraftKings4.52I 22.12%NM 21.12%EV -1.95%E -0.431%K -0.554%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.88%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-09 23:45
Bet Right4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 23:30
Coolbet4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -24.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 23:44
Betr (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -24.99%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-09 23:40
theScore Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -24.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-09 23:29
LiveScore Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -11.06%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -24.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 23:30
Virgin Bet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -11.06%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -24.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 23:30
Fanatics4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.213%E -0.046%K -0.059%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-09 23:44
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 23:44
BoyleSports4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 23:34
BetUS4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 23:29
NordicBet4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -3.47%E -0.779%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-09 23:44
888sport4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.07%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 23:44
Ladbrokes (UK)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.07%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 23:30
Coral4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.07%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 23:29
888sport (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.07%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 23:44
Mr Green (SE)4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.07%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-09 23:45
SportsBet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-09 23:29
PointsBet (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-09 23:44
BetMGM4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-09 23:44
Ladbrokes (AU)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.81%E -5.73%K -35.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 23:29
Neds4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.81%E -5.73%K -35.87%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-09 23:30
Tipico (DE)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.60%E -6.44%K -42.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-09 23:45
NetBet (FR)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -4.55%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.60%E -6.44%K -42.21%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-09 23:39
Caesars4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +4.13%E +0.860%K +1.09%G +0.045%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -8.38%E -7.16%K -49.30%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-09 23:44
Fliff4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -5.64%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -8.38%E -7.16%K -49.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-09 23:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87%0.5%2026-03-09 23:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87%1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13%0.6%2026-03-09 23:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57%0.9%2026-03-09 23:44
Matchbook5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74%1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26%1.3%2026-03-09 23:45
Smarkets4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87%3.5%2026-03-09 23:45
Novig4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%4.9%2026-03-09 23:45