Langue:Français
Maria Sakkari v Iga Swiatek
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Maria Sakkari (Local)
Prévision 21.69%4.61cote équitable
EV +4.13%
Avantage +0.860%
Kelly +1.09%
Croissance +0.045%
avec la cote maximale 4.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
19.60%21.92%21.86%30.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.104.314.304.8032.26%23.18%23.26%20.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Iga Swiatek (Visiteur)
Prévision 78.31%1.28cote équitable
EV +4.15%
Avantage +3.12%
Kelly +12.57%
Croissance +0.522%
avec la cote maximale 1.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.98%78.08%78.14%80.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.171.221.221.3385.47%82.25%81.97%75.19%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Maria Sakkari (Local) : 21.69% ; Iga Swiatek (Visiteur) : 78.31%. Pour Iga Swiatek (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 1.28. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 1.33, soit une espérance positive de +4.15%.
Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -32.75%E -10.57%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV +4.15%E +3.12%K +12.57%G +0.522% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 23:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -2.90%E -2.34%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 23:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.06%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.90%E -2.34%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 23:38 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.90%E -2.34%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 23:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.47%EV +3.69%E +0.772%K +0.977%G +0.036% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.53%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-03-09 23:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-09 23:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 23:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 23:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 23:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 23:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 23:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 23:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 23:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 23:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 23:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 23:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 23:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 23:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 23:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.49%EV -8.02%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.51%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 23:42 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 23:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 23:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 23:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 23:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 23:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 23:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 23:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 23:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.89%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 23:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.89%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 23:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 23:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.12%EV -1.95%E -0.431%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.88%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 23:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 23:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 23:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 23:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-09 23:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -11.06%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 23:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -11.06%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 23:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.213%E -0.046%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 23:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 23:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 23:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 23:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -3.47%E -0.779%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 23:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.07%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-09 23:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.07%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-09 23:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.07%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-09 23:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.07%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-09 23:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.07%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-09 23:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-09 23:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-09 23:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-09 23:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.81%E -5.73%K -35.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-09 23:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.81%E -5.73%K -35.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-09 23:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.60%E -6.44%K -42.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 23:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -4.55%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.60%E -6.44%K -42.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-09 23:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +4.13%E +0.860%K +1.09%G +0.045% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -8.38%E -7.16%K -49.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 23:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -5.64%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -8.38%E -7.16%K -49.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-09 23:44 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 0.5% | 2026-03-09 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-03-09 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-03-09 23:44 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 1.3% | 2026-03-09 23:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87% | 3.5% | 2026-03-09 23:45 |
| Novig◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 23:45 |