Idioma:Español
Maria Sakkari v Iga Swiatek
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Maria Sakkari (Local)
Predicción 21.69%4.61momio equitativo
EV +4.13%
Ventaja +0.860%
Kelly +1.09%
Crecimiento +0.045%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.60%21.92%21.86%30.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.104.314.304.8032.26%23.18%23.26%20.83%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Iga Swiatek (Visitante)
Predicción 78.31%1.28momio equitativo
EV +4.15%
Ventaja +3.12%
Kelly +12.57%
Crecimiento +0.522%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.98%78.08%78.14%80.40%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.171.221.221.3385.47%82.25%81.97%75.19%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Maria Sakkari (Local): 21.69%; Iga Swiatek (Visitante): 78.31%. Para Iga Swiatek (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 1.28. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 1.33, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +4.15%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -32.75%E -10.57%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV +4.15%E +3.12%K +12.57%G +0.522% | 7.4% | 2026-03-09 23:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -2.90%E -2.34%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 23:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -11.06%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -2.90%E -2.34%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-09 23:38 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -2.90%E -2.34%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 23:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.78I 20.92%NM 20.47%EV +3.69%E +0.772%K +0.977%G +0.036% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.53%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-03-09 23:44 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.47%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.53%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-09 23:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 23:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 23:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 23:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 23:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 23:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 23:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 23:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 23:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 23:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 23:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 23:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 23:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-09 23:30 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.24I 23.58%NM 22.49%EV -8.02%E -1.89%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.51%EV -3.68%E -2.99%K -16.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 23:42 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 23:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 23:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-09 23:34 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 23:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 23:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-09 23:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 23:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-09 23:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.89%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 23:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.89%E -2.12%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 23:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -13.23%E -3.31%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.47%E -3.66%K -20.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 23:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.52I 22.12%NM 21.12%EV -1.95%E -0.431%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.88%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-09 23:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 23:30 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 23:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -6.72%E -1.56%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-09 23:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-09 23:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -11.06%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 23:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -11.06%E -2.70%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -5.25%E -4.34%K -24.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 23:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.213%E -0.046%K -0.059%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-09 23:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 23:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 23:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 23:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -3.47%E -0.779%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-09 23:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.07%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-09 23:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.07%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-09 23:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.07%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-09 23:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.07%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-09 23:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -6.07%E -1.40%K -1.82%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-09 23:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-09 23:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-09 23:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.03%E -5.03%K -30.16%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-09 23:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.81%E -5.73%K -35.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-09 23:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 21.88%EV -7.81%E -1.84%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 78.13%EV -6.81%E -5.73%K -35.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-09 23:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -2.38%E -0.529%K -0.681%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -7.60%E -6.44%K -42.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-09 23:45 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -4.55%E -1.03%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -7.60%E -6.44%K -42.21%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-09 23:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV +4.13%E +0.860%K +1.09%G +0.045% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -8.38%E -7.16%K -49.30%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-09 23:44 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.20%EV -5.64%E -1.30%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.80%EV -8.38%E -7.16%K -49.30%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-09 23:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 5.20I 19.23%NM 19.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.87% | 0.5% | 2026-03-09 23:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.87% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 80.13% | 0.6% | 2026-03-09 23:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.43% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.57% | 0.9% | 2026-03-09 23:44 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.74% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 80.26% | 1.3% | 2026-03-09 23:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.13% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.87% | 3.5% | 2026-03-09 23:45 |
| Novig◎ | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.19% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.81% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 23:45 |