Language:English
Madison Keys v Diane Parry
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Madison Keys (Local)
Prediction 74.62%1.34fair odd
EV +1.48%
Edge +1.09%
Kelly +4.12%
Growth +0.061%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.81%74.08%74.65%77.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.201.271.281.3683.33%78.53%78.13%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Diane Parry (Visit)
Prediction 25.38%3.94fair odd
EV +7.87%
Edge +1.85%
Kelly +2.42%
Growth +0.191%
assuming max odds 4.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.30%25.92%25.35%31.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.673.604.2533.33%27.27%27.78%23.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Madison Keys (Local): 74.62%; Diane Parry (Visit): 25.38%. For Diane Parry (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.94. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.87%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -7.47%E -6.03%K -31.14%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +7.87%E +1.85%K +2.42%G +0.191% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -8.22%E -6.68%K -35.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV +7.87%E +1.85%K +2.42%G +0.191% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 02:24 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.97%E -7.35%K -40.75%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +7.87%E +1.85%K +2.42%G +0.191% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -7.47%E -6.03%K -31.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +6.60%E +1.57%K +2.06%G +0.136% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 02:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -7.47%E -6.03%K -31.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +6.60%E +1.57%K +2.06%G +0.136% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 02:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -8.97%E -7.35%K -40.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +6.60%E +1.57%K +2.06%G +0.136% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -8.22%E -6.68%K -35.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +4.06%E +0.991%K +1.31%G +0.053% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 02:11 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -8.22%E -6.68%K -35.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +4.06%E +0.991%K +1.31%G +0.053% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.03%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.97%EV +3.05%E +0.751%K +0.996%G +0.030% | 2.8% | 2026-03-08 02:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +2.79%E +0.690%K +0.916%G +0.026% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 02:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -8.97%E -7.35%K -40.75%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV +2.79%E +0.690%K +0.916%G +0.026% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.52%E +0.381%K +0.508%G +0.008% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.52%E +0.381%K +0.508%G +0.008% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.47%E -6.03%K -31.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +1.52%E +0.381%K +0.508%G +0.008% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.97%E -7.35%K -40.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +1.52%E +0.381%K +0.508%G +0.008% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 02:08 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -10.46%E -8.71%K -52.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV +1.52%E +0.381%K +0.508%G +0.008% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -7.47%E -6.03%K -31.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV +0.256%E +0.065%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 02:23 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -2.79%E -0.729%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -2.79%E -0.729%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -5.23%E -4.12%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV -3.30%E -0.866%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.23%E -4.12%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -5.07%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:28 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.23%E -4.12%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.23%E -4.12%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.98%E -4.75%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 02:18 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.22%E -6.68%K -35.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 02:28 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -9.90%E -2.79%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 02:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.90%E -2.79%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -1.50%E -1.14%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.00%E -2.30%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.74%E -2.90%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.74%E -2.90%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.74%E -2.90%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -3.74%E -2.90%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -12.44%E -3.60%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -3.74%E -2.90%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -12.44%E -3.60%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -3.74%E -2.90%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -12.44%E -3.60%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.757%E -0.569%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -16.24%E -4.92%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -2.25%E -1.72%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -17.51%E -5.39%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -17.51%E -5.39%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 02:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV +0.735%E +0.545%K +2.10%G +0.015% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -18.27%E -5.67%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -0.757%E -0.569%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -18.78%E -5.87%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -3.00%E -2.30%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -18.78%E -5.87%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -1.50%E -1.14%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -20.05%E -6.36%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -0.757%E -0.569%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -22.59%E -7.41%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 02:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV +1.48%E +1.09%K +4.12%G +0.061% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -23.86%E -7.95%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 02:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV +1.48%E +1.09%K +4.12%G +0.061% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -23.86%E -7.95%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 02:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV +0.735%E +0.545%K +2.10%G +0.015% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -23.86%E -7.95%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-03-08 02:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-03-08 02:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-03-08 02:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-03-08 02:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 02:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.55% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.45% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |