مدرسة الاحتمالات

Madison Keys v Diane Parry

البداية: 2026-03-08 02:35 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

59 شركة مراهنات (21 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Madison Keys (المضيف)

التنبؤ 74.62%1.34السعر العادل
EV +1.48%
الأفضلية +1.09%
Kelly +4.12%
النمو +0.061%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.36

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
68.81%74.08%74.65%77.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.201.271.281.3683.33%78.53%78.13%73.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Diane Parry (الضيف)

التنبؤ 25.38%3.94السعر العادل
EV +7.87%
الأفضلية +1.85%
Kelly +2.42%
النمو +0.191%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.25

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.30%25.92%25.35%31.19%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.673.604.2533.33%27.27%27.78%23.53%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (59 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
Hard Rock Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -7.47%E -6.03%K -31.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +7.87%E +1.85%K +2.42%G +0.191%4.2%2026-03-08 02:20
BetRivers1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -8.22%E -6.68%K -35.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV +7.87%E +1.85%K +2.42%G +0.191%4.8%2026-03-08 02:24
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.97%E -7.35%K -40.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +7.87%E +1.85%K +2.42%G +0.191%5.5%2026-03-08 02:19
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -7.47%E -6.03%K -31.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +6.60%E +1.57%K +2.06%G +0.136%4.5%2026-03-08 02:09
Unibet (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -7.47%E -6.03%K -31.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +6.60%E +1.57%K +2.06%G +0.136%4.5%2026-03-08 02:09
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -8.97%E -7.35%K -40.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +6.60%E +1.57%K +2.06%G +0.136%5.8%2026-03-08 02:19
Codere (IT)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -8.22%E -6.68%K -35.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +4.06%E +0.991%K +1.31%G +0.053%5.7%2026-03-08 02:11
Unibet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -8.22%E -6.68%K -35.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +4.06%E +0.991%K +1.31%G +0.053%5.7%2026-03-08 02:19
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 76.03%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.97%EV +3.05%E +0.751%K +0.996%G +0.030%2.8%2026-03-08 02:24
GTbets1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +2.79%E +0.690%K +0.916%G +0.026%4.7%2026-03-08 02:25
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -8.97%E -7.35%K -40.75%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV +2.79%E +0.690%K +0.916%G +0.026%6.7%2026-03-08 02:19
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.52%E +0.381%K +0.508%G +0.008%5.0%2026-03-08 02:20
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.52%E +0.381%K +0.508%G +0.008%5.0%2026-03-08 02:19
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.47%E -6.03%K -31.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +1.52%E +0.381%K +0.508%G +0.008%5.6%2026-03-08 02:20
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.97%E -7.35%K -40.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +1.52%E +0.381%K +0.508%G +0.008%7.0%2026-03-08 02:08
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -10.46%E -8.71%K -52.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV +1.52%E +0.381%K +0.508%G +0.008%8.3%2026-03-08 02:19
Betr (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -7.47%E -6.03%K -31.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV +0.256%E +0.065%K +0.087%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 02:23
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -2.79%E -0.729%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 02:19
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -2.79%E -0.729%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 02:20
1xBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -5.23%E -4.12%K -19.39%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV -3.30%E -0.866%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 02:19
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.23%E -4.12%K -19.39%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -5.07%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:28
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 02:29
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 02:29
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 02:29
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 02:29
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 02:29
ATG (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 02:29
Svenska Spel1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 02:29
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 02:19
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 02:20
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.23%E -4.12%K -19.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 02:29
Bally Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.23%E -4.12%K -19.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 02:29
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.98%E -4.75%K -23.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 02:19
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 02:18
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 02:20
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 02:19
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.22%E -6.68%K -35.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 02:28
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -9.90%E -2.79%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 02:15
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.90%E -2.79%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 02:29
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -1.50%E -1.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 02:29
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.00%E -2.30%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:29
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.74%E -2.90%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 02:29
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.74%E -2.90%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 02:29
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.74%E -2.90%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 02:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 02:29
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -3.74%E -2.90%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -12.44%E -3.60%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 02:29
LiveScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -3.74%E -2.90%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -12.44%E -3.60%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 02:29
Virgin Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -3.74%E -2.90%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -12.44%E -3.60%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 02:29
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.757%E -0.569%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -16.24%E -4.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:29
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -2.25%E -1.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -17.51%E -5.39%K -7.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 02:29
Fliff1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -17.51%E -5.39%K -7.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 02:30
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV +0.735%E +0.545%K +2.10%G +0.015%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -18.27%E -5.67%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 02:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -0.757%E -0.569%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -18.78%E -5.87%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 02:29
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -3.00%E -2.30%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -18.78%E -5.87%K -8.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 02:29
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -1.50%E -1.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -20.05%E -6.36%K -9.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 02:29
Winamax (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -0.757%E -0.569%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -22.59%E -7.41%K -11.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 02:30
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV +1.48%E +1.09%K +4.12%G +0.061%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -23.86%E -7.95%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 02:30
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV +1.48%E +1.09%K +4.12%G +0.061%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -23.86%E -7.95%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 02:30
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV +0.735%E +0.545%K +2.10%G +0.015%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -23.86%E -7.95%K -11.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 02:29
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-03-08 02:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-03-08 02:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-03-08 02:25
Matchbook1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.7%2026-03-08 02:30
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%4.9%2026-03-08 02:30
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 71.55%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.45%5.9%2026-03-08 02:29