La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Madison Keys v Diane Parry
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Madison Keys (Local)
Predicción 74.62%1.34momio equitativo
EV +1.48%
Ventaja +1.09%
Kelly +4.12%
Crecimiento +0.061%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.81%74.08%74.65%77.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.271.281.3683.33%78.53%78.13%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Diane Parry (Visitante)
Predicción 25.38%3.94momio equitativo
EV +7.87%
Ventaja +1.85%
Kelly +2.42%
Crecimiento +0.191%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.30%25.92%25.35%31.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.673.604.2533.33%27.27%27.78%23.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (59 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -7.47%E -6.03%K -31.14%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +7.87%E +1.85%K +2.42%G +0.191% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| BetRivers | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -8.22%E -6.68%K -35.73%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV +7.87%E +1.85%K +2.42%G +0.191% | 4.8% | 2026-03-08 02:24 |
| BetUS | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.97%E -7.35%K -40.75%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +7.87%E +1.85%K +2.42%G +0.191% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Betsson | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -7.47%E -6.03%K -31.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +6.60%E +1.57%K +2.06%G +0.136% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 02:09 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -7.47%E -6.03%K -31.14%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +6.60%E +1.57%K +2.06%G +0.136% | 4.5% | 2026-03-08 02:09 |
| William Hill | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -8.97%E -7.35%K -40.75%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +6.60%E +1.57%K +2.06%G +0.136% | 5.8% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -8.22%E -6.68%K -35.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +4.06%E +0.991%K +1.31%G +0.053% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 02:11 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -8.22%E -6.68%K -35.73%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +4.06%E +0.991%K +1.31%G +0.053% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Pinnacle | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.03%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 4.06I 24.63%NM 23.97%EV +3.05%E +0.751%K +0.996%G +0.030% | 2.8% | 2026-03-08 02:24 |
| GTbets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +2.79%E +0.690%K +0.916%G +0.026% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 02:25 |
| NordicBet | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -8.97%E -7.35%K -40.75%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV +2.79%E +0.690%K +0.916%G +0.026% | 6.7% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Bet Right | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.52%E +0.381%K +0.508%G +0.008% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| Fanatics | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.52%E +0.381%K +0.508%G +0.008% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.47%E -6.03%K -31.14%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +1.52%E +0.381%K +0.508%G +0.008% | 5.6% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| Caesars | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.97%E -7.35%K -40.75%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +1.52%E +0.381%K +0.508%G +0.008% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 02:08 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -10.46%E -8.71%K -52.29%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV +1.52%E +0.381%K +0.508%G +0.008% | 8.3% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -7.47%E -6.03%K -31.14%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV +0.256%E +0.065%K +0.087%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 02:23 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -2.79%E -0.729%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -2.79%E -0.729%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| 1xBet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -5.23%E -4.12%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV -3.30%E -0.866%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.23%E -4.12%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -5.07%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:28 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| Unibet | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| Casumo | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| betPARX | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| PlayUp | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.23%E -4.12%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| Bally Bet | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.23%E -4.12%K -19.39%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| TAB | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.98%E -4.75%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 02:18 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 02:20 |
| Neds | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 02:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.22%E -6.68%K -35.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 02:28 |
| Everygame | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -9.90%E -2.79%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 02:15 |
| LeoVegas | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.90%E -2.79%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| Bovada | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -1.50%E -1.14%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.00%E -2.30%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| 888sport | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.74%E -2.90%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.74%E -2.90%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.74%E -2.90%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| TABtouch | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -3.74%E -2.90%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -12.44%E -3.60%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -3.74%E -2.90%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -12.44%E -3.60%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -3.74%E -2.90%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -12.44%E -3.60%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| FanDuel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.757%E -0.569%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -16.24%E -4.92%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -2.25%E -1.72%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -17.51%E -5.39%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| Fliff | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -17.51%E -5.39%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-08 02:30 |
| DraftKings | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV +0.735%E +0.545%K +2.10%G +0.015% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -18.27%E -5.67%K -8.23%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -0.757%E -0.569%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -18.78%E -5.87%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -3.00%E -2.30%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -18.78%E -5.87%K -8.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -1.50%E -1.14%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -20.05%E -6.36%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -0.757%E -0.569%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -22.59%E -7.41%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-08 02:30 |
| BoyleSports | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV +1.48%E +1.09%K +4.12%G +0.061% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -23.86%E -7.95%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 02:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV +1.48%E +1.09%K +4.12%G +0.061% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -23.86%E -7.95%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 02:30 |
| Coral | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV +0.735%E +0.545%K +2.10%G +0.015% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -23.86%E -7.95%K -11.93%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-03-08 02:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-03-08 02:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.5% | 2026-03-08 02:25 |
| Matchbook | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59% | 1.7% | 2026-03-08 02:30 |
| Smarkets | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 02:30 |
| Novig | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.55% | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.45% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 02:29 |