L’École des cotes

Madison Keys v Diane Parry

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-08 02:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Madison Keys (Local)

Prévision 74.62%1.34cote équitable
EV +1.48%
Avantage +1.09%
Kelly +4.12%
Croissance +0.061%

avec la cote maximale 1.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.81%74.08%74.65%77.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.201.271.281.3683.33%78.53%78.13%73.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Diane Parry (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.38%3.94cote équitable
EV +7.87%
Avantage +1.85%
Kelly +2.42%
Croissance +0.191%

avec la cote maximale 4.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.30%25.92%25.35%31.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.673.604.2533.33%27.27%27.78%23.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -7.47%E -6.03%K -31.14%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV +7.87%E +1.85%K +2.42%G +0.191%4.2%2026-03-08 02:20
BetRivers1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -8.22%E -6.68%K -35.73%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV +7.87%E +1.85%K +2.42%G +0.191%4.8%2026-03-08 02:24
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -8.97%E -7.35%K -40.75%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV +7.87%E +1.85%K +2.42%G +0.191%5.5%2026-03-08 02:19
Betsson1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -7.47%E -6.03%K -31.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +6.60%E +1.57%K +2.06%G +0.136%4.5%2026-03-08 02:09
Unibet (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -7.47%E -6.03%K -31.14%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +6.60%E +1.57%K +2.06%G +0.136%4.5%2026-03-08 02:09
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -8.97%E -7.35%K -40.75%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +6.60%E +1.57%K +2.06%G +0.136%5.8%2026-03-08 02:19
Codere (IT)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -8.22%E -6.68%K -35.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +4.06%E +0.991%K +1.31%G +0.053%5.7%2026-03-08 02:11
Unibet (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 76.92%EV -8.22%E -6.68%K -35.73%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV +4.06%E +0.991%K +1.31%G +0.053%5.7%2026-03-08 02:19
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 76.03%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000%4.06I 24.63%NM 23.97%EV +3.05%E +0.751%K +0.996%G +0.030%2.8%2026-03-08 02:24
GTbets1.25I 80.00%NM 76.42%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.58%EV +2.79%E +0.690%K +0.916%G +0.026%4.7%2026-03-08 02:25
NordicBet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -8.97%E -7.35%K -40.75%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV +2.79%E +0.690%K +0.916%G +0.026%6.7%2026-03-08 02:19
Bet Right1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.52%E +0.381%K +0.508%G +0.008%5.0%2026-03-08 02:20
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +1.52%E +0.381%K +0.508%G +0.008%5.0%2026-03-08 02:19
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -7.47%E -6.03%K -31.14%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +1.52%E +0.381%K +0.508%G +0.008%5.6%2026-03-08 02:20
Caesars1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.97%E -7.35%K -40.75%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +1.52%E +0.381%K +0.508%G +0.008%7.0%2026-03-08 02:08
Tipico (DE)1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -10.46%E -8.71%K -52.29%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV +1.52%E +0.381%K +0.508%G +0.008%8.3%2026-03-08 02:19
Betr (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -7.47%E -6.03%K -31.14%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV +0.256%E +0.065%K +0.087%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 02:23
LowVig.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -2.79%E -0.729%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 02:19
BetOnline.ag1.28I 78.13%NM 74.95%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 25.05%EV -2.79%E -0.729%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-08 02:20
1xBet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -5.23%E -4.12%K -19.39%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV -3.30%E -0.866%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-08 02:19
Marathon Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.65%EV -5.23%E -4.12%K -19.39%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.35%EV -5.07%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:28
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 02:29
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 02:29
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 02:29
Casumo1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 02:29
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 02:29
ATG (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 02:29
Svenska Spel1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 02:29
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -6.09%E -1.65%K -2.26%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 02:19
PlayUp1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 02:20
Grosvenor1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.23%E -4.12%K -19.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 02:29
Bally Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -5.23%E -4.12%K -19.39%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 02:29
TAB1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -5.98%E -4.75%K -23.00%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 02:19
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 02:18
Ladbrokes (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 02:20
Neds1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 02:19
Betclic (FR)1.23I 81.30%NM 74.53%EV -8.22%E -6.68%K -35.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.47%EV -8.63%E -2.40%K -3.32%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 02:28
Everygame1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -9.90%E -2.79%K -3.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 02:15
LeoVegas1.25I 80.00%NM 73.96%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.04%EV -9.90%E -2.79%K -3.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 02:29
Bovada1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -1.50%E -1.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 02:29
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.00%E -2.30%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:29
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.74%E -2.90%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 02:29
Mr Green (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.74%E -2.90%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 02:29
888sport (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -3.74%E -2.90%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-08 02:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.73%E -5.38%K -26.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.17%E -3.19%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 02:29
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -3.74%E -2.90%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -12.44%E -3.60%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 02:29
LiveScore Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -3.74%E -2.90%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -12.44%E -3.60%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 02:29
Virgin Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -3.74%E -2.90%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -12.44%E -3.60%K -5.08%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 02:29
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -0.757%E -0.569%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -16.24%E -4.92%K -7.06%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 02:29
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -2.25%E -1.72%K -7.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -17.51%E -5.39%K -7.78%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 02:29
Fliff1.28I 78.13%NM 71.74%EV -4.49%E -3.51%K -16.03%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.26%EV -17.51%E -5.39%K -7.78%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 02:30
DraftKings1.35I 74.07%NM 70.46%EV +0.735%E +0.545%K +2.10%G +0.015%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.54%EV -18.27%E -5.67%K -8.23%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-08 02:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -0.757%E -0.569%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -18.78%E -5.87%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-08 02:29
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -3.00%E -2.30%K -9.99%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -18.78%E -5.87%K -8.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-08 02:29
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -1.50%E -1.14%K -4.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -20.05%E -6.36%K -9.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 02:29
Winamax (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -0.757%E -0.569%K -2.29%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -22.59%E -7.41%K -11.02%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 02:30
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV +1.48%E +1.09%K +4.12%G +0.061%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -23.86%E -7.95%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 02:30
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV +1.48%E +1.09%K +4.12%G +0.061%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -23.86%E -7.95%K -11.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 02:30
Coral1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV +0.735%E +0.545%K +2.10%G +0.015%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -23.86%E -7.95%K -11.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-08 02:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-03-08 02:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-03-08 02:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.5%2026-03-08 02:25
Matchbook1.34I 74.63%NM 73.41%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.59%1.7%2026-03-08 02:30
Smarkets1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%4.9%2026-03-08 02:30
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 71.55%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.45%5.9%2026-03-08 02:29