A Escola das Odds

Karolina Muchova v Iga Swiatek

Início: 2026-03-11 18:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

57 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Previsão 32.37%3.09odd justa
EV +16.52%
Vantagem +4.59%
Kelly +6.36%
Crescimento +1.05%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.77%32.60%32.14%37.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.502.882.903.6040.00%34.67%34.48%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Iga Swiatek (Visitante)

Previsão 67.63%1.48odd justa
EV +2.80%
Vantagem +1.84%
Kelly +5.39%
Crescimento +0.151%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.52

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
62.19%67.40%67.86%74.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.251.401.401.5280.00%71.24%71.43%65.79%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (57 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV +16.52%E +4.59%K +6.36%G +1.05%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -15.46%E -12.37%K -61.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-11 18:20
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +13.29%E +3.80%K +5.31%G +0.706%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -10.73%E -8.13%K -33.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 18:19
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +6.81%E +2.06%K +2.96%G +0.202%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -10.05%E -7.56%K -30.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-11 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +6.81%E +2.06%K +2.96%G +0.202%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -12.08%E -9.29%K -40.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 18:20
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +3.58%E +1.12%K +1.63%G +0.058%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 18:20
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV +0.340%E +0.110%K +0.162%G +0.001%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV -11.40%E -8.70%K -36.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-11 18:19
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -1.28%E -0.419%K -0.624%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -8.70%E -6.44%K -24.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 18:20
Bally Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -1.28%E -0.419%K -0.624%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -8.70%E -6.44%K -24.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 18:20
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -1.28%E -0.419%K -0.624%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -8.70%E -6.44%K -24.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 18:20
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.67%E -4.83%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 18:20
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 18:19
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 18:20
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 18:20
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 18:20
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 18:15
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 18:20
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.70%E -6.44%K -24.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-11 18:20
Fliff3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -10.73%E -8.13%K -33.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-11 18:20
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.52%E -1.53%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -7.34%E -5.36%K -19.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 18:18
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -4.52%E -1.53%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-11 18:20
Betclic (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 31.46%EV -5.49%E -1.88%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.54%EV -9.37%E -6.99%K -27.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-11 18:19
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 18:20
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 18:20
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 18:20
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 18:20
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 18:20
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 18:20
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 18:20
NordicBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.31%E -3.80%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 18:20
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.31%E -3.80%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 18:20
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.78%E -2.35%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.31%E -3.80%K -13.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 18:20
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.78%E -2.35%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-11 18:20
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -7.75%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.64%E -3.29%K -11.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 18:20
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.75%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.31%E -3.80%K -13.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-11 18:20
DraftKings2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-11 18:20
Pinnacle2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV +1.45%E +0.966%K +2.90%G +0.042%2.4%2026-03-11 18:05
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.93%E -1.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 18:10
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.61%E -1.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 18:20
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.31%E -3.80%K -13.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 18:20
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.67%E -4.83%K -17.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.67%E -4.83%K -17.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 18:20
BetOnline.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -10.99%E -4.00%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV +1.45%E +0.966%K +2.90%G +0.042%3.0%2026-03-11 18:10
LowVig.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -10.99%E -4.00%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV +1.45%E +0.966%K +2.90%G +0.042%3.0%2026-03-11 18:05
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.99%E -4.00%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 18:20
GTbets2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -11.64%E -4.26%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16%EV -1.26%E -0.861%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 18:10
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -14.23%E -5.37%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV +0.096%E +0.065%K +0.199%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 17:55
NetBet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -14.23%E -5.37%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -1.93%E -1.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 18:09
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -14.23%E -5.37%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -5.31%E -3.80%K -13.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-11 18:20
SportsBet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.45%EV -14.55%E -5.51%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.55%EV -1.93%E -1.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 17:45
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -15.84%E -6.09%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV +2.80%E +1.84%K +5.39%G +0.151%4.3%2026-03-11 18:12
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -15.84%E -6.09%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +1.45%E +0.966%K +2.90%G +0.042%5.1%2026-03-11 16:45
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -15.84%E -6.09%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV +0.772%E +0.518%K +1.58%G +0.012%5.6%2026-03-11 17:55
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -15.84%E -6.09%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV +0.096%E +0.065%K +0.199%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -15.84%E -6.09%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -2.61%E -1.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-11 18:07
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -15.84%E -6.09%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -2.61%E -1.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-11 18:08
1xBet2.56I 39.06%NM 36.63%EV -17.14%E -6.69%K -10.99%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.37%EV +0.096%E +0.065%K +0.199%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-11 18:10
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -19.08%E -7.63%K -12.72%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV +2.80%E +1.84%K +5.39%G +0.151%5.8%2026-03-11 18:08
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-03-11 18:20
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%1.1%2026-03-11 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%1.8%2026-03-11 18:20
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%2.3%2026-03-11 18:20
Novig3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%2.9%2026-03-11 18:18
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%3.8%2026-03-11 18:20