La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Karolina Muchova v Iga Swiatek
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Karolina Muchova (Local)
Predicción 32.37%3.09momio equitativo
EV +16.52%
Ventaja +4.59%
Kelly +6.36%
Crecimiento +1.05%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.77%32.60%32.14%37.81%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.502.882.903.6040.00%34.67%34.48%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Iga Swiatek (Visitante)
Predicción 67.63%1.48momio equitativo
EV +2.80%
Ventaja +1.84%
Kelly +5.39%
Crecimiento +0.151%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.52
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.19%67.40%67.86%74.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.251.401.401.5280.00%71.24%71.43%65.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV +16.52%E +4.59%K +6.36%G +1.05% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -15.46%E -12.37%K -61.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Bovada | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +13.29%E +3.80%K +5.31%G +0.706% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -10.73%E -8.13%K -33.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 18:19 |
| FanDuel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +6.81%E +2.06%K +2.96%G +0.202% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -10.05%E -7.56%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +6.81%E +2.06%K +2.96%G +0.202% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -12.08%E -9.29%K -40.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +3.58%E +1.12%K +1.63%G +0.058% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV +0.340%E +0.110%K +0.162%G +0.001% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV -11.40%E -8.70%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-11 18:19 |
| Grosvenor | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -1.28%E -0.419%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -8.70%E -6.44%K -24.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Bally Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -1.28%E -0.419%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -8.70%E -6.44%K -24.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -1.28%E -0.419%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -8.70%E -6.44%K -24.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.67%E -4.83%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 18:19 |
| BetMGM | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Caesars | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.70%E -6.44%K -24.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Fliff | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -10.73%E -8.13%K -33.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Betsson | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.52%E -1.53%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -7.34%E -5.36%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 18:18 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -4.52%E -1.53%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.46%EV -5.49%E -1.88%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.54%EV -9.37%E -6.99%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-11 18:19 |
| Casumo | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Unibet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| betPARX | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.31%E -3.80%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.31%E -3.80%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| BoyleSports | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.78%E -2.35%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.31%E -3.80%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.78%E -2.35%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -7.75%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.64%E -3.29%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.75%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.31%E -3.80%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV +1.45%E +0.966%K +2.90%G +0.042% | 2.4% | 2026-03-11 18:05 |
| BetUS | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.93%E -1.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 18:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.61%E -1.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| TAB | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.31%E -3.80%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.67%E -4.83%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.67%E -4.83%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -10.99%E -4.00%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV +1.45%E +0.966%K +2.90%G +0.042% | 3.0% | 2026-03-11 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -10.99%E -4.00%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV +1.45%E +0.966%K +2.90%G +0.042% | 3.0% | 2026-03-11 18:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.99%E -4.00%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| GTbets | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -11.64%E -4.26%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16%EV -1.26%E -0.861%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 18:10 |
| Bet Right | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -14.23%E -5.37%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV +0.096%E +0.065%K +0.199%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 17:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -14.23%E -5.37%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -1.93%E -1.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 18:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -14.23%E -5.37%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -5.31%E -3.80%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.45%EV -14.55%E -5.51%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.55%EV -1.93%E -1.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 17:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -15.84%E -6.09%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV +2.80%E +1.84%K +5.39%G +0.151% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 18:12 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -15.84%E -6.09%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +1.45%E +0.966%K +2.90%G +0.042% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 16:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -15.84%E -6.09%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV +0.772%E +0.518%K +1.58%G +0.012% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 17:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -15.84%E -6.09%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV +0.096%E +0.065%K +0.199%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -15.84%E -6.09%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -2.61%E -1.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-11 18:07 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -15.84%E -6.09%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -2.61%E -1.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-11 18:08 |
| 1xBet | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.63%EV -17.14%E -6.69%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.37%EV +0.096%E +0.065%K +0.199%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-11 18:10 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -19.08%E -7.63%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV +2.80%E +1.84%K +5.39%G +0.151% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 18:08 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 0.8% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82% | 1.1% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26% | 1.8% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Smarkets | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82% | 2.3% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Novig | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44% | 2.9% | 2026-03-11 18:18 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |