مدرسة الاحتمالات

Karolina Muchova v Iga Swiatek

البداية: 2026-03-11 18:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (20 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Karolina Muchova (المضيف)

التنبؤ 32.37%3.09السعر العادل
EV +16.52%
الأفضلية +4.59%
Kelly +6.36%
النمو +1.05%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.77%32.60%32.14%37.81%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.502.882.903.6040.00%34.67%34.48%27.78%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Iga Swiatek (الضيف)

التنبؤ 67.63%1.48السعر العادل
EV +2.80%
الأفضلية +1.84%
Kelly +5.39%
النمو +0.151%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.52

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
62.19%67.40%67.86%74.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.251.401.401.5280.00%71.24%71.43%65.79%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV +16.52%E +4.59%K +6.36%G +1.05%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -15.46%E -12.37%K -61.84%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-11 18:20
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +13.29%E +3.80%K +5.31%G +0.706%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -10.73%E -8.13%K -33.52%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-11 18:19
FanDuel3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +6.81%E +2.06%K +2.96%G +0.202%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -10.05%E -7.56%K -30.45%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-11 18:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +6.81%E +2.06%K +2.96%G +0.202%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -12.08%E -9.29%K -40.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-11 18:20
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +3.58%E +1.12%K +1.63%G +0.058%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-11 18:20
Fanatics3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV +0.340%E +0.110%K +0.162%G +0.001%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV -11.40%E -8.70%K -36.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-11 18:19
Grosvenor3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -1.28%E -0.419%K -0.624%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -8.70%E -6.44%K -24.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 18:20
Bally Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -1.28%E -0.419%K -0.624%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -8.70%E -6.44%K -24.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 18:20
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -1.28%E -0.419%K -0.624%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -8.70%E -6.44%K -24.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 18:20
Betway3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.67%E -4.83%K -17.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-11 18:20
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 18:19
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 18:20
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 18:20
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 18:20
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 18:15
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 18:20
Tipico (DE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.70%E -6.44%K -24.85%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-11 18:20
Fliff3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -10.73%E -8.13%K -33.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-11 18:20
Betsson2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.52%E -1.53%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -7.34%E -5.36%K -19.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-11 18:18
Winamax (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -4.52%E -1.53%K -2.32%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-11 18:20
Betclic (FR)2.92I 34.25%NM 31.46%EV -5.49%E -1.88%K -2.86%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.54%EV -9.37%E -6.99%K -27.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-11 18:19
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 18:20
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 18:20
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 18:20
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 18:20
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 18:20
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 18:20
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-11 18:20
NordicBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.31%E -3.80%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 18:20
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.31%E -3.80%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-11 18:20
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.78%E -2.35%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.31%E -3.80%K -13.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-11 18:20
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.78%E -2.35%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-11 18:20
TABtouch2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -7.75%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.64%E -3.29%K -11.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 18:20
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.75%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.31%E -3.80%K -13.29%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-11 18:20
DraftKings2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-11 18:20
Pinnacle2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV +1.45%E +0.966%K +2.90%G +0.042%2.4%2026-03-11 18:05
BetUS2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.93%E -1.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-11 18:10
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.61%E -1.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-11 18:20
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.31%E -3.80%K -13.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-11 18:20
LeoVegas2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.67%E -4.83%K -17.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.67%E -4.83%K -17.55%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-11 18:20
BetOnline.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -10.99%E -4.00%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV +1.45%E +0.966%K +2.90%G +0.042%3.0%2026-03-11 18:10
LowVig.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -10.99%E -4.00%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV +1.45%E +0.966%K +2.90%G +0.042%3.0%2026-03-11 18:05
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.99%E -4.00%K -6.28%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 18:20
GTbets2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -11.64%E -4.26%K -6.73%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16%EV -1.26%E -0.861%K -2.73%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-11 18:10
Bet Right2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -14.23%E -5.37%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV +0.096%E +0.065%K +0.199%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-11 17:55
NetBet (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -14.23%E -5.37%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -1.93%E -1.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-11 18:09
Winamax (FR)2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -14.23%E -5.37%K -8.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -5.31%E -3.80%K -13.29%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-11 18:20
SportsBet2.64I 37.88%NM 35.45%EV -14.55%E -5.51%K -8.87%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.55%EV -1.93%E -1.33%K -4.30%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-11 17:45
Unibet (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -15.84%E -6.09%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV +2.80%E +1.84%K +5.39%G +0.151%4.3%2026-03-11 18:12
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -15.84%E -6.09%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +1.45%E +0.966%K +2.90%G +0.042%5.1%2026-03-11 16:45
Codere (IT)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -15.84%E -6.09%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV +0.772%E +0.518%K +1.58%G +0.012%5.6%2026-03-11 17:55
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -15.84%E -6.09%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV +0.096%E +0.065%K +0.199%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-11 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -15.84%E -6.09%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -2.61%E -1.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-11 18:07
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -15.84%E -6.09%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -2.61%E -1.81%K -5.93%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-11 18:08
1xBet2.56I 39.06%NM 36.63%EV -17.14%E -6.69%K -10.99%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.37%EV +0.096%E +0.065%K +0.199%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-11 18:10
PlayUp2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -19.08%E -7.63%K -12.72%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV +2.80%E +1.84%K +5.39%G +0.151%5.8%2026-03-11 18:08
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-03-11 18:20
Matchbook2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82%1.1%2026-03-11 18:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%1.8%2026-03-11 18:20
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18%1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82%2.3%2026-03-11 18:20
Novig3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44%2.9%2026-03-11 18:18
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%3.8%2026-03-11 18:20