L’École des cotesLangue:Français
Karolina Muchova v Iga Swiatek
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Karolina Muchova (Local)
Prévision 32.37%3.09cote équitable
EV +16.52%
Avantage +4.59%
Kelly +6.36%
Croissance +1.05%
avec la cote maximale 3.60
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.77%32.60%32.14%37.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.882.903.6040.00%34.67%34.48%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Iga Swiatek (Visiteur)
Prévision 67.63%1.48cote équitable
EV +2.80%
Avantage +1.84%
Kelly +5.39%
Croissance +0.151%
avec la cote maximale 1.52
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.19%67.40%67.86%74.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.251.401.401.5280.00%71.24%71.43%65.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV +16.52%E +4.59%K +6.36%G +1.05% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -15.46%E -12.37%K -61.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Bovada | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +13.29%E +3.80%K +5.31%G +0.706% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -10.73%E -8.13%K -33.52%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 18:19 |
| FanDuel | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV +6.81%E +2.06%K +2.96%G +0.202% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -10.05%E -7.56%K -30.45%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV +6.81%E +2.06%K +2.96%G +0.202% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -12.08%E -9.29%K -40.26%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +3.58%E +1.12%K +1.63%G +0.058% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Fanatics | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV +0.340%E +0.110%K +0.162%G +0.001% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 70.29%EV -11.40%E -8.70%K -36.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-11 18:19 |
| Grosvenor | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -1.28%E -0.419%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -8.70%E -6.44%K -24.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Bally Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -1.28%E -0.419%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -8.70%E -6.44%K -24.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -1.28%E -0.419%K -0.624%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -8.70%E -6.44%K -24.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Betway | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -6.67%E -4.83%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 18:19 |
| BetMGM | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Caesars | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 18:15 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -8.70%E -6.44%K -24.85%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Fliff | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -2.90%E -0.966%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -10.73%E -8.13%K -33.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Betsson | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.71%EV -4.52%E -1.53%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.29%EV -7.34%E -5.36%K -19.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-11 18:18 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -4.52%E -1.53%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.46%EV -5.49%E -1.88%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 68.54%EV -9.37%E -6.99%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-11 18:19 |
| Casumo | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Unibet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| betPARX | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| NordicBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.31%E -3.80%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| theScore Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -6.13%E -2.12%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.31%E -3.80%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| BoyleSports | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.78%E -2.35%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.31%E -3.80%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Paddy Power | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -6.78%E -2.35%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.02%E -5.90%K -22.28%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| TABtouch | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -7.75%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -4.64%E -3.29%K -11.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -7.75%E -2.72%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -5.31%E -3.80%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| DraftKings | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.33%EV -8.08%E -2.84%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.67%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.88%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 65.12%EV +1.45%E +0.966%K +2.90%G +0.042% | 2.4% | 2026-03-11 18:05 |
| BetUS | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -1.93%E -1.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-11 18:10 |
| Coolbet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -2.61%E -1.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| TAB | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -5.31%E -3.80%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| LeoVegas | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.67%E -4.83%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.01%EV -9.37%E -3.35%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.99%EV -6.67%E -4.83%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -10.99%E -4.00%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV +1.45%E +0.966%K +2.90%G +0.042% | 3.0% | 2026-03-11 18:10 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -10.99%E -4.00%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV +1.45%E +0.966%K +2.90%G +0.042% | 3.0% | 2026-03-11 18:05 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.99%E -4.00%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -3.96%E -2.79%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| GTbets | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.84%EV -11.64%E -4.26%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.16%EV -1.26%E -0.861%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 18:10 |
| Bet Right | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -14.23%E -5.37%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV +0.096%E +0.065%K +0.199%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-11 17:55 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -14.23%E -5.37%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -1.93%E -1.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-11 18:09 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -14.23%E -5.37%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -5.31%E -3.80%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| SportsBet | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.45%EV -14.55%E -5.51%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.55%EV -1.93%E -1.33%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-11 17:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.89%EV -15.84%E -6.09%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.11%EV +2.80%E +1.84%K +5.39%G +0.151% | 4.3% | 2026-03-11 18:12 |
| William Hill | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -15.84%E -6.09%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV +1.45%E +0.966%K +2.90%G +0.042% | 5.1% | 2026-03-11 16:45 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.43%EV -15.84%E -6.09%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.57%EV +0.772%E +0.518%K +1.58%G +0.012% | 5.6% | 2026-03-11 17:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -15.84%E -6.09%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV +0.096%E +0.065%K +0.199%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-11 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -15.84%E -6.09%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -2.61%E -1.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-11 18:07 |
| Neds | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -15.84%E -6.09%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -2.61%E -1.81%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-11 18:08 |
| 1xBet | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.63%EV -17.14%E -6.69%K -10.99%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.37%EV +0.096%E +0.065%K +0.199%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-11 18:10 |
| PlayUp | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -19.08%E -7.63%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV +2.80%E +1.84%K +5.39%G +0.151% | 5.8% | 2026-03-11 18:08 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 0.8% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Matchbook | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.18% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.82% | 1.1% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26% | 1.8% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Smarkets | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.18% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.82% | 2.3% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |
| Novig | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.56% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.44% | 2.9% | 2026-03-11 18:18 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87% | 3.8% | 2026-03-11 18:20 |