Language:English
Karolina Muchova v Anna Bondár
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Karolina Muchova (Local)
Prediction 88.38%1.13fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -3.36%
Kelly -40.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.09
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.63%88.34%88.33%90.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.041.071.081.0996.15%93.11%92.59%91.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Anna Bondár (Visit)
Prediction 11.62%8.61fair odd
EV +15.00%
Edge +1.52%
Kelly +1.69%
Growth +0.253%
assuming max odds 9.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.67%11.66%11.67%13.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.118.009.9014.29%12.33%12.50%10.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Karolina Muchova (Local): 88.38%; Anna Bondár (Visit): 11.62%. For Anna Bondár (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.61. 7 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.00%.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000% | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV +15.00%E +1.52%K +1.69%G +0.253% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.75%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000% | 9.54I 10.48%NM 10.25%EV +10.82%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137% | 2.2% | 2026-03-07 18:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +10.35%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.126% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 15:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +4.55%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 12:34 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +4.55%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026% | 3.7% | 2026-03-07 06:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 88.98%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000% | 8.80I 11.36%NM 11.02%EV +2.22%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006% | 3.1% | 2026-03-06 15:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV +1.64%E +0.188%K +0.212%G +0.003% | 4.9% | 2026-03-07 11:17 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.03%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000% | 8.60I 11.63%NM 10.97%EV -0.101%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 18:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.168%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 12:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.168%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.168%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-06 13:05 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.94%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.168%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-07 14:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.71%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.49I 11.78%NM 11.29%EV -1.38%E -0.162%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 18:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.71%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.49I 11.78%NM 11.29%EV -1.38%E -0.162%K -0.184%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-07 18:04 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.55%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.35I 11.98%NM 11.45%EV -3.01%E -0.360%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV -3.59%E -0.432%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-07 14:24 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000% | 8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -4.17%E -0.505%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -4.75%E -0.579%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 14:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -4.75%E -0.579%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 14:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -4.75%E -0.579%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-07 14:36 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 88.74%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.02%G +0.000% | 8.20I 12.20%NM 11.26%EV -4.75%E -0.579%K -0.659%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-07 10:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV -6.95%E -0.868%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 18:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 18:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 14:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 18:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 18:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 18:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 18:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 18:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 18:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 06:39 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 13:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 10:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 14:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-07 18:54 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 18:48 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.94%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 13:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.94%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-06 13:05 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.94%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 7.80I 12.82%NM 12.06%EV -9.39%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-07 14:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 06:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 14:24 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 14:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 14:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-07 14:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 18:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-07 18:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -16.36%E -2.27%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-07 10:40 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.69%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 16:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -18.69%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-07 10:33 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 17:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91% | 0.9% | 2026-03-07 18:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.10I 90.91%NM 89.38% | 9.26I 10.80%NM 10.62% | 1.7% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 89.80% | 9.60I 10.42%NM 10.20% | 2.2% | 2026-03-07 18:30 |