StandardmodellInterquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Karolina Muchova v Anna Bondár

Spielbeginn: 2026-03-07 19:00 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

60 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste)

Karolina Muchova (Heim)

Prognose 88.38%1.13faire Quote
EV -3.66%
Vorteil -3.36%
Kelly -40.68%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.09

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
86.63%88.34%88.33%90.33%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
1.041.071.081.0996.15%93.11%92.59%91.74%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Anna Bondár (Auswärts)

Prognose 11.62%8.61faire Quote
EV +15.00%
Vorteil +1.52%
Kelly +1.69%
Wachstum +0.253%

bei einer Höchstquote von 9.90

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
9.67%11.66%11.67%13.37%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.
Quotenverteilung
7.008.118.009.9014.29%12.33%12.50%10.10%MIN.MITTELMEDIANMAX.

Bei den letzten Quoten vor Spielbeginn schätzte Interquartilsmittel (Kuratierte Liste) für Direkter Vergleich: Karolina Muchova (Heim): 88.38%; Anna Bondár (Auswärts): 11.62%. Für Anna Bondár (Auswärts) entsprach diese Schätzung einer fairen Dezimalquote von 8.61. 7 Wettanbieter boten Schlussquoten über diesem Wert an; die beste betrug 9.90 und entsprach einem positiven Erwartungswert von +15.00%.

Wettanbieterquoten (60 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
FanDuel🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV +15.00%E +1.52%K +1.69%G +0.253%4.4%2026-03-07 14:30
Pinnacle🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 89.75%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%9.54I 10.48%NM 10.25%EV +10.82%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137%2.2%2026-03-07 18:34
Paddy Power🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +10.35%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.126%4.9%2026-03-07 15:04
BoyleSports🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +4.55%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026%3.7%2026-03-07 12:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +4.55%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026%3.7%2026-03-07 06:40
DraftKings🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 88.98%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.02%EV +2.22%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006%3.1%2026-03-06 15:55
Bovada🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV +1.64%E +0.188%K +0.212%G +0.003%4.9%2026-03-07 11:17
Marathon Bet🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 89.03%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.97%EV -0.101%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 18:49
Betway🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.168%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 12:40
Coral🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.168%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 13:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.168%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 13:05
SportsBet🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.94%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.168%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.71%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.49I 11.78%NM 11.29%EV -1.38%E -0.162%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 18:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.71%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.49I 11.78%NM 11.29%EV -1.38%E -0.162%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 18:04
GTbets🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.55%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.35I 11.98%NM 11.45%EV -3.01%E -0.360%K -0.409%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 18:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV -3.59%E -0.432%K -0.491%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 14:24
Fliff🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -4.17%E -0.505%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 18:54
NordicBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -4.75%E -0.579%K -0.659%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 14:30
Betsson🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -4.75%E -0.579%K -0.659%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 14:30
Betclic (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -4.75%E -0.579%K -0.659%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 14:36
Tipico (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 88.74%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.02%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.26%EV -4.75%E -0.579%K -0.659%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 10:40
1xBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV -6.95%E -0.868%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:54
Bet Right🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:40
Fanatics🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:20
Unibet (UK)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 14:10
TABtouch🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:44
Casumo🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:45
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:45
Unibet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:45
Unibet (NL)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:45
BetRivers🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:44
Grosvenor🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:44
Svenska Spel🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:44
Bally Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:45
ATG (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:44
betPARX🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:45
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:44
Winamax (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 06:39
Everygame🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 18:55
BetMGM🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 13:05
BetUS🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 10:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 14:19
Unibet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 18:54
NetBet (FR)🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 18:48
Neds🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 13:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 13:05
Codere (IT)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.94%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.06%EV -9.39%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 14:29
PlayUp🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 06:44
888sport🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:24
William Hill🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:45
888sport (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:24
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:25
TAB🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 18:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 18:44
Virgin Bet🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 18:44
theScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -16.36%E -2.27%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 10:40
Caesars🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.69%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 16:04
Bet Victor🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -18.69%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 10:33
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (6)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-03-07 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-03-07 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-03-07 17:00
Matchbook1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-03-07 18:55
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 89.38%9.26I 10.80%NM 10.62%1.7%2026-03-07 18:30
Smarkets1.09I 91.74%NM 89.80%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.20%2.2%2026-03-07 18:30