L’École des cotes

Karolina Muchova v Anna Bondár

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Prévision 88.38%1.13cote équitable
EV -3.66%
Avantage -3.36%
Kelly -40.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.09

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
86.63%88.34%88.33%90.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.041.071.081.0996.15%93.11%92.59%91.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Anna Bondár (Visiteur)

Prévision 11.62%8.61cote équitable
EV +15.00%
Avantage +1.52%
Kelly +1.69%
Croissance +0.253%

avec la cote maximale 9.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
9.67%11.66%11.67%13.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.008.118.009.9014.29%12.33%12.50%10.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV +15.00%E +1.52%K +1.69%G +0.253%4.4%2026-03-07 14:30
Pinnacle1.09I 91.74%NM 89.75%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%9.54I 10.48%NM 10.25%EV +10.82%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137%2.2%2026-03-07 18:34
Paddy Power1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +10.35%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.126%4.9%2026-03-07 15:04
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +4.55%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026%3.7%2026-03-07 12:34
Winamax (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +4.55%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026%3.7%2026-03-07 06:40
DraftKings1.09I 91.74%NM 88.98%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.02%EV +2.22%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006%3.1%2026-03-06 15:55
Bovada1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV +1.64%E +0.188%K +0.212%G +0.003%4.9%2026-03-07 11:17
Marathon Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.03%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.97%EV -0.101%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 18:49
Betway1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.168%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 12:40
Coral1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.168%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 13:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.168%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 13:05
SportsBet1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.94%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.168%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:29
BetOnline.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 88.71%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.49I 11.78%NM 11.29%EV -1.38%E -0.162%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 18:05
LowVig.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 88.71%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.49I 11.78%NM 11.29%EV -1.38%E -0.162%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 18:04
GTbets1.08I 92.59%NM 88.55%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.35I 11.98%NM 11.45%EV -3.01%E -0.360%K -0.409%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 18:44
PointsBet (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV -3.59%E -0.432%K -0.491%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 14:24
Fliff1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -4.17%E -0.505%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 18:54
NordicBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -4.75%E -0.579%K -0.659%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 14:30
Betsson1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -4.75%E -0.579%K -0.659%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 14:30
Betclic (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -4.75%E -0.579%K -0.659%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 14:36
Tipico (DE)1.04I 96.15%NM 88.74%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.02%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.26%EV -4.75%E -0.579%K -0.659%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 10:40
1xBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV -6.95%E -0.868%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:54
Bet Right1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:40
Fanatics1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:20
Unibet (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 14:10
TABtouch1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:44
Unibet (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:44
Casumo1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:45
LeoVegas1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:45
Unibet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:45
Unibet (NL)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:45
BetRivers1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:44
Grosvenor1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:44
Svenska Spel1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:44
Bally Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:45
ATG (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:44
betPARX1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:45
Hard Rock Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:44
Winamax (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 06:39
Everygame1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 18:55
BetMGM1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 13:05
BetUS1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 10:40
Betr (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 14:19
Unibet (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 18:54
NetBet (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 18:48
Neds1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 13:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 13:05
Codere (IT)1.07I 93.46%NM 87.94%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.06%EV -9.39%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 14:29
PlayUp1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 06:44
888sport1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:24
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:45
888sport (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:24
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:25
TAB1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 18:05
LiveScore Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 18:44
Virgin Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 18:44
theScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -16.36%E -2.27%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 10:40
Caesars1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.69%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 16:04
Bet Victor1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -18.69%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 10:33
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-03-07 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-03-07 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-03-07 17:00
Matchbook1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-03-07 18:55
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 89.38%9.26I 10.80%NM 10.62%1.7%2026-03-07 18:30
Smarkets1.09I 91.74%NM 89.80%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.20%2.2%2026-03-07 18:30