La escuela de los momios

Karolina Muchova v Anna Bondár

Inicio: 2026-03-07 19:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

60 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Predicción 88.38%1.13momio equitativo
EV -3.66%
Ventaja -3.36%
Kelly -40.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.09

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
86.63%88.34%88.33%90.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.041.071.081.0996.15%93.11%92.59%91.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Anna Bondár (Visitante)

Predicción 11.62%8.61momio equitativo
EV +15.00%
Ventaja +1.52%
Kelly +1.69%
Crecimiento +0.253%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 9.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.67%11.66%11.67%13.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
7.008.118.009.9014.29%12.33%12.50%10.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (60 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 90.33%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%9.90I 10.10%NM 9.67%EV +15.00%E +1.52%K +1.69%G +0.253%4.4%2026-03-07 14:30
Pinnacle1.09I 91.74%NM 89.75%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%9.54I 10.48%NM 10.25%EV +10.82%E +1.13%K +1.27%G +0.137%2.2%2026-03-07 18:34
Paddy Power1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV +10.35%E +1.09%K +1.22%G +0.126%4.9%2026-03-07 15:04
BoyleSports1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +4.55%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026%3.7%2026-03-07 12:34
Winamax (DE)1.08I 92.59%NM 89.29%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.71%EV +4.55%E +0.505%K +0.568%G +0.026%3.7%2026-03-07 06:40
DraftKings1.09I 91.74%NM 88.98%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%8.80I 11.36%NM 11.02%EV +2.22%E +0.252%K +0.285%G +0.006%3.1%2026-03-06 15:55
Bovada1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV +1.64%E +0.188%K +0.212%G +0.003%4.9%2026-03-07 11:17
Marathon Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.03%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%8.60I 11.63%NM 10.97%EV -0.101%E -0.012%K -0.013%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 18:49
Betway1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.168%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 12:40
Coral1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.168%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 13:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.168%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-06 13:05
SportsBet1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.94%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -1.26%E -0.149%K -0.168%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-07 14:29
BetOnline.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 88.71%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.49I 11.78%NM 11.29%EV -1.38%E -0.162%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 18:05
LowVig.ag1.08I 92.59%NM 88.71%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.49I 11.78%NM 11.29%EV -1.38%E -0.162%K -0.184%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-07 18:04
GTbets1.08I 92.59%NM 88.55%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.35I 11.98%NM 11.45%EV -3.01%E -0.360%K -0.409%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-07 18:44
PointsBet (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.58%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.30I 12.05%NM 11.42%EV -3.59%E -0.432%K -0.491%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-07 14:24
Fliff1.06I 94.34%NM 88.61%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.39%EV -4.17%E -0.505%K -0.575%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-07 18:54
NordicBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -4.75%E -0.579%K -0.659%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 14:30
Betsson1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -4.75%E -0.579%K -0.659%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 14:30
Betclic (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.36%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.64%EV -4.75%E -0.579%K -0.659%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-07 14:36
Tipico (DE)1.04I 96.15%NM 88.74%EV -8.08%E -7.77%K -202.02%G +0.000%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.26%EV -4.75%E -0.579%K -0.659%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-07 10:40
1xBet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.12%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.01I 12.48%NM 11.88%EV -6.95%E -0.868%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:54
Bet Right1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:40
Fanatics1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:20
Unibet (UK)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 14:10
TABtouch1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:44
Unibet (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:44
Casumo1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:45
LeoVegas1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:45
Unibet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:45
Unibet (NL)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:45
BetRivers1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:44
Grosvenor1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:44
Svenska Spel1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:44
Bally Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:45
ATG (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:44
betPARX1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:45
Hard Rock Bet1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-07 18:44
Winamax (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 06:39
Everygame1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 18:55
BetMGM1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-06 13:05
BetUS1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 10:40
Betr (AU)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 14:19
Unibet (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 88.20%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 18:54
NetBet (FR)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -6.31%E -5.96%K -105.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 18:48
Neds1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 13:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -7.20%E -6.85%K -143.94%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -7.07%E -0.884%K -1.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-06 13:05
Codere (IT)1.07I 93.46%NM 87.94%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.06%EV -9.39%E -1.20%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-07 14:29
PlayUp1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 06:44
888sport1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:24
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:45
888sport (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:24
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-07 14:25
TAB1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 18:05
LiveScore Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 18:44
Virgin Bet1.07I 93.46%NM 87.51%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.49%EV -12.88%E -1.72%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 18:44
theScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 86.85%EV -3.66%E -3.36%K -40.68%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.15%EV -16.36%E -2.27%K -2.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 10:40
Caesars1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -4.55%E -4.21%K -56.82%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -18.69%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 16:04
Bet Victor1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -5.43%E -5.07%K -77.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -18.69%E -2.67%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 10:33
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-03-07 17:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-03-07 17:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-03-07 17:00
Matchbook1.10I 90.91%NM 90.09%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.91%0.9%2026-03-07 18:55
Novig1.10I 90.91%NM 89.38%9.26I 10.80%NM 10.62%1.7%2026-03-07 18:30
Smarkets1.09I 91.74%NM 89.80%9.60I 10.42%NM 10.20%2.2%2026-03-07 18:30