Language:English
Ella Seidel v Anastasia Zakharova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ella Seidel (Local)
Prediction 42.81%2.34fair odd
EV +7.03%
Edge +2.81%
Kelly +4.69%
Growth +0.330%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%42.63%42.86%44.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.232.202.5048.78%44.89%45.45%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Anastasia Zakharova (Visit)
Prediction 57.19%1.75fair odd
EV -2.78%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -3.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.26%57.37%57.14%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.631.631.7066.67%61.46%61.35%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ella Seidel (Local): 42.81%; Anastasia Zakharova (Visit): 57.19%. For Ella Seidel (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.34. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.03%.
Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +7.03%E +2.81%K +4.69%G +0.330% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -14.22%E -9.48%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV +3.61%E +1.49%K +2.54%G +0.092% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -9.64%E -6.10%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +1.89%E +0.796%K +1.37%G +0.026% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -12.50%E -8.17%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV +1.47%E +0.619%K +1.07%G +0.016% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -12.50%E -8.17%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +0.610%E +0.260%K +0.452%G +0.003% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +0.610%E +0.260%K +0.452%G +0.003% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.246%E -0.106%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.246%E -0.106%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -0.674%E -0.291%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.93%E -4.92%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 22:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.53%E -0.665%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 22:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.53%E -0.665%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.53%E -0.665%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -1.53%E -0.665%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 22:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.46%EV -1.96%E -0.855%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.54%EV -3.35%E -1.98%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.39%E -1.05%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.78%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.81%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.81%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 22:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:48 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.93%E -4.92%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 22:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -11.93%E -7.75%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -4.10%E -1.83%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -6.78%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.53%E -2.03%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.53%E -2.03%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.53%E -2.03%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.53%E -2.03%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.53%E -2.03%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.42%EV -9.64%E -6.10%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-04 22:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 22:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 22:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 22:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.93%E -4.92%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.93%E -4.92%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.93%E -4.92%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 22:38 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.67%E -3.06%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.21%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.67%E -3.06%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.21%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.67%E -3.06%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.21%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.67%E -3.06%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.21%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -7.52%E -3.48%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -7.52%E -3.48%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 22:48 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -8.38%E -3.92%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -6.78%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 22:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -8.38%E -3.92%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -7.93%E -4.92%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.05%EV -8.81%E -4.14%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.95%EV -7.93%E -4.92%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -12.23%E -5.97%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74% | 0.1% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74% | 0.1% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 0.3% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |