مدرسة الاحتمالات

Ella Seidel v Anastasia Zakharova

البداية: 2026-03-04 22:51 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

57 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Ella Seidel (المضيف)

التنبؤ 42.81%2.34السعر العادل
EV +7.03%
الأفضلية +2.81%
Kelly +4.69%
النمو +0.330%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
37.50%42.63%42.86%44.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.052.232.202.5048.78%44.89%45.45%40.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Anastasia Zakharova (الضيف)

التنبؤ 57.19%1.75السعر العادل
EV -2.78%
الأفضلية -1.64%
Kelly -3.97%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
55.26%57.37%57.14%62.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.501.631.631.7066.67%61.46%61.35%58.82%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (57 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفالهامشآخر تحديث
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +7.03%E +2.81%K +4.69%G +0.330%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -14.22%E -9.48%K -28.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-04 22:50
Unibet (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV +3.61%E +1.49%K +2.54%G +0.092%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -9.64%E -6.10%K -16.63%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-04 22:50
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +1.89%E +0.796%K +1.37%G +0.026%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -12.50%E -8.17%K -23.59%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-04 22:50
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV +1.47%E +0.619%K +1.07%G +0.016%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -12.50%E -8.17%K -23.59%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 22:50
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +0.610%E +0.260%K +0.452%G +0.003%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 22:50
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +0.610%E +0.260%K +0.452%G +0.003%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-04 22:50
Casumo2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.246%E -0.106%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:50
betPARX2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.246%E -0.106%K -0.185%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-04 22:50
GTbets2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -0.674%E -0.291%K -0.511%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.93%E -4.92%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 22:45
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.53%E -0.665%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 22:35
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.53%E -0.665%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 22:50
TABtouch2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.53%E -0.665%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 22:50
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -1.53%E -0.665%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 22:35
Pinnacle2.29I 43.67%NM 42.46%EV -1.96%E -0.855%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.54%EV -3.35%E -1.98%K -4.86%G +0.000%2.8%2026-03-04 22:50
Bet Right2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.39%E -1.05%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.78%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-04 22:40
LowVig.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.81%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 22:40
BetOnline.ag2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.81%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-04 22:40
BetUS2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 22:29
Hard Rock Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 22:48
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.93%E -4.92%K -13.00%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-04 22:40
Fliff2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -11.93%E -7.75%K -22.10%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-04 22:50
Unibet (FR)2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -4.10%E -1.83%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -6.78%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 22:40
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.53%E -2.03%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 22:50
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.53%E -2.03%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 22:50
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.53%E -2.03%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 22:35
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.53%E -2.03%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 22:50
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.53%E -2.03%K -3.68%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-04 22:50
NetBet (FR)2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.42%EV -9.64%E -6.10%K -16.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-04 22:45
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-04 22:50
Caesars2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 22:40
Betsson2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 22:40
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-04 22:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 22:35
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 22:35
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-04 22:50
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.93%E -4.92%K -13.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 22:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.93%E -4.92%K -13.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 22:50
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.93%E -4.92%K -13.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-04 22:50
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 22:38
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.67%E -3.06%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.21%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 22:50
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.67%E -3.06%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.21%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 22:50
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.67%E -3.06%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.21%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 22:50
Bally Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.67%E -3.06%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.21%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 22:50
DraftKings2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -7.52%E -3.48%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 22:50
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -7.52%E -3.48%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-04 22:50
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 22:48
theScore Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 22:50
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 22:50
Fanatics2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-04 22:50
Codere (IT)2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -8.38%E -3.92%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -6.78%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-04 22:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -8.38%E -3.92%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -7.93%E -4.92%K -13.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-04 22:50
Betclic (FR)2.13I 46.95%NM 43.05%EV -8.81%E -4.14%K -7.80%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 56.95%EV -7.93%E -4.92%K -13.00%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-04 22:50
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-04 22:50
PointsBet (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-04 22:50
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-04 22:50
Winamax (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-04 22:50
Winamax (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -12.23%E -5.97%K -11.65%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-03-04 22:50
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%0.1%2026-03-04 22:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26%1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74%0.1%2026-03-04 22:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77%0.3%2026-03-04 22:50
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%3.7%2026-03-04 22:50