La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Ella Seidel v Anastasia Zakharova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Ella Seidel (Local)
Predicción 42.81%2.34momio equitativo
EV +7.03%
Ventaja +2.81%
Kelly +4.69%
Crecimiento +0.330%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
37.50%42.63%42.86%44.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.232.202.5048.78%44.89%45.45%40.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Anastasia Zakharova (Visitante)
Predicción 57.19%1.75momio equitativo
EV -2.78%
Ventaja -1.64%
Kelly -3.97%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
55.26%57.37%57.14%62.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.501.631.631.7066.67%61.46%61.35%58.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +7.03%E +2.81%K +4.69%G +0.330% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -14.22%E -9.48%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV +3.61%E +1.49%K +2.54%G +0.092% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -9.64%E -6.10%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| BoyleSports | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +1.89%E +0.796%K +1.37%G +0.026% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -12.50%E -8.17%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Coral | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV +1.47%E +0.619%K +1.07%G +0.016% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -12.50%E -8.17%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Unibet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +0.610%E +0.260%K +0.452%G +0.003% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| NordicBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +0.610%E +0.260%K +0.452%G +0.003% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Casumo | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.246%E -0.106%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| betPARX | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.246%E -0.106%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| GTbets | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -0.674%E -0.291%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.93%E -4.92%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 22:45 |
| William Hill | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.53%E -0.665%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 22:35 |
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.53%E -0.665%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| TABtouch | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.53%E -0.665%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| SportsBet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -1.53%E -0.665%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 22:35 |
| Pinnacle | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.46%EV -1.96%E -0.855%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.54%EV -3.35%E -1.98%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.39%E -1.05%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.78%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.81%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.81%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 22:40 |
| BetUS | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:48 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.93%E -4.92%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 22:40 |
| Fliff | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -11.93%E -7.75%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -4.10%E -1.83%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -6.78%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.53%E -2.03%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.53%E -2.03%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.53%E -2.03%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:35 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.53%E -2.03%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.53%E -2.03%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.42%EV -9.64%E -6.10%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-04 22:45 |
| Coolbet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Caesars | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 22:40 |
| Betsson | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 22:40 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 22:35 |
| Neds | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 22:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.93%E -4.92%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.93%E -4.92%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.93%E -4.92%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 22:38 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.67%E -3.06%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.21%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.67%E -3.06%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.21%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Grosvenor | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.67%E -3.06%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.21%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Bally Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.67%E -3.06%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.21%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| DraftKings | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -7.52%E -3.48%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| LeoVegas | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -7.52%E -3.48%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| PlayUp | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 22:48 |
| theScore Bet | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| TAB | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -8.38%E -3.92%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -6.78%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 22:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -8.38%E -3.92%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -7.93%E -4.92%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.05%EV -8.81%E -4.14%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.95%EV -7.93%E -4.92%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -12.23%E -5.97%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74% | 0.1% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74% | 0.1% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 0.3% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Smarkets | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |