Langue:Français
Ella Seidel v Anastasia Zakharova
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Ella Seidel (Local)
Prévision 42.81%2.34cote équitable
EV +7.03%
Avantage +2.81%
Kelly +4.69%
Croissance +0.330%
avec la cote maximale 2.50
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.50%42.63%42.86%44.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.052.232.202.5048.78%44.89%45.45%40.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Anastasia Zakharova (Visiteur)
Prévision 57.19%1.75cote équitable
EV -2.78%
Avantage -1.64%
Kelly -3.97%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.70
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.26%57.37%57.14%62.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.631.631.7066.67%61.46%61.35%58.82%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Ella Seidel (Local) : 42.81% ; Anastasia Zakharova (Visiteur) : 57.19%. Pour Ella Seidel (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.34. 6 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.50, soit une espérance positive de +7.03%.
Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +7.03%E +2.81%K +4.69%G +0.330% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -14.22%E -9.48%K -28.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV +3.61%E +1.49%K +2.54%G +0.092% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -9.64%E -6.10%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV +1.89%E +0.796%K +1.37%G +0.026% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -12.50%E -8.17%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV +1.47%E +0.619%K +1.07%G +0.016% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -12.50%E -8.17%K -23.59%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV +0.610%E +0.260%K +0.452%G +0.003% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV +0.610%E +0.260%K +0.452%G +0.003% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.246%E -0.106%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -0.246%E -0.106%K -0.185%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -0.674%E -0.291%K -0.511%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -7.93%E -4.92%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 22:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.53%E -0.665%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 22:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.53%E -0.665%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -1.53%E -0.665%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -1.53%E -0.665%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -10.22%E -6.51%K -17.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 22:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 42.46%EV -1.96%E -0.855%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.54%EV -3.35%E -1.98%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -2.39%E -1.05%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -6.78%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 22:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.81%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 22:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.81%E -1.24%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-04 22:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:48 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -7.93%E -4.92%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-03-04 22:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -3.67%E -1.63%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -11.93%E -7.75%K -22.10%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.12%EV -4.10%E -1.83%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.88%EV -6.78%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 22:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.53%E -2.03%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.53%E -2.03%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.53%E -2.03%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.53%E -2.03%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -4.53%E -2.03%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.58%EV -4.96%E -2.23%K -4.06%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.42%EV -9.64%E -6.10%K -16.63%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-03-04 22:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 22:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 22:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-04 22:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 22:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 22:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.93%E -4.92%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.93%E -4.92%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -7.93%E -4.92%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -5.81%E -2.64%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 22:38 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.67%E -3.06%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.21%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.67%E -3.06%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.21%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.67%E -3.06%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.21%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.67%E -3.06%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.21%E -3.79%K -9.71%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.75%EV -7.52%E -3.48%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.25%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -7.52%E -3.48%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 22:48 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.64%E -3.42%K -8.68%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.95%E -3.70%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.36%E -4.54%K -11.87%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -8.38%E -3.92%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -6.78%E -4.16%K -10.77%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-04 22:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -8.38%E -3.92%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -7.93%E -4.92%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.13I 46.95%NM 43.05%EV -8.81%E -4.14%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.95%EV -7.93%E -4.92%K -13.00%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -2.78%E -1.64%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -3.93%E -2.34%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.50%E -2.69%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -10.09%E -4.81%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -5.07%E -3.05%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.84%EV -12.23%E -5.97%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.16%EV -8.50%E -5.31%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (4)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74% | 0.1% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 41.26% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.74% | 0.1% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 0.3% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15% | 3.7% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |